Blue Jays vs Cubs match player stats | 2026 Thursday, August 6th

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TOR @ CHC

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Blue Jays @ Cubs Matchup Details

Teams : Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs

Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, August 6th
Time : 06/08/26 14:20:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Toronto Blue Jays Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

,Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Ernie Clement will have the upper hand today.

,Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Ernie Clement’s launch angle recently (33° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 16.3° seasonal mark.

,Grading out in the 94th percentile, Ernie Clement sits with a .290 batting average this year.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field.

,The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams today.

,Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,When estimating his strikeout skill, Dylan Cease projects as the 2nd-best SP in the majors right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Dylan Cease is projected to throw 98 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of all pitchers on the slate.

,Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Dylan Cease was rolling in his previous start and accumulated 12 strikeouts.

,Myles Straw will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 15.6°, Myles Straw has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20° mark in the last week.

,By putting up a .279 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Myles Straw grades out in the 85th percentile.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Myles Straw’s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.73 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 83rd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side against Dylan Cease today.

,Ian Happ will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Kazuma Okamoto will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today’s matchup.

,Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Seiya Suzuki has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past week.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Pedro Ramirez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Luis Urias is penciled in 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Luis Urias will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today.

,Luis Urias pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Luis Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 11% to 25%.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,George Springer will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today’s matchup.

,George Springer has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 93.2-mph over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and David Peterson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today.

,Nico Hoerner will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,In the past 7 days, Nico Hoerner’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1% up to 6.3%.

,Posting a 1.2 K/BB rate this year, Nico Hoerner has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 96th percentile.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Amaya will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Over the last week, Miguel Amaya’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 25%.

,Miguel Amaya has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 93.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,The 5th-deepest right field fences in MLB are found in Wrigley Field.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In the past 7 days, Carson Kelly’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

,Alejandro Kirk’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Alejandro Kirk has put up a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the majors.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today’s matchup.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been unlucky this year, notching a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .367 — a .064 difference.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

,Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage today.

,Michael Busch will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,The Chicago Cubs projected lineup grades out as the strongest on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Davis Schneider will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Davis Schneider pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Hitters such as Davis Schneider with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

,Over the past week, Miguel Amaya’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dansby Swanson’s true offensive ability to be a .337, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .031 disparity between that figure and his actual .306 wOBA.

,Nathan Lukes has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Using Statcast metrics, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .281.

,By putting up a .268 batting average this year, Nathan Lukes grades out in the 78th percentile.

,When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Ramirez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 17th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Michael Busch has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.1° angle in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Kazuma Okamoto’s launch angle in recent games (27.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 19° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,There has been a significant improvement in Davis Schneider’s launch angle from last season’s 23.9° to 27.3° this year.

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Game Today

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,The weather forecast predicts the 6th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.

,Ernie Clement will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Ernie Clement’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 86.9-mph mark last season has fallen off to 84.8-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest average fence height in the league.

,Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dylan Cease in today’s game.

,Dylan Cease’s slider usage has fallen by 10.8% from last year to this one (44.4% to 33.6%) .

,Dylan Cease has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 13.12 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.96 — a 1.17 K/9 gap.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Myles Straw ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Myles Straw is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

,When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Myles Straw has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 39% of the time.

,Ian Happ pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Over the past week, Ian Happ’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.6°, Ian Happ has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.6°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kazuma Okamoto in today’s matchup.

,In the past week, Kazuma Okamoto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.1% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Ramirez in the 13th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Pedro Ramirez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Pedro Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Luis Urias’s BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luis Urias has been pinch hit for 35% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Urias in today’s game.

,George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,George Springer has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,Despite posting a .391 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has had positive variance on his side given the .045 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .346.

,The Toronto Blue Jays (18.5 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-heavy set of batters of the day.

,The Toronto Blue Jays have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in this game.

,David Peterson’s 2156-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 20th percentile among all starting pitchers.

,It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. David Peterson has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 55.3% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Alex Bregman will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Alex Bregman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 94.6-mph mark last season has dropped off to 91.5-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

,Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage against Nico Hoerner today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Miguel Amaya is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Miguel Amaya has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

,David Peterson has averaged 14.3 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.

,The Toronto Blue Jays projected batting order projects as the 5th-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

,It may be best to expect positive regression for the Toronto Blue Jays offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

,The #8 field in baseball for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

,Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Carson Kelly will have a tough matchup today.

,Carson Kelly’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.7-mph in the last week.

,Carson Kelly’s launch angle this season (11.7°) is significantly worse than his 16.4° mark last season.

,Over the past 7 days, Kazuma Okamoto’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 96.5 mph to 85.7 mph.

,Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Alejandro Kirk has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.3% rate last year has lowered to 2.7% this season.

,Carson Kelly’s BABIP talent is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.

,From last season to this one, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.4 mph to 89.7 mph.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 89.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 81.8-mph over the last 14 days.

,Alex Bregman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 14.5% on the season to 11.1% in the past week.

,Michael Busch has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 17% rate last season has lowered to 9.6% this season.

,Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 21.9% to 17.6%.

,Dylan Cease projects as the 11th-best SP in the majors currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Chicago Cubs offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

,Davis Schneider is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

,58% of the time that Davis Schneider has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage over Miguel Amaya today.

,Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

,Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

,Dansby Swanson has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.

,When estimating his home run ability, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

,When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Nathan Lukes has been pulled from the game early 20% of the time.

,In the past 14 days, Pedro Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 86 mph to 68.6 mph.

,Nico Hoerner has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,David Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Lukes in today’s game.

,Extreme groundball batters like Nathan Lukes are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.

,Davis Schneider will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Dansby Swanson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 84.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,Luis Urias’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.2-mph figure last year has lowered to 84.3-mph.

,Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 48.4% to 36.3%.

,Pedro Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 14.5% on the season to 0% in the past week.

,Using Statcast data, Alex Bregman grades out in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .230.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Nico Hoerner’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 105.8 mph this year, placing in the 2nd percentile.

,Myles Straw has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

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