
CHC @ PHI






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 24th
24/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Phillies Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Pete Crow-Armstrong’s BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for HRs.
Pete Crow-Armstrong has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Over the last 7 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph lately.
Pete Crow-Armstrong has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .294 mark is a good deal lower than his .315 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The #6 stadium in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.
Taijuan Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Nico Hoerner today.
Nico Hoerner has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile with a 1.51 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Over the last 14 days, Cody Bellinger has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.5% to 15.4%.
Cody Bellinger’s launch angle recently (26° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 17.1° seasonal angle.
Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
Taijuan Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes today.
Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Isaac Paredes has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 85-mph mark.
In the last 7 days, Isaac Paredes’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.6%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Steele in the 79th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.
Justin Steele’s 2420-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 79th percentile among all starters.
Taijuan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Amaya today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Taijuan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.
Dansby Swanson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.
Taijuan Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today’s game.
Seiya Suzuki has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 95.8-mph over the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Michael Busch is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
Michael Busch has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 92.7-mph over the past two weeks.
Michael Busch’s launch angle lately (45° over the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 16.5° seasonal figure.
Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #6 park in the majors for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Tauchman in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Mike Tauchman has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Mike Tauchman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 16.1% to 20.4%.
The standard deviation of Mike Tauchman’s launch angle this year (26.2°) is in the 88th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
As it relates to his batting average, Nico Hoerner has suffered from bad luck this year. His .269 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .285.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Phillies Series Game 2
Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #27 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.
Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand today.
Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Isaac Paredes’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #27 field in MLB for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Justin Steele to be limited in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 72 pitches.
The Philadelphia Phillies have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Justin Steele in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Steele in today’s matchup.
In his last outing, Justin Steele struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.
Among all starting pitchers, Justin Steele’s fastball velocity of 91.1 mph grades out in the 14th percentile this year.
Miguel Amaya is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miguel Amaya in today’s game.
Miguel Amaya’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 78.6-mph in the past week.
Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Dansby Swanson’s launch angle this year (9.6°) is significantly lower than his 12.6° angle last year.
Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Seiya Suzuki has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .279 rate is a good deal higher than his .237 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today.
Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Busch has had some very good luck this year. His .338 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .313.
Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker today.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mike Tauchman in today’s matchup.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.6°, Dansby Swanson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) over the last two weeks.
Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.5-mph average last year has fallen to 89.1-mph.
Isaac Paredes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 16.7% on the season to 13.3% over the last week.
In notching a 12.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Mike Tauchman has performed in the 23rd percentile for power.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.300) may lead us to conclude that Cody Bellinger has been very fortunate this year with his .323 actual wOBA.
Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .360 rate is a fair amount higher than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
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