
ARI @ MIL






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Thursday, September 19th
19/09/24 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Brewers Matchup Today
When assessing his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
American Family Field grades out as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks.
American Family Field has the lowest fences among all parks.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
When estimating his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.
Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
American Family Field ranks as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s game… and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers in today’s matchup.
In terms of plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo’s talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.92 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 81st percentile.
Pavin Smith is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Pavin Smith will have an advantage today.
Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Garrett Mitchell’s BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
When assessing his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Joey Ortiz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Joey Ortiz has shown good plate discipline this year, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.6 K/BB rate.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.2% seasonal rate to 23.3% over the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage over Tobias Myers in today’s matchup.
Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers in this game.
Tobias Myers has been lucky this year, putting up a 3.07 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.53 — a 1.46 discrepancy.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
American Family Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Tobias Myers will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tobias Myers must realize this, because he has relied on his secondary offerings a lot this year: 59.5% of the time, ranking in the 76th percentile.
Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Jake Bauers will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Jake Bauers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 97.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Brandon Pfaadt’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 76th percentile out of all starters in the league right now.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future, Sal Frelick’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Brandon Pfaadt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
William Contreras will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today… and even more favorably, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Brandon Pfaadt in the 78th percentile among all starters in the majors.
Brandon Pfaadt’s 2556-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 98th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Brewers
Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers.
Hitting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team in action today.
Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#2-best of all teams today).
Hitting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Christian Walker will have a tough matchup today.
Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
In the last week, Christian Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.2% down to 0%.
Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Ortiz in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.
Today, Joey Ortiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.4% rate (92nd percentile).
Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will bat from his worse side (0) today against Tobias Myers, Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 88.5 mph to 85.3 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Sal Frelick is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.
Sal Frelick has been pinch hit for 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
American Family Field profiles as the #22 stadium in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pavin Smith in today’s matchup.
Pavin Smith has been lucky this year, putting up a .395 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .073 disparity.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today’s game.
Over the past week, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.
As it relates to his home run ability, Brice Turang ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (3°) is significantly worse than his 10.2° angle last year.
In the past two weeks, Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-5.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 3°.
Jake Bauers is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Jake Bauers has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.
Jake Bauers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Because of Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, William Contreras will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.
William Contreras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, William Contreras has been very fortunate this year. His .358 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.
Jake Bauers has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks.
This year, Garrett Mitchell has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 18% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Garrett Mitchell’s true offensive skill to be a .303, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .051 disparity between that mark and his actual .354 wOBA.
Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Jackson Chourio will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.4°, Jackson Chourio has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.2°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Jackson Chourio has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 23.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 18.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Willy Adames will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.
Willy Adames has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 79.1-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Willy Adames has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .249 BA is a fair amount higher than his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 9th-worst venue in MLB for RHB batting average.
In the past week, Joc Pederson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14% down to 0%.
Over the last two weeks, Christian Walker’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18%.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 16.5% to 11.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Jake McCarthy is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake McCarthy in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Eugenio Suarez today.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 40.3% to 35.2%.
The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense today (.312 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal weaker than their .335 wOBA this year.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future, The #7 park in baseball for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Tobias Myers is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.
Tobias Myers has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.21 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.28 — a 0.07 K/9 discrepancy.
Brice Turang has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 7.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 3.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 12th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Joc Pederson’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 92.5-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 90.3-mph in the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Pfaadt to throw 85 pitches today (9th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Jose Herrera, the D-Backs’s expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the past two weeks, William Contreras’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.6°.
Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 91.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 86.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 87-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 84.2-mph in the last 14 days.
Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 85.5-mph average last year has lowered to 83.1-mph.
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