
SD @ LAD






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 24th
24/09/24 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Dodgers Matchup Today
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
Dodger Stadium ranks as the #3 park in the majors for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the majors, Dodger Stadium’s centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest.
In MLB, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 7th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability.
Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand today.
Jackson Merrill’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage against Landon Knack today.
Max Muncy projects as the 18th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Max Muncy will have an advantage in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.
Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Will Smith will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.
Luis Arraez will hold the platoon advantage against Landon Knack in today’s matchup.
Last season, Max Muncy had an average launch angle of 22.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 27.1°.
Max Muncy has posted a .366 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.
When it comes to plate discipline, Max Muncy’s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.85 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 87th percentile.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage today.
In the last week, Miguel Rojas’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.2%.
Sporting a .286 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Miguel Rojas grades out in the 92nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge today.
Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Gavin Lux will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Gavin Lux has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .244 mark is a good deal lower than his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the game.
The San Diego Padres projected offense grades out as the 4th-strongest of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.
Will Smith, the Dodgers’s expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Xander Bogaerts has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 89.7-mph.
Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle this season (11°) is quite a bit higher than his 7.9° angle last season.
Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, putting up a .296 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .033 difference.
When estimating his home run ability, Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Higashioka’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17.5% to 24.1%.
When assessing his home run skill, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Tommy Edman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
This year, Kyle Higashioka’s 11.4% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.
Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order ranks as the best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
It may be wise to expect better numbers for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average skill.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 40% to 46.9%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael King in the 94th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.
Tallying 94.9 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Michael King checks in at the 89th percentile.
In his previous outing, Michael King was firing on all cylinders and put up 7 strikeouts.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Jurickson Profar has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year’s 86.5-mph figure.
Tommy Edman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Teoscar Hernandez has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.8% seasonal rate to 23.8% over the past two weeks.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph lately.
Jurickson Profar’s launch angle in recent games (19.6° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 13.1° seasonal angle.
With a .275 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jurickson Profar is ranked in the 84th percentile.
Sporting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 92nd percentile.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 14.4% seasonal rate to 23.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph to 95.7-mph over the last 7 days.
Mookie Betts projects as the 14th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Jackson Merrill is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Los Angeles Dodgers only has 1 same-handed RP.
Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage today.
Compared to his seasonal average of 20.7°, Mookie Betts has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.7° angle in the past 14 days.
Manny Machado has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.
Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 38.6% to 47.4%.
Will Smith has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.1% seasonal rate to 17.2% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Will Smith’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (21.6°) is quite a bit better than his 12.4° angle last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Shohei Ohtani will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Luis Arraez will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Los Angeles Dodgers only has 1 same-handed RP.
Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 12.6% to 18.7%.
Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani has been lucky this year, notching a .421 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .407 , — a .014 difference.
In the last two weeks, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.
Freddie Freeman has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph dropping to 86.7-mph in the past 14 days.
Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today’s matchup.
Jake Cronenworth has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Jake Cronenworth has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 86-mph over the past 14 days.
Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Jackson Merrill has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 86.8-mph over the past 7 days.
Despite posting a .350 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Merrill has experienced some positive variance given the .016 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.
Max Muncy is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Max Muncy has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 11.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.
Over the last 7 days, Max Muncy’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.5%.
Max Muncy has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 33.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 27.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.
Michael King will have the handedness advantage against Will Smith in today’s game.
Sporting a .272 BABIP this year, Will Smith grades out in the 19th percentile.
When it comes to his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s game.
Luis Arraez’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.3-mph average last season has fallen off to 86.3-mph.
Luis Arraez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 80.6-mph over the past week.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Luis Arraez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.2°.
Max Muncy’s BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his home run skill, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Miguel Rojas is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Miguel Rojas will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Miguel Rojas has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
Miguel Rojas’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 87.3-mph average last year has dropped off to 85-mph.
Gavin Lux is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
This year, Gavin Lux has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
Gavin Lux has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days.
Gavin Lux has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 79.1-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Gavin Lux’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Landon Knack will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Landon Knack turned in a great performance in his previous GS and gave up 0 ER.
Among all SPs, Landon Knack’s fastball spin rate of 2448 rpm ranks in the 90th percentile this year.
Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Landon Knack has put up a 3.77 K/BB rate this year.
San Diego Padres bats collectively place 25th- in baseball for power this year when using their 91.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs.
Landon Knack will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.6°, Fernando Tatis Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.3°) in the past two weeks.
Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Landon Knack will have the handedness advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xander Bogaerts today.
Over the past two weeks, Xander Bogaerts’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°.
Utilizing Statcast data, Xander Bogaerts grades out in the 19th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .287.
Kyle Higashioka is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Kyle Higashioka has been pinch hit for 23% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Landon Knack will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Higashioka in today’s matchup.
Extreme groundball batters like Kyle Higashioka tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Landon Knack.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Higashioka in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Teoscar Hernandez has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 15.8% on the season to 9.1% in the last two weeks.
The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Michael King, Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 90.6-mph mark last season has fallen to 88.3-mph.
Over the past 7 days, Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 88.3 mph to 81.8 mph.
Tommy Edman has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .332 mark is a fair amount higher than his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Hitting from the same side that Landon Knack throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough matchup today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.5) implies that Manny Machado has had positive variance on his side this year with his 28.0 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael King as the 17th-best starter in the majors currently.
Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In his previous outing, Michael King was firing on all cylinders and conceded 2 ER.
With a 3.35 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the variables most within a pitcher’s control), Michael King falls in the 83rd percentile.
Luis Arraez has paced 1.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 2nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 20.4% underlying K%.
Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael King in today’s matchup.
Michael King’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.2 mph this season (92.3 mph) below where it was last year (93.5 mph).
Michael King’s fastball spin rate has decreased 111 rpm this season (2284 rpm) below where it was last year (2395 rpm).
Michael King has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.57 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.28 — a 0.28 K/9 gap.
The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Landon Knack, Today, Jurickson Profar is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.5% rate (83rd percentile).
Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Jurickson Profar’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 92.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 84.2-mph over the past 14 days.
Despite posting a .369 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jurickson Profar has had some very good luck given the .045 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.
Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 17.7% to 12.1%.
Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Mookie Betts faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 92.4-mph figure last year has lowered to 90-mph.
Over the last 14 days, Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 91.1 mph to 87.9 mph.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Mookie Betts has experienced some positive variance this year. His .378 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .352.
Miguel Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 17.9% to 11.2%.
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- Astros vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, August 8th
- Astros vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Friday, August 7th
- Padres vs D-Backs match player stats | 2026 Series Game 4 Thursday, August 6th
- Padres vs D-Backs match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, August 4th
- Padres vs D-Backs match player stats | 2026 Monday, August 3rd
- Giants vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 4 Sunday, August 2nd
- Giants vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Saturday, August 1st
- Giants vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Friday, July 31st
- Giants vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Thursday, July 30th
- Rockies vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Wednesday, July 29th
- Rockies vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, July 28th
- Padres vs Marlins match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, July 26th
- Padres vs Marlins match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, July 25th
- Padres vs Marlins match player stats | 2026 Friday, July 24th
- Padres vs Braves match player stats | 2026 Series Game 4 Thursday, July 23rd
- Padres vs Braves match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, July 22nd
- Padres vs Braves match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, July 21st
- Padres vs Braves match player stats | 2026 Monday, July 20th
- Padres vs Royals match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, July 19th
- Padres vs Royals match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, July 18th
- Padres vs Royals match player stats | 2026 Friday, July 17th
- Blue Jays vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, July 12th
- Blue Jays vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, July 11th
- Blue Jays vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Friday, July 10th