Pirates vs Cardinals match player stats Thursday, September 19th 2024. Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 4

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Pirates vs Cardinals match player stats Thursday, September 19th 2024. Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 4

PIT @ STL

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Todays Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Thursday, September 19th
19/09/24 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Cardinals Series Game 4 Matchup Today

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 92.7-mph in the past 7 days.

In the past week’s worth of games, Masyn Winn’s 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

Busch Stadium has the 4th-lowest average fence height in the league.

It may be best to expect better results for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Erick Fedde has had some very good luck with his ERA this year; his 3.45 mark is a good deal lower than his 4.07 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Erick Fedde has notched a .265 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Brendan Donovan’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Ortiz today… and moreover, Ortiz has a huge platoon split.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 45.7% on the season to 60.7% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

As it relates to his home runs, Nick Gonzales has suffered from bad luck this year. His 8.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.3.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Pedro Pages has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.7-mph.

Over the past two weeks, Pedro Pages’s 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Joey Bart is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

In the last week, Joey Bart’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph lately.

Grading out in the 90th percentile, Joey Bart has notched a .354 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Joey Bart has notched a .263 batting average this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

Over the past 7 days, Jared Triolo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.2-mph of late.

Over the last two weeks, Jared Triolo has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 19.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 7.2°.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jared Triolo has had bad variance on his side this year. His .278 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307.

Erick Fedde has averaged 93.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

Considering Luis Ortiz’s huge platoon split, Michael Siani will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Michael Siani will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 6.5°, Michael Siani has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 27.7° figure over the past week.

As it relates to his home run talent, Joey Bart ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Luis Ortiz in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Ortiz has a huge platoon split.

Luis L. Ortiz has relied on his cut-fastball 19.7% more often this season (20%) than he did last year (0.3%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Jared Triolo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 41.2% on the season to 50% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Andrew McCutchen has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last year to 12.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Last season, Bryan De La Cruz had an average launch angle of 12.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryan De La Cruz’s true offensive ability to be a .311, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .027 deviation between that figure and his actual .284 wOBA.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.322) suggests that Nick Gonzales has been unlucky this year with his .296 actual wOBA.

In notching a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Nick Gonzales is positioned in the 86th percentile.

Jordan Walker has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The 6.9% Barrel% of the St. Louis Cardinals ranks them as the #27 team in the game this year by this standard.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Erick Fedde.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 24.8% underlying K%.

Erick Fedde will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats across the board.

Paul Goldschmidt has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has posted a .276 batting average this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

Bryan Reynolds has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week’s worth of games.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Cardinals Series Game 4

Busch Stadium has the 5th-largest outfield among all parks , — generally bad for HRs.

Given Luis Ortiz’s huge platoon split, Masyn Winn will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Masyn Winn has been lucky this year, posting a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .024 deviation.

Masyn Winn’s 87.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 6th percentile this year.

As it relates to his home run talent, Masyn Winn ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Busch Stadium grades out as the #27 park in the league for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.8°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.2°) in the past 14 days.

John Bacon projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the worst stadium in the league for home runs.

In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium’s right field fences are the 2nd-deepest.

Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage against 8 opposing batters in this matchup.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team in action today.

Brendan Donovan has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Luis Ortiz will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Ortiz’s huge platoon split.

Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity this year, from 88.8 mph last year to 86.1 mph now, Erick Fedde will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Gonzales today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

Pedro Pages is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

12% of the time that Pedro Pages has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Considering Luis Ortiz’s huge platoon split, Pedro Pages will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 2nd-worst field in the league for LHB home runs.

Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Andrew McCutchen will be in a tough position today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s matchup.

Andrew McCutchen has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 12.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 6th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will be challenged by the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 87.4-mph in the past two weeks.

Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Joey Bart faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Joey Bart is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.7% rate (85th percentile).

Joey Bart will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Joey Bart has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

Jared Triolo is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Erick Fedde will have the handedness advantage against Jared Triolo today.

Today, Jared Triolo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.1% rate (89th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jared Triolo today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Siani ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Siani is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Michael Siani has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 34% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Today, Michael Siani is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.9% rate (97th percentile).

Michael Siani has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.5-mph dropping to 80.7-mph over the last 14 days.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

This year, Alec Burleson has been pulled from the game early in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Alec Burleson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.7°, Alec Burleson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5°) in the last 14 days.

Alec Burleson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 22.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 16.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 20.9% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the worst stadium in the game for strikeouts.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis L. Ortiz today.

Luis L. Ortiz’s 94.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.2-mph decrease from last season’s 95.3-mph figure.

Jordan Walker is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

22% of the time that Jordan Walker has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Given Luis Ortiz’s huge platoon split, Jordan Walker will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Jordan Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 42% on the season to 20% in the last week’s worth of games.

Brendan Donovan’s launch angle recently (9.9° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly worse than his 13.2° seasonal figure.

In terms of power, Brendan Donovan is positioned in the 24th percentile, having hit 12.3 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

In the last 7 days, Pedro Pages has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power).

Based on Statcast metrics, Andrew McCutchen is in the 21st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .228.

Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have a disadvantage today.

Bryan De La Cruz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Nick Gonzales has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Luis Ortiz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ortiz’s huge platoon split.

When it comes to plate discipline, Paul Goldschmidt’s skill is quite bad, posting a 3.66 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 24th percentile.

Considering the 1.28 disparity between Luis L. Ortiz’s 3.45 ERA and his 4.73 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and figures to negatively regress in the future.

Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Erick Fedde has compiled an 8.6% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

There has been a decrease in Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.8 mph last year to 85.7 mph now

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