MIL @ CHC






Brewers @ Cubs Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 1st
Time : 01/09/26 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Series Game 2 Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.
,Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
,This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
,Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Michael Busch’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.4% up to 25%.
,Michael Busch has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.
,Tyrone Taylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
,Tyrone Taylor will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today’s matchup… and moreover, Gasser has a large platoon split.
,Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Sal Frelick has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 2.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last week.
,Over the past week, Sal Frelick’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.
,Sal Frelick has been unlucky this year, posting a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .015 discrepancy.
,Sal Frelick has shown good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 94th percentile with a 1.3 K/BB rate.
,When it comes to his home run ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest left field fences in the league.
,Considering Robert Gasser’s large platoon split, Matt Shaw will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Matt Shaw has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.7-mph average to last season’s 84.7-mph average.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
,Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.
,Jackson Chourio will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Boyd today.
,Nico Hoerner is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
,Nico Hoerner will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Gasser has a large platoon split.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.
,Because of Robert Gasser’s large platoon split, Alex Bregman will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
,Garrett Mitchell has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Garrett Mitchell has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 93-mph mark.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
,Christian Yelich is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Christian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,David Hamilton has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,David Hamilton has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.6-mph average.
,David Hamilton’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 10.4% to 16.2%.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Matthew Boyd’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 79th percentile out of all starters in the majors right now.
,Recording 91.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Matthew Boyd checks in at the 75th percentile.
,The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 7th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future,It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nick Mahrley) calling pitches in this game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
,The Chicago Cubs have 7 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser today, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.
,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Robert Gasser in today’s game.
,Robert Gasser’s 92.1-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 25th percentile among all SPs.
,Miguel Amaya will have the handedness advantage against Robert Gasser in today’s matchup… and even better, Gasser has a large platoon split.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Miguel Amaya has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last year’s 86.9-mph mark.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
,Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brice Turang ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Joey Ortiz will have an edge in today’s game.
,Joey Ortiz has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 91.3-mph.
,William Contreras’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
,William Contreras will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Boyd today.
,Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today’s matchup… and moreover, Gasser has a large platoon split.
,Carson Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today’s game… and moreover, Gasser has a large platoon split.
,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.
,Carson Kelly has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past week.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
,Jake Bauers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.
,Over the last 14 days, Jake Bauers’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.
,Using Statcast data, Jake Bauers ranks in the 84th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .338.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Carson Kelly ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Considering that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Robert Gasser (36.5% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected offense.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 12th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent.
,The Milwaukee Brewers have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Bauers, David Hamilton, Garrett Mitchell).
,Matthew Boyd will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in today’s game.
,Matthew Boyd will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.
,As it relates to his BABIP skill, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christian Yelich ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Series Game 2 Game Today
The league’s 7th-tallest fences can be found at Wrigley Field.
,Batting from the same side that Matthew Boyd throws from, Brice Turang will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
,Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brice Turang in today’s matchup.
,In the past 7 days, Brice Turang’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.5%.
,Michael Busch is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
,The 5th-deepest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.
,Because of Robert Gasser’s large platoon split, Michael Busch will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.
,Tyrone Taylor has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 39% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.
,Typically, batters like Tyrone Taylor who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Robert Gasser.
,The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team in action today.
,Tyrone Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 46.1% to 36.7%.
,When assessing his home run talent, Sal Frelick ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Sal Frelick is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Batting from the same side that Matthew Boyd throws from, Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
,Robert Gasser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Gasser’s large platoon split.
,Today, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42% rate (99th percentile).
,Typically, batters like Pete Crow-Armstrong who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Robert Gasser.
,Pete Crow-Armstrong has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph dropping to 86.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
,Matt Shaw is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.
,Matt Shaw has been pulled from the game early 34% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Shaw’s true offensive skill to be a .307, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .021 difference between that mark and his actual .328 wOBA.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyrone Taylor’s true offensive skill to be a .307, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .045 difference between that figure and his actual .352 wOBA.
,In notching a 9.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Tyrone Taylor grades out in the 14th percentile for power.
,Jackson Chourio has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.4°, Jackson Chourio has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.5°) in the past 14 days.
,When assessing his home run skill, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Today, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (90th percentile).
,Using Statcast metrics, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 6th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 3.000.
,In the past week’s worth of games, Alex Bregman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.
,Alex Bregman’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 82.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
,Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Matthew Boyd will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Mitchell today.
,Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
,In the last week, Garrett Mitchell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.
,Matthew Boyd will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Yelich in today’s game.
,Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
,Christian Yelich’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 18.4% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, David Hamilton ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,David Hamilton is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.
,Batting from the same side that Matthew Boyd throws from, David Hamilton will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for David Hamilton in today’s game.
,The #7 ballpark in MLB for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.
,In his previous start, Matthew Boyd allowed a staggering 6 earned runs.
,Among all starters, Matthew Boyd’s fastball velocity of 92.1 mph ranks in the 15th percentile this year.
,Matthew Boyd has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 3.99 mark is a good deal lower than his 4.79 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
,Alex Bregman’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 40.5% on the season to 30.6% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
,In notching a .269 BABIP since the start of last season, Matt Shaw finds himself in the 19th percentile.
,Sal Frelick is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Chicago (#2-best on the slate).
,The underlying talent of the Chicago Cubs projected lineup today (.320 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit worse than their .334 wOBA this year.
,It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Chicago Cubs offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the majors this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Gasser to throw 82 pitches today (5th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 18th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Miguel Amaya has been pinch hit for 32% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.
,Typically, batters like Seiya Suzuki who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Robert Gasser.
,Seiya Suzuki has struggled with his Barrel%; his 16.9% rate last year has dropped off to 10.3% this season.
,Seiya Suzuki’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 91.5-mph figure last year has fallen to 88.3-mph.
,Seiya Suzuki’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 88.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84-mph in the last two weeks.
,Sporting a 11.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brice Turang grades out in the 18th percentile for power.
,As it relates to his home run skill, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Joey Ortiz is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
,Joey Ortiz has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.
,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joey Ortiz today.
,When it comes to power, Nico Hoerner grades out in the 8th percentile, having averaged 6.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
,Today, William Contreras is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.1% rate (88th percentile).
,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for William Contreras in today’s game.
,Over the last week, William Contreras’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.
,William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 12.3% on the season to 0% in the past week.
,Joey Ortiz’s launch angle this season (5.7°) is considerably worse than his 13.8° mark last season.
,Miguel Amaya’s speed has decreased this year. His 25.93 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.4 ft/sec now.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
,Carson Kelly is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,In the last 14 days, Carson Kelly’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91.1 mph to 88 mph.
,Hitting from the same side that Matthew Boyd throws from, Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage today.
,Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
,Jake Bauers has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph dropping to 89.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
,By putting up a .196 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Carson Kelly has performed in the 22nd percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Amaya’s true offensive talent to be a .288, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .024 gap between that mark and his actual .312 wOBA.
,Alex Bregman has posted a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,William Contreras has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph dropping to 86.6-mph over the last 7 days.
,By putting up a .295 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Nico Hoerner is positioned in the 21st percentile.
,Placing in the 25th percentile for power, Christian Yelich has paced 12.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
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