
SEA @ OAK






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 4th
04/09/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Athletics Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.
This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
J.P. Crawford has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.5-mph figure.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) implies that J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance this year with his .195 actual batting average.
The Oakland Athletics have 5 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zack Gelof, Shea Langeliers, Max Schuemann, Tristan Gray, Brent Rooker).
Tom Hanahan grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate today.
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
George Kirby’s four-seam fastball percentage has decreased by 5.5% from last year to this one (39.4% to 33.9%) .
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.
Oakland Coliseum has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs.
Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage over JP Sears in today’s game.
Justin Turner is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against JP Sears in today’s game.
Over the last 7 days, Justin Turner’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18%.
Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Shea Langeliers will hold that advantage today.
Shea Langeliers has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph mark.
J.J. Bleday is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, J.J. Bleday will have an edge today.
J.J. Bleday may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
J.J. Bleday will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Jacob Wilson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Oakland (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).
Compared to his seasonal average of 21.5°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 34.6° figure in the past week.
Cal Raleigh projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Oakland Coliseum profiles as the #30 stadium in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hitting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Luis Urias will have an edge today.
Luis Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 31.1% to 46.9%.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Urias has had some very poor luck this year. His .254 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297.
J.P. Crawford’s launch angle in recent games (19.5° in the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 12.2° seasonal figure.
Hitting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Victor Robles will have an advantage today.
Victor Robles’s launch angle recently (32.6° over the last week) is significantly better than his 16.8° seasonal angle.
Victor Robles and his 20° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Batting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Mitch Garver will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Mitch Garver has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season’s 91.4-mph mark.
In terms of his home runs, Victor Robles has had some very poor luck this year. His 11.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.7.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Brent Rooker as baseball’s 9th-best home run hitter.
Brent Rooker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mitch Garver’s true offensive ability to be a .312, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .038 difference between that figure and his actual .274 wOBA.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.J. Bleday ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
George Kirby conceded a staggering 5 earned runs in his last outing.
Oakland has performed as the #1 squad in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.3% rate this year).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Zack Gelof will hold that advantage today.
When it comes to his home run talent, Zack Gelof ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Zack Gelof has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 18.8° angle is among the highest in the majors this year (93rd percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 86th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an advantage today.
Lawrence Butler is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
When estimating his home run skill, Seth Brown ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Seth Brown is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Seth Brown will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Seth Brown will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.
Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Tristan Gray will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tristan Gray stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Tristan Gray will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Max Schuemann will hold that advantage today.
In the past two weeks, Max Schuemann’s 34.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.6%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Julio Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against JP Sears in today’s game.
George Kirby has recorded 17.2 outs per start this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seth Brown ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Zack Gelof has been unlucky this year, notching a .277 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .029 deviation.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and JP Sears will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
JP Sears has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 6.94 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.56 — a 0.61 K/9 deviation.
Luis Urias and his 20.8° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 93rd percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Brent Rooker projects as the 20th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Athletics Series Game 3
Oakland Coliseum profiles as the #28 stadium in the league for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Oakland Coliseum has the 10th-deepest RF fences in Major League Baseball.
Oakland Coliseum’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Hitting from the same side that JP Sears throws from, J.P. Crawford will not have the upper hand today.
The Oakland Athletics infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams playing today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Kirby in today’s game.
In his last GS, George Kirby struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.
With a 0.19 gap between George Kirby’s 8.55 K/9 and his 8.37 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse in the future.
Oakland Coliseum profiles as the #28 stadium in baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 93.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 89.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Oakland Coliseum ranks as the #25 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Turner in today’s game.
Justin Turner’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.5-mph mark last season has dropped to 86.7-mph.
Shea Langeliers’s BABIP ability is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Shea Langeliers meets a tough challenge today.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Shea Langeliers’s 29% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
J.J. Bleday has been lucky this year, posting a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .021 disparity.
The #1 field in the majors for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oakland Coliseum.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.7°, Shea Langeliers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.7°) in the last two weeks.
Shea Langeliers has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 33.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 30.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Jacob Wilson is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Wilson in today’s matchup.
Cal Raleigh’s BABIP talent is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Cal Raleigh has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 16.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 7.7% over the past two weeks.
It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Seattle Mariners offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
Shea Langeliers, the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Seattle Mariners have 8 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against JP Sears in today’s game.
JP Sears’s 91.4-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1-mph decrease from last season’s 92.4-mph figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Luis Urias is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oakland Coliseum as the worst field in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.
J.P. Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Victor Robles is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Victor Robles in today’s game.
Mitch Garver has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
Mitch Garver will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
In the past week, Mitch Garver’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.
Victor Robles’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 85.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 81.8-mph in the past 7 days.
George Kirby will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brent Rooker in today’s game.
Despite posting a .397 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brent Rooker has been very fortunate given the .039 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .358.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts George Kirby in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.
The Oakland Athletics have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Zack Gelof is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
George Kirby will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Gelof in today’s matchup.
Over the last week, Zack Gelof’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 93.6 mph to 89.1 mph.
Lawrence Butler has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 33.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 24.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
This year, Seth Brown has been pulled from the game early in 15% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Seth Brown has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.77 K/BB rate.
Seth Brown has compiled a .230 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Gray in the 1st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Tristan Gray is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the 6th-worst park in the game for left-handed batting average.
Max Schuemann is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Max Schuemann encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
In the past two weeks, Max Schuemann’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.
Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 87.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Justin Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.2 mph to 87.3 mph.
This year, JP Sears has added a new pitch to his pitch mix (a sinker), using it on 10.5% of his pitches.
Luis Urias will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Luis Urias’s 85.2-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 11th percentile.
In the last week’s worth of games, Jacob Wilson has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power).
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tristan Gray ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Cal Raleigh’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 91.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 86.2-mph over the last two weeks.
Posting a .179 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Julio Rodriguez is ranked in the 18th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lawrence Butler’s true offensive skill to be a .320, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .031 difference between that mark and his actual .351 wOBA.
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