Nationals vs Cubs match player stats Thursday, September 19th 2024. Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs

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Nationals vs Cubs match player stats Thursday, September 19th 2024. Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs

WSH @ CHC

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Todays Matchup Details

Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs

Todays Game is on Thursday, September 19th
19/09/24 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Cubs Matchup Today

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today.

Jacob Young has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 93.9-mph in the past 7 days.

Checking in at the 84th percentile, Jacob Young has put up a .322 BABIP this year.

Miguel Amaya will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin today.

Miguel Amaya will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Miguel Amaya’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 14.4% on the season to 22.7% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Isaac Paredes will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Joey Gallo will have the upper hand today.

Joey Gallo may have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Joey Gallo has been unlucky this year, putting up a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .039 deviation.

Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Nico Hoerner will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Sporting a 1.58 K/BB rate this year, Nico Hoerner has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 91st percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in MLB.

Ian Happ will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Joey Gallo has big-time HR ability (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (38% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Javier Assad has a pitch-to-contact profile (1st percentile K%) — great news for Gallo.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Javier Assad today.

The 3rd-worst projected lineup of the day in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Washington Nationals.

The Washington Nationals have been the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward, The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

The 5th-deepest right field fences in MLB are found in Wrigley Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Over the past 7 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.1% up to 27.3%.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.3-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Joey Gallo as the league’s 6th-best home run hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Dylan Crews pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Crews has had bad variance on his side this year. His .303 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336.

The Washington Nationals have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Gallo, Jose Tena, James Wood).

The #7 stadium in MLB for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Javier Assad will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Juan Yepez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Juan Yepez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.7% seasonal rate to 20% over the last week.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his better side against Javier Assad today.

There has been a significant improvement in Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle from last season’s 15.1° to 20° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz’s true offensive skill to be a .292, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .019 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .273 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Patrick Corbin in the 8th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

It may be wise to expect better numbers for the Chicago Cubs offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

The Chicago Cubs have 6 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Patrick Corbin today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Seiya Suzuki will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today’s game.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Jose Tena is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Tena is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Jose Tena will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad today.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jose Tena can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Patrick Corbin has averaged 92 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dansby Swanson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Pete Crow-Armstrong has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 20.9°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

When it comes to his batting average, Jacob Young has had some very poor luck this year. His .256 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .273.

Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Cubs

As it relates to his home run talent, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.

The league’s 7th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Wrigley Field.

Hitting from the same side that Javier Assad throws from, Jacob Young meets a tough challenge today.

Miguel Amaya is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

26% of the time that Miguel Amaya has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Miguel Amaya has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Miguel Amaya’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 90.6 mph to 86.3 mph.

From last season to this one, Isaac Paredes’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.5 mph to 89 mph.

In today’s matchup, Jacob Young is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 44.6% rate (100th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Gallo in the 0th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Joey Gallo is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

In today’s matchup, Joey Gallo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.5% rate (99th percentile).

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

Joey Gallo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) provides evidence that Isaac Paredes has experienced some positive variance this year with his .238 actual batting average.

When it comes to his home run skill, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Nico Hoerner has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 87.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.5-mph in the past two weeks.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Patrick Corbin, Over the past 14 days, Ian Happ’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 2.6%.

Ian Happ’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (5.3° over the last two weeks) is significantly worse than his 13° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to LHB.

James Wood will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 0.9°, James Wood has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.1°) over the last two weeks.

Javier Assad’s sinker usage has jumped by 5.5% from last year to this one (29.8% to 35.3%) .

Out of all starters, Javier Assad’s fastball velocity of 90.9 mph ranks in the 11th percentile this year.

Out of all starters, Javier Assad’s fastball spin rate of 2035 rpm ranks in the 10th percentile this year.

Given the 1.4 discrepancy between Javier Assad’s 3.27 ERA and his 4.67 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and figures to perform worse the rest of the season.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will be in a tough position in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates James Wood’s true offensive talent to be a .319, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .021 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .340 wOBA.

James Wood’s 0.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in MLB: 4th percentile.

Joey Gallo has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 19.4% rate last season has lowered to 13.5% this year.

Dylan Crews is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Javier Assad will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Crews today.

Dylan Crews will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Dylan Crews’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Javier Assad in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Juan Yepez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Javier Assad throws from, Juan Yepez will not have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In his last game started, Patrick Corbin was firing on all cylinders and allowed 1 ER.

Patrick Corbin’s sinker usage has dropped by 7.4% from last season to this one (41.5% to 34.1%) .

Sporting a 4.55 K/BB rate this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 10th percentile.

Over the last week, Seiya Suzuki’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 92.5 mph to 77.4 mph.

Seiya Suzuki’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 19% on the season to 10% over the past 14 days.

As it relates to his batting average, Seiya Suzuki has had positive variance on his side this year. His .278 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .237.

Jose Tena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jose Tena has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 2.8% in the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.1°, Jose Tena has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.9°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jose Tena has been lucky this year, compiling a .319 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .029 discrepancy.

Among all starters, Patrick Corbin’s fastball velocity of 90.9 mph ranks in the 11th percentile this year.

In today’s matchup, CJ Abrams is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.7% rate (78th percentile).

CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Cody Bellinger will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) suggests that Cody Bellinger has been very fortunate this year with his .272 actual batting average.

In the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner’s 2.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Nico Hoerner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Dansby Swanson’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89.2-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.2-mph in the past 14 days.

In the past week, Dansby Swanson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.322) suggests that Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck this year with his .358 actual wOBA.

Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.9-mph EV last year has decreased to 87.2-mph.

Juan Yepez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Juan Yepez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 12.6% on the season to 6.7% over the past 14 days.

Despite posting a .341 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Juan Yepez has been very fortunate given the .041 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Cody Bellinger has had positive variance on his side this year. His .330 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.

Over the past 14 days, Juan Yepez’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39%.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today’s matchup.

CJ Abrams has notched a .274 BABIP this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

In notching a .260 BABIP this year, Isaac Paredes finds himself in the 14th percentile.

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