
SD @ SF






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 14th
14/09/24 21:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Giants Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Oracle Park has the shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Brett Wisely will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Brett Wisely will hold that advantage today.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Given Mason Black’s large platoon split, Jackson Merrill will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 14.8°, Jackson Merrill has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.5° figure over the past two weeks.
When assessing his home run skill, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his home run skill, Jerar Encarnacion ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jerar Encarnacion has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Jerar Encarnacion will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
In the past week, Jerar Encarnacion’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.4% up to 28.6%.
Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.301) suggests that Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck this year with his .283 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Heliot Ramos has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Heliot Ramos will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average skill.
Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Luis Arraez will hold the platoon advantage over Mason Black today… and the cherry on top, Black has a large platoon split.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Oracle Park grades out as the #10 field in MLB for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Manny Machado has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.7% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days.
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball in the past week — 115.6-mph — which is a strong proxy for recent form and raw power.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.378) suggests that Fernando Tatis Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year with his .351 actual wOBA.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.
LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Musgrove in today’s matchup.
Kyle Higashioka’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25.5%.
Placing in the 98th percentile for power, Kyle Higashioka has paced 40.2 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for LHB batting average.
In terms of his batting average, Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side this year. His .237 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Jurickson Profar has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 94.5-mph in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Grant McCray will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Musgrove today.
Grant McCray will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Over the last week, Grant McCray’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.9-mph over the course of the season to 102.2-mph lately.
Brett Wisely is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.9% rate this year).
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Xander Bogaerts has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph to 90.4-mph over the last two weeks.
Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 14.7% on the season to 21.6% over the last 14 days.
Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, putting up a .297 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .032 difference.
In notching a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Manny Machado grades out in the 81st percentile for offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.
Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mason Black in today’s matchup… and moreover, Black has a large platoon split.
The San Diego Padres have been the 9th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher today) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 38.6% to 47.2%.
Matt Chapman projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Matt Chapman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 10.8% on the season to 0% over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Mason Black will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
By putting up a 1.2 K/BB rate this year, Luis Arraez has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 99th percentile.
As it relates to his home run ability, Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Joe Musgrove will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Joe Musgrove gave up a colossal 6 earned runs in his last start.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.302) implies that Jackson Merrill has been unlucky this year with his .286 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Joe Musgrove in the 82nd percentile among all starters in MLB.
The San Francisco Giants have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Chapman, Jerar Encarnacion, Grant McCray, Heliot Ramos).
Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Giants Series Game 2
Brett Wisely is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.
Brett Wisely has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
The #4 ballpark in the league for suppressing home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Oracle Park has the highest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
This matchup is projected to have the 2nd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today’s game.
This year, Mike Yastrzemski has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Jerar Encarnacion is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The #4 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Patrick Bailey has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.
Last season, Patrick Bailey had a launch angle of 12.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 8.4°.
Joe Musgrove will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today’s game.
Among all the teams playing today, the best infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Mason Black will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Black’s large platoon split.
Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Given Mason Black’s large platoon split, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.
LaMonte Wade Jr. has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 24% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Kyle Higashioka is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.
This year, Kyle Higashioka has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 22% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Brett Wisely has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 14 days.
The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will bat from his worse side (0) today against Mason Black… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Black’s large platoon split.
Grant McCray is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Grant McCray has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 16.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 10.5% in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 25th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. today.
Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Mason Black in the 12th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mason Black to throw 75 pitches today (4th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The 5th-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the San Diego Padres.
Clint Vondrak grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone today.
Joe Musgrove will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Chapman in today’s matchup.
Heliot Ramos has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 15.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 8.6% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 96.8-mph seasonal average has dropped to 93.4-mph over the past 7 days.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 18.3% underlying K%.
The #6 ballpark in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
When estimating his home run skill, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Over the past two weeks, Grant McCray’s 15.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 23.8%.
Hitting from the same side that Joe Musgrove throws from, Jerar Encarnacion will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jerar Encarnacion’s true offensive skill to be a .289, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .046 gap between that mark and his actual .335 wOBA.
Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Joe Musgrove in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.
Kyle Higashioka, the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Considering Mason Black’s large platoon split, Xander Bogaerts will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.
LaMonte Wade Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 16.8% to 13%.
Matt Chapman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 94.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 92.5-mph in the past week.
Matt Chapman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (9°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.3° figure last season.
Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.6-mph mark last year has dropped to 87.6-mph.
In the last week’s worth of games, Jake Cronenworth’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.
Mike Yastrzemski’s BABIP talent is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mike Yastrzemski has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .322 figure is a good deal higher than his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Over the last 7 days, Patrick Bailey’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%.
LaMonte Wade Jr. has been lucky this year, notching a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .016 disparity.
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