SF @ SEA






Giants @ Mariners Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, July 19th
Time : 19/07/26 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the San Francisco Giants Series Game 3 Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball’s 9th-best home run batter.
,Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
,The #10 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
,T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest fences among all stadiums.
,Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
,Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Cole Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
,Cole Young has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 93.7-mph over the last two weeks.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
,J.P. Crawford has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,J.P. Crawford has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 90.8-mph over the past 14 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
,Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the 10th-best field in baseball for LHB home runs.
,Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert in today’s game.
,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.
,HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.
,Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Rafael Devers has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Drew Gilbert will have the upper hand today.
,When estimating his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.
,Julio Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray in today’s matchup.
,When assessing his home run talent, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Casey Schmitt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
,Casey Schmitt pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
,Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,Heliot Ramos has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 8.9% rate last season to 16.4% this year.
,Josh Naylor is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.
,Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Luis Arraez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
,Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
,Luis Arraez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 88.5-mph average to last season’s 86-mph average.
,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today.
,Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
,In the past week, Cal Raleigh’s 100% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 30.5%.
,Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year, notching a .261 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .346 — a .085 gap.
,It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Seattle Mariners offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
,In the majors, T-Mobile Park’s right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.
,Robbie Ray is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue among all parks in today’s game.
,Robbie Ray will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
,Over the past week, Josh Naylor’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 20%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
,Bryce Eldridge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
,Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have the upper hand today.
,Bryce Eldridge has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 95.7-mph over the past week.
,When estimating his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Robbie Ray has averaged 95.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile.
,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
,Victor Robles will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray today.
,Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,Victor Robles will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
,This season, Victor Robles has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.1 mph compared to last year’s 87.5 mph mark.
,Colt Emerson will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
,Colt Emerson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.3-mph.
,Jung Hoo Lee will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today.
,Jung Hoo Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 47.8% to 54.2%.
,By putting up a .307 batting average this year, Jung Hoo Lee grades out in the 98th percentile.
,Casey Schmitt has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph average.
,Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Drew Cavanaugh will have an advantage today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
,Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Willy Adames has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.9-mph.
,When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Robbie Ray in the 77th percentile among all SPs in the game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for strikeouts.
,As it relates to his strikeout talent, Logan Gilbert projects as the 19th-best starter in Major League Baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Logan Gilbert has averaged 92.8 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.
,The San Francisco Giants have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Drew Cavanaugh, Bryce Eldridge, Willy Adames).
,Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Over the last two weeks, Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.5-mph over the course of the season to 102.6-mph in recent games.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage today.
,Dominic Canzone has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year’s 94.1-mph average.
,When estimating his home run ability, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
,Jung Hoo Lee has notched a .273 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Willy Adames has been unlucky this year, notching a .304 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .025 difference.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
,Compared to last season, Casey Schmitt has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.5% to 18.7% this season.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,In the last week, Rafael Devers’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 33.3%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
,In the past 14 days, Drew Cavanaugh’s 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13%.
,J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 46.5% on the season to 52.4% in the last 14 days.
,Sporting a 1.58 K/BB rate this year, Josh Naylor has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.
Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Series Game 3 Game Today
Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to less offense.
,This game is projected to have the 2nd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will bat from his weak side against Robbie Ray in this game.
,Typically, bats like Cal Raleigh who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Robbie Ray.
,Cal Raleigh has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week.
,Cole Young is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
,The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
,Robbie Ray will have the handedness advantage against Cole Young today.
,J.P. Crawford is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
,Robbie Ray will hold the platoon advantage over J.P. Crawford today.
,Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst park in baseball for RHB batting average.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Gilbert in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
,Drew Gilbert is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Drew Gilbert has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.
,Cole Young has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
,Logan Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Schmitt in today’s game.
,Casey Schmitt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
,Over the last week, Casey Schmitt’s 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.7%.
,Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against Heliot Ramos today.
,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heliot Ramos in today’s game.
,Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Josh Naylor faces a tough challenge today.
,Over the last week, Josh Naylor’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%.
,In notching a .156 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Josh Naylor has performed in the 12th percentile.
,When estimating his home run ability, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
,In the last 7 days, J.P. Crawford’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.
,Cal Raleigh’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Dexter Kelley) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst park in Major League Baseball for batting average.
,In his previous game started, Robbie Ray was in good form and allowed 2 ER.
,Robbie Ray’s four-seamer utilization has dropped by 15.1% from last year to this one (52% to 36.9%) .
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
,The #1 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Eldridge today.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Bryce Eldridge’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 0%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Gilbert in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Drew Gilbert in today’s matchup.
,Luis Arraez’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 87-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 83.1-mph over the past two weeks.
,Victor Robles is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Victor Robles has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
,Colt Emerson is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.
,Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Colt Emerson faces a tough challenge today.
,Colt Emerson has been cold of late, putting up a .286 wOBA in the last 14 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
,When it comes to his home run skill, Jung Hoo Lee ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Jung Hoo Lee is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Jung Hoo Lee will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Cavanaugh in the 24th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
,Drew Cavanaugh is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Drew Cavanaugh will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
,Willy Adames has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Willy Adames today.
,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willy Adames in today’s matchup.
,Colt Emerson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, going from 43.2% on the season to 20% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
,Robbie Ray’s 92.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 20th percentile among all SPs.
,Logan Gilbert’s slider utilization has fallen by 12.1% from last season to this one (35.2% to 23.1%) .
,Logan Gilbert’s 2192-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 20th percentile among all SPs.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Logan Gilbert’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 92nd percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB currently.
,It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the San Francisco Giants offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
,Robbie Ray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dominic Canzone in today’s matchup.
,Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.7°, Dominic Canzone has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-5.1°) over the last two weeks.
,Bryce Eldridge’s launch angle lately (-24° in the last week’s worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 13.2° seasonal figure.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryce Eldridge’s true offensive talent to be a .329, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .032 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .361 wOBA.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dominic Canzone’s true offensive talent to be a .336, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .028 difference between that figure and his actual .364 wOBA.
,Heliot Ramos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 16% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.
,Over the past week, Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 87.5 mph to 82.6 mph.
,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (8.6°) is considerably worse than his 13.4° mark last season.
,Drew Cavanaugh’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 86.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.8-mph over the past two weeks.
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