Twins vs Rays match player stats Monday, September 2nd 2024. Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays

|
Twins vs Rays match player stats Monday, September 2nd 2024. Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays

MIN @ TB

Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays Twins vs RaysTwins vs RaysTwins vs RaysTwins vs RaysTwins vs RaysTwins vs Rays

Todays Matchup Details

Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays

Todays Game is on Monday, September 2nd
02/09/24 18:50:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Rays Matchup Today

Matt Wallner projects as the 16th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Wallner is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jeffrey Springs will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Wallner today.

Matt Wallner pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Matt Wallner has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 18.8% rate last year to 25% this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trevor Larnach is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

In the majors, Tropicana Field’s RF fences are the 5th-shallowest.

Jeffrey Springs will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Larnach in today’s game.

Trevor Larnach has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season’s 90.1-mph mark.

In the majors, Tropicana Field’s left field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.

Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Jonny Deluca will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jonny Deluca has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.9-mph to 87.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .254 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny Deluca has been unlucky given the .041 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Batting from the same side that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Max Kepler will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Max Kepler has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 12.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 15.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Josh Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Josh Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Simeon Woods Richard in today’s game.

The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Lowe stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Royce Lewis is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 12.3% to 20.9%.

By putting up a .359 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Royce Lewis is ranked in the 94th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Willi Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Willi Castro has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

Over the last week, Willi Castro’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

In the past week, Carlos Santana’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph recently.

Carlos Santana’s launch angle this year (15.6°) is a significant increase over his 12.5° figure last year.

Carlos Santana’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 38% on the season to 54.5% over the past 7 days.

When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana’s talent is quite strong, posting a 1.69 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 88th percentile.

Ben Rortvedt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard today.

Ben Rortvedt has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Ben Rortvedt has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Brandon Lowe will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jeffrey Springs will hold the platoon advantage against Edouard Julien in today’s game.

Edouard Julien has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Edouard Julien’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (20.3°) is a significant increase over his 16.9° mark last season.

When assessing his home run talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Josh Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 22.2%.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Simeon Woods Richardson in today’s matchup.

Among all starters, Simeon Woods Richardson’s fastball spin rate of 2187 rpm ranks in the 15th percentile this year.

Simeon Woods Richardson has been lucky this year, putting up a 3.85 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.46 — a 0.61 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

When it comes to his batting average, Austin Martin has been unlucky this year. His .246 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .282.

Austin Martin has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 80th percentile with a 2.07 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Christopher Morel is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.

Edouard Julien’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 49.6% on the season to 60% in the past two weeks.

With a .348 BABIP since the start of last season, Edouard Julien is ranked in the 97th percentile.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Josh Lowe, Christopher Morel, Jonathan Aranda, Jose Siri).

Tropicana Field ranks as the #6 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Junior Caminero’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.8°, Christopher Morel has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 29.9° mark in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Junior Caminero has been hot in recent games, cracking 3 dingers in the last two weeks.

The Minnesota Twins (25.5% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-most strikeout-heavy group of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Zack Littell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats across the board.

Zack Littell’s four-seam fastball usage has fallen by 7.3% from last season to this one (27.9% to 20.6%) .

Austin Martin has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .288 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .314 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking 3rd-steepest in Major League Baseball this year, Minnesota Twins batters collectively have put up a 14.7° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ben Rortvedt has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 4.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

In the last 7 days, Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph recently.

Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Rays

30% of the time that Matt Wallner has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-worst venue in the game for run-scoring.

The weather report calls for the 7th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today.

Matt Wallner is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#3-best of all teams on the slate).

This year, Trevor Larnach has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 41% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 5th-worst stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trevor Larnach today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny Deluca in the 25th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jonny Deluca is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Simeon Woods Richard will hold the platoon advantage against Jonny Deluca today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Max Kepler in today’s matchup.

Max Kepler’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 93.4-mph mark last year has dropped to 88.8-mph.

In the last 14 days, Max Kepler’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 88.8 mph to 80.4 mph.

Over the past 14 days, Max Kepler’s 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Wallner in today’s matchup.

Matt Wallner has been lucky this year, notching a .410 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .088 difference.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Josh Lowe has been pulled from the game early 20% of the time.

Josh Lowe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, falling from 45.1% on the season to 33.3% over the last 14 days.

Tropicana Field projects as the #26 stadium in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Royce Lewis will have the handedness advantage over Jeffrey Springs today.

Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Willi Castro has paced 11.7 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 22nd percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Jeffrey Springs in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 7th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ben Rortvedt is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

18% of the time that Ben Rortvedt has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Brandon Lowe has been pinch hit for 11% of the time.

Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Brandon Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.5% down to 0%.

Edouard Julien has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

31% of the time that Edouard Julien has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Edouard Julien in today’s game.

Edouard Julien has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.

In the past 7 days, Royce Lewis’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 93.8 mph to 83.9 mph.

In the last 14 days, Royce Lewis’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 17.5°.

By putting up a 3.61 K/BB rate this year, Josh Lowe has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 24th percentile.

The 4th-weakest projected lineup of the day in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.

The #4 park in the league for suppressing BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Simeon Woods Richardson must realize this, because he has utilized his secondary pitches a lot this year: 59.4% of the time, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Tampa Bay Rays batters jointly have been among the worst in Major League Baseball this year ( 5th-worst) as it relates to their 88-mph average exit velocity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Austin Martin is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Austin Martin has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Christopher Morel has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Christopher Morel’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 91.9-mph mark last year has dropped off to 89.1-mph.

Christopher Morel has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 84.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Simeon Woods Richardson is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Simeon Woods Richard will hold the platoon advantage against Junior Caminero in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Junior Caminero’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 7%.

Junior Caminero’s quickness has dropped off this season. His 28.97 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.13 ft/sec now.

Austin Martin will hold the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.290) may lead us to conclude that Junior Caminero has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .311 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Littell to throw 68 pitches in this game (2nd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

With 6 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Zack Littell faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

Zack Littell’s 91.9-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.5-mph drop off from last season’s 93.4-mph figure.

Among all SPs, Zack Littell’s fastball spin rate of 2023 rpm is in the 9th percentile this year.

Given the 0.26 difference between Zack Littell’s 8.05 K/9 and his 7.79 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see negative regression in the future.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jonny Deluca’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.3°.

Jonny Deluca’s 84.9-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the league this year: 4th percentile.

It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Minnesota Twins offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.6°, Carlos Santana has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.5°) over the last two weeks.

Over the last week, Brandon Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 95.1 mph to 73.8 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 15th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.7°, Ben Rortvedt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.5°) over the last two weeks.

Trevor Larnach has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.

Trevor Larnach has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 93.6-mph.

Willi Castro has been lucky this year, compiling a .326 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .022 gap.

Latest Tampa Bay Rays Match Player Stats

Latest Minnesota Twins Match Player Stats