Cubs vs Cardinals match player stats | 2026 Monday, July 27th

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CHC @ STL

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Cubs @ Cardinals Matchup Details

Teams : Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals

Date : Todays Game is on Monday, July 27th
Time : 27/07/26 19:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Chicago Cubs Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

,The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 10th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average.

,Using Statcast data, Ian Happ grades out in the 90th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .360.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Jose Fermin will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Fermin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Nelson Velazquez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nelson Velazquez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in this matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for David Peterson in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today’s game.

,Masyn Winn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Carson Kelly ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Carson Kelly is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Blaze Jordan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today.

,Blaze Jordan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nico Hoerner will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today’s matchup.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph in recent games.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

,The #10 venue in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Nelson Velazquez will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.4% to 18.9%.

Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for right-handed home runs.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Ivan Herrera usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

,Over the past 14 days, Ivan Herrera’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

,Ivan Herrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.5-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.6-mph in the past two weeks.

,Over the last 7 days, Ivan Herrera’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.6%.

,Ian Happ has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Matthew Liberatore,Ian Happ pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best out of all the teams today.

,Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Busch Stadium profiles as the #29 park in baseball for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The 2nd-deepest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Busch Stadium.

,Matthew Liberatore will have the handedness advantage over Michael Busch in today’s matchup.

,Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run ability, Jose Fermin ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jose Fermin is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Jose Fermin has been pinch hit for 15% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.

,Jose Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s matchup.

,This year, Nelson Velazquez has been pinch hit for in 46% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.

,Homers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all major league stadiums.

,The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today.

,The #1 field in the game for suppressing home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,David Peterson performed well in his last GS and conceded 0 ER.

,Considering the 1.73 deviation between David Peterson’s 5.97 ERA and his 4.23 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year and figures to see better results the rest of the season.

,Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Seiya Suzuki has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 16.9% rate last year has dropped to 9.9% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Masyn Winn is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.6-mph EV last year has lowered to 87.3-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.5°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.4°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Carson Kelly’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

,Carson Kelly has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,When assessing his home run ability, Blaze Jordan ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Blaze Jordan is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

,Blaze Jordan’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 96.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 93.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Blaze Jordan’s launch angle lately (3.7° in the past 7 days) is significantly worse than his 11.1° seasonal angle.

,Jordan Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 95.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 73.9-mph over the past 7 days.

,Jordan Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 12.6% on the season to 0% over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Walker’s true offensive skill to be a .343, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .027 deviation between that figure and his actual .370 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,David Peterson has recorded 13.9 outs per GS this year, placing in the 14th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Nico Hoerner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Ranking in the 7th percentile, Dansby Swanson sits with a .241 BABIP this year.

,Alex Bregman’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.9-mph mark last season has fallen off to 87.9-mph.

,Matthew Liberatore will hold the platoon advantage against Pete Crow-Armstrong today.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Busch Stadium projects as the #28 ballpark in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jordan Walker has compiled a .273 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In the past 7 days, Michael Busch’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.

,Jordan Walker has notched a .208 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong’s true offensive skill to be a .347, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .050 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .397 wOBA.

,Nico Hoerner has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the past 14 days.

,Alex Bregman’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 85.8-mph in the past week.

,Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 14.8% to 11.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nelson Velazquez in the 25th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,With a .262 wOBA in the last two weeks, Blaze Jordan has been struggling at the plate.

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