Brewers vs Cubs match player stats | 2026 Series Game 4 Thursday, September 3rd

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MIL @ CHC

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Brewers @ Cubs Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Teams : Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Series Game 4
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, September 3rd
Time : 03/09/26 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Series Game 4 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kevin Gausman in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

,Compared to the average starting pitcher, Kevin Gausman has been given an above-average leash this year, throwing an extra 3.4 adjusted pitches each start.

,The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season,The 5th-deepest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.

,In Major League Baseball, the 7th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.

,When assessing his BABIP skill, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

,Garrett Mitchell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today’s matchup.

,Garrett Mitchell has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christian Yelich ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Christian Yelich is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Henderson today.

,Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Sal Frelick’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.4% up to 11.1%.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Sal Frelick’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

,Despite posting a .283 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Sal Frelick has experienced some negative variance given the .018 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

,Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field’s LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 12.5°, Carson Kelly has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 31° mark over the past 7 days.

,In notching a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Carson Kelly is positioned in the 77th percentile for offensive skills.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jake Bauers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 7 days, Jake Bauers’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Logan Henderson.

,Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Brice Turang is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

,Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge today.

,David Hamilton has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,David Hamilton’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 10.4% to 15.9%.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Michael Busch is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Michael Busch will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Matt Shaw will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Matt Shaw grades out in the 77th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.1% rate this year).

,Ranking in the 100th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year, Matt Shaw demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a key skill for achieving a high batting average.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Based on Statcast data, Jake Bauers is in the 84th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .338.

,When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kevin Gausman in the 83rd percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

,As a result of his reverse platoon split, Kevin Gausman will be at an advantage matching up with 6 batters in the projected offense who bat from the other side in today’s matchup.

,Kevin Gausman will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

,Kevin Gausman was firing on all cylinders in his last start and notched 11 strikeouts.

,Christian Yelich’s BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brice Turang ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Cooper Pratt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 16% on the season to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

,Posting a 1.94 K/BB rate this year, Cooper Pratt has demonstrated good plate discipline, ranking in the 79th percentile.

,Grading out in the 78th percentile, Cooper Pratt sports a .263 batting average this year.

,Placing in the 80th percentile, Matt Shaw has posted a .336 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Pratt in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Nico Hoerner is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.7-mph over the course of the season to 90.3-mph recently.

,Extreme flyball batters like Pedro Ramirez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Pedro Ramirez will hold that advantage today.

,Over the last 7 days, Pedro Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.5-mph over the course of the season to 90.7-mph of late.

,Michael Conforto will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage today.

,Michael Conforto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 14.9% to 19.3%.

,Jackson Chourio’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Jackson Chourio has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the past week.

,When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Logan Henderson in the 94th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

,Logan Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing bats in today’s game.

,Considering that flyball pitchers have a notable advantage over flyball hitters, Logan Henderson and his 40.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot in today’s outing matching up with 3 opposing FB hitters.

,Grading out in the 84th percentile, Logan Henderson recorded a 12.4% Swinging Strike rate this year.

,Ranking in the 96th percentile, Logan Henderson has compiled a 30% Strikeout% this year.

,William Contreras’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Despite posting a .324 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes William Contreras has had bad variance on his side given the .019 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,William Contreras’s launch angle this season (12.4°) is considerably higher than his 7° mark last year.

,Pedro Ramirez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 13th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Carson Kelly ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Logan Henderson has been lucky this year, notching a 2.48 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.69 — a 1.21 deviation.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Series Game 4 Game Today

The 5th-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.

,Willie Traynor profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in this game.

,The #7 park in baseball for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

,A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 84°.

,Milwaukee Brewers hitters as a unit rank among the elite in the majors this year (4th-) as far as their 89.3-mph average exit velocity.

,Garrett Mitchell is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Garrett Mitchell in today’s game.

,Garrett Mitchell has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 12% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Christian Yelich’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 18.5% on the season to 7.7% over the past two weeks.

,Placing in the 25th percentile for power, Christian Yelich has hit 12.3 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Typically, batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Logan Henderson.

,Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has been very fortunate given the .055 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Sal Frelick ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sal Frelick is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Carson Kelly is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Logan Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Kelly in today’s matchup.

,Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Bauers in today’s matchup.

,Jake Bauers has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 13.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.

,Ian Happ has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Ian Happ pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ian Happ has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 11% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Brice Turang’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%.

,Brice Turang has performed at a clip of 11.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ian Happ’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 79.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, David Hamilton ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,David Hamilton is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

,David Hamilton will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Over the past 14 days, David Hamilton’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 89.6 mph to 87.2 mph.

,Logan Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today’s game.

,Extreme groundball batters like Seiya Suzuki tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

,Seiya Suzuki has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 16.9% rate last season has decreased to 10.4% this season.

,Over the past 7 days, Carson Kelly’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

,From last season to this one, Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 21.9% to 18%.

,Garrett Mitchell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 9.2% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Matt Shaw is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

,This year, Matt Shaw has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 18% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,Logan Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Matt Shaw today.

,Matt Shaw has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, Alex Bregman faces a tough challenge today.

,Alex Bregman’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has decreased to 85.8-mph over the past 14 days.

,Jake Bauers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 96.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 82.2-mph in the past 7 days.

,Over the past 14 days, Alex Bregman’s 25.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

,Brice Turang’s 8.7° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the game: 12th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Pratt in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Cooper Pratt is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

,Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage against Cooper Pratt today.

,Cooper Pratt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Cooper Pratt’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.4-mph in the last two weeks.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, Nico Hoerner will be in a tough position today.

,Nico Hoerner has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Pedro Ramirez ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pedro Ramirez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Pedro Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Pedro Ramirez has been lucky this year, compiling a .337 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .029 gap.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Michael Conforto is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,31% of the time that Michael Conforto has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Michael Conforto pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jackson Chourio meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Today, Jackson Chourio is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.7% rate (85th percentile).

,Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Logan Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, William Contreras meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,William Contreras has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,William Contreras’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 90.1-mph seasonal average has lowered to 87.2-mph in the past week.

,Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 88.2-mph average last year has dropped to 85.4-mph.

,Nico Hoerner has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the last 7 days.

,Seiya Suzuki’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 17.4% on the season to 7.1% over the past week.

,Alex Bregman has compiled a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Despite posting a .371 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Seiya Suzuki has been lucky given the .020 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .351.

,Over the past week, Pedro Ramirez’s 15.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

,With a .299 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Nico Hoerner finds himself in the 25th percentile.

,Carson Kelly’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.1-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 86.8-mph in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Henderson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Chicago Cubs today holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .326, which is a fair amount lower than their actual wOBA of .337 this year.

,It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Chicago Cubs offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

,Despite posting a .342 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Conforto has been lucky given the .031 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

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