Reds vs Dodgers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 9th

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CIN @ LAD

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Reds @ Dodgers Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 9th
Time : 09/09/26 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Cincinnati Reds Series Game 3 Game Today

Recording 93.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Rhett Lowder checks in at the 85th percentile.

,Dodger Stadium profiles as the #7 stadium in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Sal Stewart ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Sal Stewart is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.

,Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.

,Dodger Stadium ranks as the #3 park in the majors for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Dodger Stadium.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Alex Freeland will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Rhett Lowder today.

,Eugenio Suarez projects as the 20th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Extreme flyball hitters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

,Over the past week, Eugenio Suarez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 28.6%.

,JJ Bleday is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 12.4% to 16.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Tommy Edman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86-mph over the course of the season to 88.5-mph lately.

,Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Despite posting a .209 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke’Bryan Hayes has had bad variance on his side given the .078 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .287.

,As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.

,Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Matt McLain has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 92.1-mph in the last two weeks.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 20.6°, Matt McLain has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 37.3° angle in the last week.

,Matt McLain’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 16% to 22.6%.

,Carlos Jorge will hold the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Max Muncy is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hector Rodriguez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes’s 90.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in MLB this year: 80th percentile.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Freddie Freeman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,By putting up a 1.65 K/BB rate this year, Alex Call has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 87th percentile.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Stephenson’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 15%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Max Muncy will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Max Muncy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Teoscar Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Teoscar Hernandez has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.3% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Alex Call has posted a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order profiles as the best on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward,The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

,Will Smith projects as the 19th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the 92nd percentile among all starters in the majors.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto has averaged 97.9 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 98th percentile.

,The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Eugenio Suarez, Tyler Stephenson, Matt McLain).

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.

,Kyle Tucker will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,In the past two weeks, Kyle Tucker’s 32.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto projects as the 7th-best pitcher in baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,It may be wise to expect worse results for the Cincinnati Reds offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #5 HR venue among all parks — in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Will Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Will Smith’s launch angle lately (25.8° over the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 20.4° seasonal mark.

,Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an edge in today’s game.

,Hector Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.

,Extreme groundball hitters like JJ Bleday are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 12th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Freddie Freeman will have the upper hand today.

,Sal Stewart has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.4-mph.

,When assessing his home run skill, JJ Bleday ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Alex Freeland will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Alex Freeland’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.6% up to 22.2%.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Rhett Lowder in the 21st percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

,The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,With 6 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Rhett Lowder will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,Rhett Lowder will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Placing in the 1st percentile, Rhett Lowder recorded a 7.6% Swinging Strike% this year.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto will have the handedness advantage over Sal Stewart today.

,Sal Stewart has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sal Stewart in today’s matchup.

,Sal Stewart has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Freeland in the 21st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Alex Freeland is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

,Among every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

,Alex Freeland has put up a .251 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Alex Freeland ranks in the 10th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .167.

,Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Eugenio Suarez has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Eugenio Suarez’s talent is quite bad, posting a 3.24 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 22nd percentile.

,In notching a .201 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Eugenio Suarez is positioned in the 4th percentile.

,Grading out in the 6th percentile, Eugenio Suarez sits with a .210 batting average this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 17th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 10th-worst park in the majors for right-handed base hits.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,JJ Bleday’s launch angle of late (19.3° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably worse than his 22.4° seasonal mark.

,With a .263 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, JJ Bleday has performed in the 5th percentile for offensive skills.

,Matt McLain is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Matt McLain faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt McLain in today’s game.

,Matt McLain has put up a .216 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Rhett Lowder will hold the platoon advantage over Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.

,Teoscar Hernandez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Teoscar Hernandez’s skill is quite poor, sporting a 3.28 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 21st percentile.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Ke’Bryan Hayes ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto will have the handedness advantage over Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s game.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Checking in at the 20th percentile, Alex Freeland has posted a .126 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

,Kyle Tucker pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Tucker’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.5-mph in the last 14 days.

,From last season to this one, Kyle Tucker’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.4 mph to 88.1 mph.

,The #10 park in the league for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will bat from his weak side against Rhett Lowder in today’s game.

,Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.3-mph mark last year has lowered to 86-mph.

,Tommy Edman has been lucky this year, putting up a .341 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .044 discrepancy.

,Shohei Ohtani has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last year has decreased to 15.9% this season.

,Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 100.7-mph EV last year has decreased to 96.2-mph.

,Typically, bats like Elly De La Cruz who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz’s true offensive skill to be a .339, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .027 gap between that mark and his actual .366 wOBA.

,Sporting a 7.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Tommy Edman finds himself in the 12th percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Jorge in the 16th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Carlos Jorge is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Typically, hitters like Carlos Jorge who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

,Carlos Jorge will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

,Max Muncy has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 83.7-mph over the past week.

,Max Muncy has been lucky this year, notching a .357 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .337 — a .020 gap.

,Hector Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,In the last week, Hector Rodriguez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%.

,Hector Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 88.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.4-mph over the last week.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.4°, Hector Rodriguez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Despite posting a .345 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hector Rodriguez has been lucky given the .047 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

,Matt McLain has posted a .286 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Freddie Freeman’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.6-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 85.7-mph over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Call in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Alex Call is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Rhett Lowder will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Call in today’s game.

,Alex Call has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

,Tyler Stephenson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

,Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 21.7% to 18.1%.

,Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 18.1% on the season to 15% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.6°, Teoscar Hernandez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.2°) over the past two weeks.

,In the past 7 days, Tyler Stephenson’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.8%.

,In his previous start, Rhett Lowder turned in a great performance and allowed 2 ER.

,Rhett Lowder has experienced some negative variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 5.43 figure is quite a bit higher than his 4.76 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,Will Smith is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Hitting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Will Smith will have a tough challenge today.

,Over the past week, Will Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.

,Will Smith’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 87-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Projected catcher Will Smith profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s curveball percentage has decreased by 5.1% from last year to this one (17.6% to 12.5%) .

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto turned in a great performance in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.

,Alex Call’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.7-mph mark last season has fallen off to 84.2-mph.

,Ranking in the 19th percentile, Kyle Tucker has put up a .358 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

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