Brewers @ Giants Matchup Details

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.

,William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,There has been a significant improvement in William Contreras’s launch angle from last season’s 7° to 11.9° this season.

,When assessing his home run skill, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Casey Schmitt is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Casey Schmitt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Compared to last year, Casey Schmitt has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.5% to 18.8% this season.

,The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Daniel Susac will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Willy Adames has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions among all parks.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Drew Gilbert will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Drew Gilbert will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Milwaukee Brewers has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Drew Gilbert will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Daniel Susac, Willy Adames, Bryce Eldridge).

,Brandon Sproat’s 95.1-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 82nd percentile out of all SPs.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today’s game.

,When estimating his home run ability, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Bryce Eldridge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Pratt in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Cooper Pratt has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86.7-mph mark.

,Cooper Pratt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 12.2% on the season to 25% in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Oracle Park profiles as the #9 field in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brice Turang ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage today.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang’s BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Compared to last season, David Hamilton has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 10.4% to 13.8% this season.

,Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Mahle in today’s game.

,By putting up a .328 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Garrett Mitchell grades out in the 75th percentile for offensive skills.

,Garrett Mitchell has put up a .345 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today’s game.

,The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jung Hoo Lee can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,Tyler Mahle has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 6 opposite-handed bats in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Tyler Mahle will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,It may be best to expect worse results for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,The #2 ballpark in the majors for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jung Hoo Lee will hold that advantage today.

,Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle today.

,In his last GS, Brandon Sproat gave up a staggering 7 earned runs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Sproat today.

,The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Jackson Chourio has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Jackson Chourio has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last year’s 89.3-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 4th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Garrett Mitchell has compiled a .273 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Christian Yelich ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Willy Adames’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 20.4% on the season to 50% over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 5th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Negatives with the San Francisco Giants Game Today

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,Among all major league stadiums, the highest average fence height are at Oracle Park.

,Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

,According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most suitable for pitching on the slate today.

,Hitting from the same side that Tyler Mahle throws from, William Contreras will be in a tough position today.

,Hitting from the same side that Brandon Sproat throws from, Casey Schmitt will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daniel Susac in the 18th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Daniel Susac is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Sproat throws from, Daniel Susac encounters a tough challenge today.

,Brandon Sproat will have the handedness advantage over Heliot Ramos today.

,Willy Adames has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Sproat throws from, Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage today.

,Willy Adames has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 79.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Gilbert in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Drew Gilbert is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,14% of the time that Drew Gilbert has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,The #4 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Sproat to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (10th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Sproat in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Sproat’s 2059-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 9th percentile among all starting pitchers.

,Brandon Sproat has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 9.45 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.70 — a 0.75 K/9 discrepancy.

,In the last week, Rafael Devers’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryce Eldridge’s true offensive ability to be a .329, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .029 disparity between that figure and his actual .358 wOBA.

,Cooper Pratt is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Tyler Mahle will have the handedness advantage against Cooper Pratt today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cooper Pratt in today’s matchup.

,Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Brice Turang’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 90.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 87.6-mph in the last two weeks.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, David Hamilton ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,David Hamilton is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,Garrett Mitchell is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Garrett Mitchell in today’s game.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Bryce Eldridge is in the 3rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .139.

,Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

,Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 86.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 78.2-mph in the last 14 days.

,Jung Hoo Lee’s launch angle lately (5.3° in the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 10° seasonal figure.

,Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Jake Bauers has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 13.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.

,Among all starting pitchers, Tyler Mahle’s fastball velocity of 91.9 mph ranks in the 13th percentile this year.

,With a 0.35 gap between Tyler Mahle’s 8.35 K/9 and his 8.00 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and should negatively regress going forward.

,Placing in the 16th percentile, Tyler Mahle put up an 8.8% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

,Milwaukee Brewers hitters collectively have been one of the best in the majors this year (7th-) when assessing their 89.3-mph average exit velocity.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Pratt in the 14th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the San Francisco Giants offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez’s true offensive talent to be a .304, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .042 gap between that mark and his actual .346 wOBA.

,Over the past week, Jake Bauers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

,Tyler Mahle will have the handedness advantage over Jackson Chourio today.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 21.5°, Casey Schmitt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.8°) in the past 14 days.

,In terms of plate discipline, Casey Schmitt’s skill is quite weak, sporting a 7.3 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 1st percentile.

,William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,William Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 88-mph over the past 7 days.

,Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Jackson Chourio has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 12.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 5.3% in the past 14 days.

,In the past two weeks, Garrett Mitchell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.9% down to 4.8%.

,Heliot Ramos’s launch angle this year (5.2°) is a significant dropoff from his 12° figure last year.

,Heliot Ramos’s launch angle recently (-3.2° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 5.2° seasonal figure.

,David Hamilton will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run talent, Drew Gilbert ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In the past two weeks, Brice Turang’s 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.5%.

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