
OAK @ CIN






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 27th
27/08/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Athletics vs Reds Matchup Today
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.
The 6th-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park.
The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Tyler Nevin has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Tyler Nevin grades out in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.1% rate this year).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Among all parks, Great American Ball Park’s LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.
Miguel Andujar is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for righty home runs.
Projected catcher Shea Langeliers grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 stadium in baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Mitch Spence will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Great American Ball Park profiles as the #7 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge in today’s game.
The Oakland Athletics have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Max Schuemann has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 91.4-mph.
Over the past two weeks, Max Schuemann’s 38.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.9%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
J.J. Bleday is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, J.J. Bleday will have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in the majors for left-handed batting average.
As it relates to his home run talent, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shea Langeliers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Shea Langeliers pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Brent Rooker as baseball’s 8th-best home run batter.
Brent Rooker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Brent Rooker has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.2-mph average to last season’s 94.9-mph average.
Brent Rooker projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Recording 92.2 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Mitch Spence falls in the 77th percentile.
T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an advantage in today’s game.
T.J. Friedl is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Oakland Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.
Mitch Spence was rolling in his previous game started and accumulated 10 strikeouts.
Tyler Nevin has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 77th percentile with a 2.14 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Miguel Andujar has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 87.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 84.1-mph.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with Athletics vs Reds
Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, posting a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 , — a .024 disparity.
Tyler Nevin is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Tyler Nevin has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Tyler Nevin will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Tyler Nevin’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 93.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 88.7-mph in the past 14 days.
In the past 14 days, Tyler Nevin’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (9.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 14.2°.
Mitch Spence will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India in today’s game.
Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.4-mph mark last season has decreased to 90.1-mph.
Mitch Spence will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Steer in today’s game.
Spencer Steer’s launch angle recently (7.6° in the past 14 days) is considerably lower than his 15.5° seasonal figure.
Spencer Steer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 18.6% to 15.4%.
Posting a .265 BABIP this year, Spencer Steer is ranked in the 17th percentile.
Ty France is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.
Mitch Spence will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty France in today’s matchup.
Ty France has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 18th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Miguel Andujar will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Miguel Andujar has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power).
Miguel Andujar has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .305 rate is quite a bit higher than his .275 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Mitch Spence’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (84.7% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Cincinnati’s 87.8-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in the game: #30 overall.
Mitch Spence will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.
Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 48.3% to 41.6%.
Tyler Stephenson has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .342 rate is a good deal higher than his .318 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his home runs, Tyler Stephenson has had some very good luck this year. His 25.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.6.
Dominic Smith is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
25% of the time that Dominic Smith has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Dominic Smith has recorded a .223 batting average this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.
Max Schuemann is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Max Schuemann will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Max Schuemann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Max Schuemann today.
Max Schuemann has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.
J.J. Bleday hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
J.J. Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
J.J. Bleday has been lucky this year, notching a .330 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .013 difference.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Nick Martinez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shea Langeliers today.
Shea Langeliers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Shea Langeliers has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 13.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.
Over the last 7 days, Shea Langeliers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%.
Posting a .229 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Shea Langeliers grades out in the 24th percentile.
In the last week, Tyler Stephenson’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.
Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Brent Rooker will have a disadvantage today.
Brent Rooker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Brent Rooker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Brent Rooker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 17.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 12% over the last 14 days.
Despite posting a .391 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brent Rooker has had some very good luck given the .036 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .355.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
T.J. Friedl has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 27.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 15.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
T.J. Friedl has posted a .227 BABIP this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.
Mitch Spence’s 90.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 7th percentile among all starters.
Mitch Spence has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 7.55 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.40 — a 0.15 K/9 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 18th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
In terms of his batting average, Dominic Smith has experienced some positive variance this year. His .235 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .215.
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