Cubs @ Nationals Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago Cubs Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Nationals Park has the 7th-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.

,Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 84°.

,Seiya Suzuki will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Kent in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Pinckney in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Andrew Pinckney will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Andrew Pinckney will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Daylen Lile’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Among all parks, Nationals Park’s right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

,Bats such as Daylen Lile with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Daylen Lile will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,By putting up a .360 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ian Happ is positioned in the 90th percentile for offensive skills.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Over the last 14 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.3% to 19.4%.

,Keibert Ruiz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today.

,Keibert Ruiz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year’s 86.1-mph mark.

,Considering that flyball batters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, David Peterson (50% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected batting order.

,Dylan Crews is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

,Dylan Crews will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Checking in at the 84th percentile, Ian Happ has put up a .322 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Batting from the opposite that Jackson Kent throws from, Carson Kelly will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Using Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly is in the 77th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.

,Posting a 1.64 K/BB rate this year, Carson Kelly has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Brady House is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Brady House will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today’s matchup.

,Brady House has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

,CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Jacob Young will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Jacob Young has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Jacob Young will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Jacob Young’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 12.7% to 19.4%.

,Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 18.9%.

,Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Andres Chaparro will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today’s game.

,Andres Chaparro will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,When assessing his home run talent, Andres Chaparro ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage over Jackson Kent in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dansby Swanson’s true offensive skill to be a .335, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .035 gap between that figure and his actual .300 wOBA.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Daylen Lile ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

,Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Kent in today’s game.

,Alex Bregman has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Michael Busch is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,By putting up a .376 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Michael Busch is positioned in the 95th percentile for hitting ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,When estimating his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nico Hoerner is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Jackson Kent throws from, Nico Hoerner will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Nico Hoerner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Nasim Nunez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against David Peterson in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nasim Nunez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Nasim Nunez has compiled a .271 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage today.

,The underlying talent of the Washington Nationals projected offense today (.300 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount worse than their .332 wOBA this year.

,The Washington Nationals have been the luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Jackson Kent will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 14.9% on the season to 22.2% in the past week’s worth of games.

Negatives with the Washington Nationals Series Game 2 Game Today

Nationals Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

,Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Seiya Suzuki has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 16.9% rate last year has dropped off to 9.9% this season.

,Seiya Suzuki’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal average has decreased to 85.1-mph in the past 7 days.

,Andrew Pinckney is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Nationals Park projects as the #25 park in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Typically, batters like Andrew Pinckney who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as David Peterson.

,The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams on the slate today.

,Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Nationals Park projects as the #25 stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Batting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Daylen Lile has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Ian Happ is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Jackson Kent in this game.

,Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

,Jackson Kent will hold the platoon advantage against Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s matchup.

,Washington’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Pete Crow-Armstrong, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,13% of the time that Keibert Ruiz has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against David Peterson today.

,In the last week, Keibert Ruiz’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

,Despite posting a .326 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has experienced some positive variance given the .038 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Jonathan Parra profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

,The #8 ballpark in the league for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

,With 7 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, David Peterson has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,David Peterson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Dylan Crews has compiled a .288 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 17th percentile.

,With a .214 batting average this year, Dylan Crews has performed in the 11th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Carson Kelly is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

,By putting up a 5.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brady House grades out in the 14th percentile for power.

,Brady House has shown bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 25th percentile with a 4.57 K/BB rate.

,Hitting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, CJ Abrams encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates CJ Abrams’s true offensive ability to be a .333, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .049 deviation between that mark and his actual .382 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Jacob Young is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Jacob Young has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.

,Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Over the last 7 days, Ian Happ’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 92.8 mph to 87.1 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Andres Chaparro has been pinch hit for 74% of the time.

,Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Carson Kelly has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

,Carson Kelly’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 91.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 73.9-mph over the last 7 days.

,Over the past week, Andres Chaparro’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.9% down to 0%.

,Andres Chaparro’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 89.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 82.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Andres Chaparro’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 24.3% on the season to 0% over the last week.

,Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Dansby Swanson’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.6-mph seasonal average has dropped to 87.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 16.8% to 13.7%.

,Daylen Lile has performed at a clip of 12.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 21st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Daylen Lile has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.34 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Kent will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Busch today.

,Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Alex Bregman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.6-mph figure last year has decreased to 91.7-mph.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today’s matchup.

,Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 86.5-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 84.2-mph in the last two weeks.

,CJ Abrams’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 17.1% on the season to 6.7% in the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Nasim Nunez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

,This year, Nasim Nunez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.

,Tallying 14.4 outs per start this year on average, David Peterson ranks in the 21st percentile.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew Pinckney ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Young tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jackson Kent is projected to throw 78 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate.

,With 7 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jackson Kent meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 10th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Dylan Crews has notched a .352 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 19th percentile.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong’s true offensive skill to be a .346, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .049 gap between that mark and his actual .395 wOBA.

,Michael Busch’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 88.2-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 21.9% to 17.3%.

,When estimating his home run ability, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Based on Statcast data, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 6th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 3.000.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Nasim Nunez generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.

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