
TB @ OAK




Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Athletics Series Game 3
HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-shallowest among all parks.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Max Schuemann will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Max Schuemann has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 20° mark in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Grading out in the 75th percentile, Max Schuemann has put up a .316 BABIP this year.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand today.
The Oakland Athletics have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Brandon Lowe has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 95.4-mph.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jonny Deluca’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 14.7% on the season to 26.9% over the past 14 days.
J.J. Bleday is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
J.J. Bleday will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today’s matchup.
J.J. Bleday will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
There has been a significant improvement in J.J. Bleday’s launch angle from last year’s 15.4° to 18.7° this year.
Compared to his seasonal average of 18.7°, J.J. Bleday has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.1° figure over the last 14 days.
Dylan Carlson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (22.7°) is significantly higher than his 15° mark last season.
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Lawrence Butler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Lawrence Butler will hold that advantage in today’s game.
This season, Lawrence Butler has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.2 mph compared to last year’s 90.4 mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Shea Langeliers is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Shea Langeliers will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Shea Langeliers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 13.4% to 18.8%.
Miguel Andujar is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Andujar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Seth Brown will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today.
Seth Brown will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Seth Brown has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Brent Rooker as Major League Baseball’s 9th-best home run hitter.
Brent Rooker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Brent Rooker has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last season’s 94.9-mph average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Junior Caminero is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
In the past two weeks, Junior Caminero’s maximum exit velocity (a strong indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 116.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Posting a .288 batting average this year, Miguel Andujar finds himself in the 91st percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Ryan Pepiot’s overall pitching ability is in the 87th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.
The Oakland Athletics have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Brock Ballou grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.
The #1 park in the game for suppressing home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oakland Coliseum.
When estimating his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 13th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (4.5° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 0.2° seasonal figure.
Yandy Diaz has recorded a .265 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Yandy Diaz has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 77th percentile with a 2.02 K/BB rate.
As it relates to his home run ability, Seth Brown ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Placing in the 77th percentile for power, Seth Brown has hit 23.4 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Josh Lowe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Josh Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Spence in today’s matchup.
The Oakland Athletics have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Lowe has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Grading out in the 80th percentile, Josh Lowe sports a .324 BABIP this year.
When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Ryan Pepiot in the 89th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.
The Oakland Athletics have 5 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Shea Langeliers, Seth Brown, Zack Gelof, Max Schuemann, Brent Rooker).
Taylor Walls’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (32° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 18.3° seasonal angle.
Posting a 1.64 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has shown favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 91st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Christopher Morel is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Shea Langeliers, the Athletics’s expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Mitch Spence allowed a whopping 5 earned runs in his last game started.
Among all starting pitchers, Mitch Spence’s fastball velocity of 90.3 mph is in the 7th percentile this year.
Zack Gelof’s BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Zack Gelof will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Zack Gelof’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (25.1° in the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 19.1° seasonal mark.
Power-wise, Zack Gelof has performed in the 84th percentile, having paced 25.1 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christopher Morel, Josh Lowe, Alex Jackson).
Mitch Spence will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
When it comes to his home run talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Using Statcast metrics, Christopher Morel grades out in the 82nd percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 25.800.
Power-wise, Christopher Morel is ranked in the 84th percentile, having hit 26 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When estimating his home run talent, Alex Jackson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his home run talent, Zack Gelof ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Zack Gelof has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 19.1° mark is among the highest in baseball this year (93rd percentile).
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Athletics Series Game 3
Max Schuemann is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
Oakland Coliseum projects as the #30 venue in the game for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Oakland Coliseum’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense.
The weather report projects the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Ryan Pepiot will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Schuemann today.
This year, Brandon Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Oakland Coliseum ranks as the #30 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In today’s game, Brandon Lowe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (93rd percentile).
Abraham Toro’s BABIP skill is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Abraham Toro has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.
The weather report projects the 3rd-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Abraham Toro will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Ryan Pepiot in this game.
Abraham Toro’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 89-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.5-mph in the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny Deluca in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Jonny Deluca is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The #6 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oakland Coliseum.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Oakland Coliseum has the 10th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks.
Dylan Carlson is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oakland Coliseum as the 6th-worst venue in the majors for lefty batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Jackson in the 4th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Alex Jackson is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Alex Jackson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 36% of the time.
Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
Ryan Pepiot will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shea Langeliers today.
When it comes to his home run talent, Miguel Andujar ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Miguel Andujar will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
Shea Langeliers has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 14.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.
Lawrence Butler has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Brown in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Seth Brown is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
This year, Seth Brown has been pinch hit for in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
Ryan Pepiot will hold the platoon advantage against Brent Rooker today.
Mitch Spence will have the handedness advantage against Junior Caminero today.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Junior Caminero in today’s game.
Ryan Pepiot will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Ryan Pepiot has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .256 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
Oakland ranks as the #2 group of hitters in Major League Baseball when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.2% rate this year).
Hitting from the same side that Mitch Spence throws from, Yandy Diaz has a tough challenge in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Yandy Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.7% rate (99th percentile).
20% of the time that Josh Lowe has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
Given the 0.04 discrepancy between Ryan Pepiot’s 9.62 K/9 and his 9.57 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see worse results in the future.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 9th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Taylor Walls is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.
Mitch Spence will have the handedness advantage against Christopher Morel today.
Christopher Morel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Tampa Bay Rays offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year.
Zack Gelof is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage over Zack Gelof in today’s matchup.
In his last outing, Mitch Spence wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 1 Ks.
J.J. Bleday has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 82.9-mph over the last 14 days.
The #3 stadium in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oakland Coliseum.
Mitch Spence will hold the platoon advantage against Jonny Deluca in today’s game.
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