Padres vs D-Backs match player stats Friday, September 27th 2024. San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

|
Padres vs D-Backs match player stats Friday, September 27th 2024. San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

SD @ ARI

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Padres vs D-BacksPadres vs D-BacksPadres vs D-BacksPadres vs D-BacksPadres vs D-BacksPadres vs D-Backs

Todays Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

Todays Game is on Friday, September 27th
27/09/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs D-Backs Matchup Today

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an edge today.

The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Ketel Marte projects as the 15th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.

Ketel Marte will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the league for lefty batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for right-handed batting average.

When estimating his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Christian Walker will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Xander Bogaerts has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88-mph figure.

Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the last 7 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge today.

Geraldo Perdomo has shown favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 87th percentile with a 1.72 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Gabriel Moreno will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Gabriel Moreno has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 8.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 12.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

In comparison to his 86.5-mph average last year, Jurickson Profar’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.1 mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge today.

Jake Cronenworth has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year’s 89.2-mph EV.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in MLB for batting average.

Merrill Kelly’s 91.3-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 23rd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Merrill Kelly has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.71 figure is considerably lower than his 4.52 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Manny Machado has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.2% seasonal rate to 17.2% over the last two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Martin Perez throws from, Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage today.

Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Luis Arraez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.5°, Luis Arraez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 33.2° angle over the past week.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Arizona Diamondbacks has been 117 mph this year, ranking them as the #8 offense in the majors by this stat.

Merrill Kelly’s 2390-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 80th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Merrill Kelly has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.28 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.59 — a 1.32 K/9 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Eugenio Suarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 17.6% on the season to 40% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

There has been a significant improvement in Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle from last season’s 7.9° to 11° this year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs D-Backs

In the past 7 days, Randal Grichuk’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 93.6 mph to 87.5 mph.

In terms of his batting average, Randal Grichuk has experienced some positive variance this year. His .287 BA has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

Chase Field profiles as the #29 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Martin Perez.

Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home runs, Ketel Marte has had positive variance on his side this year. His 36.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.7.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Merrill Kelly in today’s game.

Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jurickson Profar in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Jurickson Profar’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 92.1 mph to 85.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Martin Perez in the 16th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Martin Perez is projected to throw 84 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 13th-least on the slate.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.5% underlying K%.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Martin Perez in today’s matchup.

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Chase Field.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 78.6-mph over the last 7 days.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 42.8% on the season to 16.7% over the last week.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .277 figure is inflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #1 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Christian Walker will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Over the past two weeks, Christian Walker’s 5.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Xander Bogaerts has a tough challenge today.

Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his strong side against Martin Perez in this game.

Geraldo Perdomo has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the last two weeks.

Merrill Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.

Today, Jackson Merrill is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.4% rate (100th percentile).

Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Jackson Merrill’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 0%.

Jackson Merrill has been lucky this year, posting a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .014 disparity.

Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Gabriel Moreno has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 40.3% to 34.4%.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, falling from 34.4% on the season to 14.3% over the last week.

Corbin Carroll has posted a .252 BABIP this year, grading out in the 8th percentile.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

There has been a decrease in Luis Arraez’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.3 mph last year to 86.2 mph now, Luis Arraez’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 86.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 76.8-mph in the past 7 days.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance this year. His .391 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .364.

Gabriel Moreno’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.1-mph over the past week.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Eugenio Suarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 92.4 mph to 86.7 mph.

Jake Cronenworth has put up a .277 BABIP this year, placing in the 25th percentile.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Merrill Kelly will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his previous outing, Merrill Kelly turned in a great performance and gave up 0 ER.

Merrill Kelly’s cutter rate has jumped by 7.5% from last year to this one (18.2% to 25.7%) .

Merrill Kelly will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado today.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.7% to 12.2%.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.5% to 11.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Randal Grichuk has been lucky this year, notching a .364 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .038 discrepancy.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Arizona ranks as the #28 team in the game when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (14.4% rate this year).

The San Diego Padres (18.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters on the slate.

The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle in recent games (7° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably lower than his 15.4° seasonal angle.

Latest Arizona Diamondbacks Match Player Stats

Latest San Diego Padres Match Player Stats