
CHC @ COL






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 14th
14/09/24 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Rockies Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average.
Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 86°.
Isaac Paredes will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Coors Field grades out as the #1 ballpark in the game for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Kyle Freeland will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.
Kyle Freeland’s 91-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 2.8-mph jump from last year’s 88.2-mph mark.
Nolan Jones’s BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average.
Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Nolan Jones will have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 80th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Michael Busch is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Dansby Swanson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Kyle Freeland turned in a great performance in his last outing and conceded 0 ER.
Kyle Freeland has been unlucky this year, posting a 4.97 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.51 — a 0.46 gap.
Nico Hoerner will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Freeland in today’s matchup.
Nico Hoerner has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .261 figure is deflated compared to his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Miguel Amaya will have an edge in today’s game.
Miguel Amaya has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 84.1-mph in the past 7 days.
Ezequiel Tovar’s BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Despite posting a .243 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Beck has suffered from bad luck given the .044 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .287.
Sporting a 1.58 K/BB rate this year, Nico Hoerner has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.
The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Pete Crow-Armstrong has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 93.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
The Chicago Cubs have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in this game.
Pete Crow-Armstrong’s BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brenton Doyle’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Michael Toglia has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last year’s 91-mph average.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Jones stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
The Colorado Rockies have 6 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brenton Doyle, Ezequiel Tovar, Michael Toglia, Nolan Jones, Jordan Beck, Ryan McMahon).
Jameson Taillon’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (59.5% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
When assessing his home run skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Busch has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.5-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
The 4th-worst projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Colorado Rockies.
In his last GS, Jameson Taillon turned in a great performance and conceded 1 ER.
Jameson Taillon has put up a 4.02 K/BB rate this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.
Jameson Taillon has exhibited good control this year, notching a 95th percentile walk rate of 4.6%.
Brendan Rodgers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Rockies Series Game 2
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team playing today.
Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
In the past 14 days, Isaac Paredes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.
From last season to this one, Isaac Paredes’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.5 mph to 89.1 mph.
Jordan Beck is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Jordan Beck has a tough challenge today.
Jordan Beck has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.
Jordan Beck has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph dropping to 77.7-mph in the past 7 days.
In the past two weeks, Jordan Beck’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.1%.
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Cody Bellinger encounters a tough challenge today.
Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Cody Bellinger has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .326 mark is a good deal higher than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
In the last week, Michael Toglia’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.8% up to 40%.
Despite posting a .327 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Toglia has experienced some positive variance given the .030 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.
Michael Toglia has recorded a .200 batting average this year, placing in the 5th percentile.
Posting a .231 batting average this year, Ryan McMahon is ranked in the 25th percentile.
Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Seiya Suzuki’s launch angle of late (11.5° in the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 16.4° seasonal mark.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Seiya Suzuki has had positive variance on his side this year. His .356 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .324.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 25th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Charlie Blackmon has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks.
Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 86.4-mph figure last season has dropped to 84.4-mph.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Charlie Blackmon has had some very good luck this year. His .308 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281.
Charlie Blackmon has paced 11.6 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 21st percentile for power.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Charlie Blackmon has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .249 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .217 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kyle Freeland in the 24th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Freeland to throw 83 pitches in today’s game (10th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Coors Field ranks as the #30 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Nolan Jones is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Nolan Jones’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (5.7°) is significantly lower than his 12.9° angle last year.
Nolan Jones’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (-6.4° in the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 5.7° seasonal figure.
Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Nolan Jones sports a .195 batting average this year.
Seiya Suzuki’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, going from 42.4% on the season to 30.8% in the last week’s worth of games.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.237) provides evidence that Seiya Suzuki has experienced some positive variance this year with his .274 actual batting average.
Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage against Brendan Rodgers in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Brendan Rodgers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.
From last year to this one, Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19.7% to 11.7%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.286) implies that Brendan Rodgers has experienced some positive variance this year with his .311 actual wOBA.
Sporting a .288 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brendan Rodgers finds himself in the 20th percentile.
Cody Bellinger’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.4% to 38.4%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.239) provides evidence that Cody Bellinger has had positive variance on his side this year with his .268 actual batting average.
Michael Busch has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Michael Busch has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Busch today.
In the last 7 days, Michael Busch’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.8% down to 0%.
Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Dansby Swanson has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.
Dansby Swanson’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 89.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 77.1-mph over the last 7 days.
Over the past 7 days, Dansby Swanson’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.5%.
Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (10.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 15.2° angle last season.
The switch-hitting Ian Happ will bat from his weak side (0) today against Kyle Freeland, Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Ian Happ has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last two weeks.
Ian Happ’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 94.8-mph seasonal average has lowered to 86.1-mph in the last two weeks.
It may be best to expect positive regression for the Chicago Cubs offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
When estimating his home run talent, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
In the past two weeks, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 86.9 mph to 82 mph.
Posting a 8.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Nolan Jones has performed in the 22nd percentile for power.
Ranking in the 24th percentile, Nolan Jones sports a .284 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 21st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Miguel Amaya is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
Miguel Amaya has been pinch hit for 22% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.
Miguel Amaya will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.283) suggests that Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side this year with his .318 actual wOBA.
With a 9.62 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has demonstrated bad plate discipline, grading out in the 0th percentile.
Miguel Amaya has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 13.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 9.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Miguel Amaya has notched a .277 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 12th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In the past week’s worth of games, Nico Hoerner’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%.
Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Kyle Freeland will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s matchup.
In notching a .290 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has performed in the 23rd percentile.
In terms of plate discipline, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s ability is quite weak, posting a 4.63 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 10th percentile.
Over the last week, Dansby Swanson’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.2%.
Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Brenton Doyle has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.
Brenton Doyle’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 89.2-mph seasonal average has lowered to 81.8-mph over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle’s true offensive talent to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .035 difference between that mark and his actual .334 wOBA.
By putting up a 3.64 K/BB rate this year, Brenton Doyle has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 24th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 11th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jameson Taillon to throw 83 pitches today (11th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jameson Taillon in today’s game.
The Colorado Rockies have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season, The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Colorado Rockies has been 114.7 mph this year, making them the #24 club in the majors by this metric.
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