Red Sox vs Mets match player stats Monday, September 2nd 2024. Boston Red Sox at New York Mets

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Red Sox vs Mets match player stats Monday, September 2nd 2024. Boston Red Sox at New York Mets

BOS @ NYM

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Todays Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets

Todays Game is on Monday, September 2nd
02/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Mets Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today’s matchup… and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.

Jesse Winker has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Brandon Nimmo will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 11th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Out of every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Tyler O’Neill has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last year’s 92.8-mph mark.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand today.

Rafael Devers may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Rafael Devers has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league.

Luis Severino’s higher utilization percentage of his fastball this season (60.1 compared to 48.9% last year) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Out of all starters, Luis Severino’s fastball spin rate of 2213 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.

Boston Red Sox batters as a group place 4th- in the game for power this year when using their 92.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 13th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage today.

Jarren Duran has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his home run skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Severino in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Wilyer Abreu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino today.

Triston Casas will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split.

Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3.2% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the past week.

When it comes to his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Connor Wong has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 97.6-mph in the past 7 days.

Over the last 7 days, Connor Wong’s 70% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.2%.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the last 7 days, Ceddanne Rafaela’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 16.7%.

Over the last 7 days, Ceddanne Rafaela’s 41.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors’s 12th-best home run batter.

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Romy Gonzalez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph to 96.2-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Starling Marte will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Starling Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 42.4% to 50%.

Romy Gonzalez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ranking in the 78th percentile, Romy Gonzalez sits with a .261 batting average this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Last season, Tyler O’Neill had an average launch angle of 15.8° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.4°.

Jesse Winker will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Luis Severino has averaged 94.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Jeff McNeil has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 77th percentile with a 2.02 K/BB rate.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The 4th-best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the New York Mets.

Connor Wong, the Red Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brayan Bello today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

J.D. Martinez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Over the last 14 days, J.D. Martinez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.1% to 21.7%.

Pete Alonso has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brayan Bello in the 75th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Throwing 92.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Brayan Bello falls in the 76th percentile.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jarren Duran ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Starling Marte has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Starling Marte has had some very poor luck this year. His .314 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

J.D. Martinez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 91.1-mph average.

Francisco Lindor has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.6% seasonal rate to 22% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Boston Red Sox have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Romy Gonzalez, Wilyer Abreu, Tyler O’Neill, Connor Wong).

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Mets

Citi Field grades out as the #30 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citi Field’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

In the past 14 days, Jesse Winker’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 92.8 mph to 83.4 mph.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.7% to 9%.

The #1 venue in the game for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Over the past week, Brandon Nimmo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

Over the past 7 days, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 93 mph to 79.6 mph.

The #1 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Tyler O’Neill has a tough challenge today.

Tyler O’Neill will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rafael Devers in today’s game.

Rafael Devers has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 14.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 8.3% in the last two weeks.

Rafael Devers’s launch angle lately (-3.7° in the last week) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.9° seasonal angle.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Boston Red Sox offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Projected catcher Francisco Alvarez profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst field in Major League Baseball for batting average.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will have a tough time against Brayan Bello and his large platoon split in this game.

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .375 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has had positive variance on his side given the .034 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.

This year, Wilyer Abreu has been pinch hit for in 33% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Wilyer Abreu in today’s matchup.

Triston Casas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Triston Casas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 90.5-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Given Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Francisco Alvarez will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Francisco Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

Connor Wong has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Connor Wong encounters a tough challenge today.

Brandon Nimmo’s launch angle in recent games (2.4° in the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 11.1° seasonal angle.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage over Pete Alonso in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.6) provides evidence that Pete Alonso has experienced some positive variance this year with his 30.7 actual HR/600.

Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Romy Gonzalez encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Romy Gonzalez in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 24th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Wilyer Abreu has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Considering Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Mark Vientos will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Mark Vientos’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (5.2° over the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 14.5° seasonal angle.

Despite posting a .369 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has had positive variance on his side given the .052 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Starling Marte has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

The #1 park in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Considering Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Starling Marte will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.317) implies that Tyler O’Neill has been lucky this year with his .362 actual wOBA.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 9% on the season to 4.5% in the last two weeks.

Jeff McNeil has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the last 14 days.

Checking in at the 23rd percentile, Luis Severino posted a 9% Swinging Strike% this year.

Connor Wong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brayan Bello in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the New York Mets offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Triston Casas’s launch angle this season (11.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 15.6° figure last year.

J.D. Martinez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

Brayan Bello will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.D. Martinez today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Francisco Alvarez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

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