Brewers @ Dodgers Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for lefty home runs.

,In the league, Dodger Stadium’s CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

,Dodger Stadium has the shortest fences among all parks.

,Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Dodger Stadium grades out as the #2 park in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Tommy Edman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Robert Gasser) in this game.

,Bats such as Tommy Edman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Robert Gasser who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

,Tommy Edman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 13th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill.

,Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Christian Yelich’s BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Andy Pages is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,As it relates to his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Shohei Ohtani will hold that advantage today.

,Compared to last season, Shohei Ohtani has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.4% to 50% this season.

,Because of Robert Gasser’s large platoon split, Miguel Rojas will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christian Yelich ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s matchup.

,David Hamilton’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 10.4% to 15.3%.

,William Contreras’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,William Contreras has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 92.4-mph over the last 7 days.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .319 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Tucker has been unlucky given the .023 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Mookie Betts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Because of Robert Gasser’s large platoon split, Mookie Betts will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,Joey Ortiz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last season’s 86.2-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Considering Robert Gasser’s large platoon split, Teoscar Hernandez will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Hunter Feduccia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Feduccia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Hunter Feduccia has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 26.21 ft/sec to 27.21 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

,This year, Hunter Feduccia has an average exit velocity of 90.5 mph, which ranks among the best in the game at the 80th percentile.

,Hunter Feduccia ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (51.9% rate this year).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

,Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Chourio has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.7% seasonal rate to 25.9% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Jackson Chourio has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 92.2-mph EV.

,Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s game.

,Jake Bauers has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 49% on the season to 75% over the past week.

,When estimating his home run talent, Gary Sanchez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Gary Sanchez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Gary Sanchez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Dodger Stadium ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto has relied on his curveball 5.2% less often this season (12.4%) than he did last year (17.6%).

,Given the 0.9 deviation between Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 2.65 ERA and his 3.55 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year and ought to see negative regression in the future.

,Teoscar Hernandez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Gary Sanchez’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) has been 111.9 mph this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

,Gary Sanchez has put up a .364 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Gary Sanchez’s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 0.95 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 97th percentile.

,Enrique Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Gasser has a large platoon split.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Enrique Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage over Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.

,Garrett Mitchell has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 92.9-mph mark.

,Over the past two weeks, Christian Yelich’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 101.2-mph recently.

,Christian Yelich’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 14.1% to 19.2%.

,Looking at the top 5% of Enrique Hernandez’s batted balls by exit velocity, their 98.8 mph average places him among the league’s elite, ranking in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

,Enrique Hernandez and his 17.9° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 86th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been given an above-average leash this year, recording 6.8 more adjusted pitches-per-start than league average.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense grades out as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

,It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

,William Contreras has been unlucky this year, notching a .311 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .028 discrepancy.

,In terms of plate discipline, William Contreras’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.59 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 83rd percentile.

,With a .364 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Kyle Tucker is ranked in the 90th percentile for hitting ability.

,Kyle Tucker has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 88th percentile with a 1.46 K/BB rate.

,In notching a .275 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Andrew Vaughn finds himself in the 82nd percentile.

,Andrew Vaughn has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 92nd percentile with a 1.35 K/BB rate.

,Sporting a 25.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gary Sanchez finds himself in the 82nd percentile for power.

,Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Over the past two weeks, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph in recent games.

,Mookie Betts’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Freddie Freeman projects as the 19th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Andy Pages will have the handedness advantage over Robert Gasser today… and the cherry on top, Gasser has a large platoon split.

,Andy Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Miguel Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13% to 19.3%.

,When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the 89th percentile among all starters in the majors.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Series Game 2 Game Today

12% of the time that Jake Bauers has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Bauers today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Bauers’s true offensive skill to be a .327, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .048 deviation between that mark and his actual .375 wOBA.

,Robert Gasser will have the handedness advantage over Shohei Ohtani today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Gasser’s large platoon split.

,Shohei Ohtani has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last year has dropped to 16.6% this season.

,Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 100.7-mph mark last season has fallen to 95.9-mph.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Vaughn in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Vaughn today.

,Andrew Vaughn has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Andrew Vaughn’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 80.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,Dodger Stadium projects as the #22 venue in the game for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In the past week, Tommy Edman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.3% down to 0%.

,From last season to this one, Tommy Edman’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.3 mph to 84.3 mph.

,Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 14.4% on the season to 7.1% over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tommy Edman’s true offensive skill to be a .295, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .035 gap between that mark and his actual .330 wOBA.

,Given Robert Gasser’s large platoon split, Freddie Freeman will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

,Over the past 14 days, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 2.8%.

,Freddie Freeman has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 87.6-mph over the last week.

,Christian Yelich is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Christian Yelich generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

,Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Christian Yelich’s launch angle of late (-2.1° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 2.7° seasonal angle.

,Extreme groundball batters like Andy Pages are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Robert Gasser.

,Andy Pages has been cold of late, notching a 3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,13% of the time that Garrett Mitchell has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Garrett Mitchell are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

,Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Garrett Mitchell has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 13.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

,The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

,When assessing his home run skill, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Miguel Rojas has been pulled from the game early 40% of the time.

,Despite posting a .317 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Miguel Rojas has been lucky given the .021 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, David Hamilton ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,David Hamilton is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,This year, David Hamilton has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,David Hamilton will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,William Contreras is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 99% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, William Contreras will have a tough matchup today.

,Typically, hitters like William Contreras who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

,William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Robert Gasser will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Tucker today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Gasser’s large platoon split.

,In today’s matchup, Kyle Tucker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.9% rate (81st percentile).

,Typically, bats like Kyle Tucker who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Robert Gasser.

,Extreme flyball bats like Mookie Betts are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Robert Gasser.

,Mookie Betts has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks.

,Mookie Betts’s launch angle recently (-2° in the last week) is considerably lower than his 18.5° seasonal angle.

,Grading out in the 24th percentile, Mookie Betts has put up a .297 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Joey Ortiz has been pinch hit for 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Joey Ortiz will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Teoscar Hernandez has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Teoscar Hernandez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

,With a 3.28 K/BB rate this year, Teoscar Hernandez has demonstrated weak plate discipline, ranking in the 24th percentile.

,Hunter Feduccia is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

,Robert Gasser will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Feduccia today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Gasser’s large platoon split.

,Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today’s matchup.

,Hunter Feduccia has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 7.4° mark is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (20th percentile).

,Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Gary Sanchez encounters a tough challenge today.

,Gary Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Gary Sanchez has been lucky this year, notching a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .042 deviation.

,When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Gary Sanchez and his 12% rank in the 22nd percentile this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yoshinobu Yamamoto as the 9th-best starting pitcher in the league right now.

,It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

,Projected catcher Hunter Feduccia grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #3 HR venue among all major league parks — in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Enrique Hernandez in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Enrique Hernandez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Since the start of last season, Enrique Hernandez has been pinch hit for in 19% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

,As it relates to his home runs, Enrique Hernandez has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 23.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.7.

,Considering that flyball pitchers hold a sizeable edge over flyball hitters, Robert Gasser and his 36.5% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable spot in this outing squaring off against 2 opposing FB hitters.

,Robert Gasser performed well in his last outing and conceded 2 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Gasser to throw 83 pitches today (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.2°, Freddie Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.1°) in the past two weeks.

,Grading out in the 3rd percentile, Mookie Betts has put up a .233 BABIP this year.

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