Padres vs Cardinals match player stats Monday, August 26th 2024. San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals

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Padres vs Cardinals match player stats Monday, August 26th 2024. San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals

SD @ STL

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Todays Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals

Todays Game is on Monday, August 26th
26/08/24 19:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Cardinals Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°.

Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Busch Stadium has the shortest average fence height among all parks.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage today.

Luis Arraez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 18.6% on the season to 26.1% in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jurickson Profar has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 92.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Randy Vasquez in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 93°.

Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Tommy Pham will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Manny Machado has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Posting a .270 batting average this year, Xander Bogaerts is positioned in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Vasquez in the 20th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.

Randy Vasquez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Randy Vasquez has posted a 4.77 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the things most within a pitcher’s control) this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

Randy Vasquez has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 5.84 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.94 — a 1.1 K/9 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today’s matchup.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 40% to 48.7%.

Jackson Merrill’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Jackson Merrill’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.7% up to 19%.

Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Victor Scott will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Victor Scott hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Scott will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, posting a .302 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .027 difference.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Arenado’s launch angle in recent games (21.7° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17.2° seasonal angle.

Nolan Arenado has compiled a .268 batting average this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Kyle Gibson has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Kyle Gibson will hold that advantage today.

Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Lars Nootbaar will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Masyn Winn is in the 88th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .277.

When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Higashioka has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89-mph EV.

Kyle Higashioka’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 26.4%.

Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 42% to 47.1%.

Jurickson Profar has compiled a .358 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 91st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 85th percentile, Masyn Winn sports a .278 batting average this year.

Victor Scott has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 3.9% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past 14 days.

As a team, San Diego Padres bats have performed well when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating best in Major League Baseball.

David Peralta’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, David Peralta will have an edge in today’s game.

David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

David Peralta’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 46.8% to 55.4%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Last season, Paul Goldschmidt had an average launch angle of 12.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.7°.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

David Peralta has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 90.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In the last 14 days, Kyle Higashioka’s 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 25.6%.

Kyle Higashioka has compiled a .327 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Alec Burleson will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Paul Goldschmidt’s true offensive ability to be a .333, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .041 disparity between that mark and his actual .292 wOBA.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Cardinals

Brendan Donovan has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Brendan Donovan’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (9.3°) is considerably lower than his 12.3° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

The #1 field in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Luis Arraez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph mark last season has decreased to 87.5-mph.

The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Kyle Gibson, Today, Jurickson Profar is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.9% rate (86th percentile).

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jurickson Profar in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks, Jurickson Profar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

Alec Burleson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Alec Burleson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 14.1% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

When it comes to his home runs, Alec Burleson has been very fortunate this year. His 26.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.1.

Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage over Tommy Pham today.

There has been a decrease in Tommy Pham’s average exit velocity this season, from 92.3 mph last year to 90.3 mph now, Tommy Pham’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 11% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Kyle Gibson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Manny Machado’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 5.9°.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 17.7% to 11.6%.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #27 venue in the league for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

HRs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all major league parks.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.

Kyle Higashioka, the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for home runs.

The 2nd-deepest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Busch Stadium.

Over his last 3 starts, Randy Vasquez has experienced a notable rise in his fastball spin rate: from 2410 rpm over the whole season to 2487 rpm of late.

Out of all starting pitchers, Randy Vasquez’s fastball spin rate of 2410 rpm ranks in the 83rd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Vasquez in the 14th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Randy Vasquez is projected to throw 81 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #25 field in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Alec Burleson has exhibited some bad exit velocity benchmarks recently, averaging just 102.8-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls over the past 14 days.

Jake Cronenworth has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 91.9 mph to 88.8 mph.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill in today’s game.

In terms of plate discipline, Jackson Merrill’s ability is quite weak, putting up a 4.01 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 18th percentile.

When it comes to his home run talent, Victor Scott ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Victor Scott is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Over the past 14 days, Victor Scott’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 90.2 mph to 86.5 mph.

Over the last 7 days, Victor Scott’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.5%.

In the past week’s worth of games, Xander Bogaerts’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Randy Vasquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.8-mph mark last season has dropped off to 85.8-mph.

Over the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph of late.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the San Diego Padres with a 19.3% underlying K%.

Kyle Gibson’s 90.2-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.2-mph fall off from last season’s 91.4-mph figure.

Kyle Gibson has used his change-up 7.9% less often this season (9.1%) than he did last season (17%).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pedro Pages ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pedro Pages is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Batting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Pedro Pages encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

When it comes to power, Brendan Donovan finds himself in the 24th percentile, having paced 11.8 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Randy Vasquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn today.

Masyn Winn has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.7-mph mark last season has decreased to 87.4-mph.

Kyle Higashioka is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have a tough matchup today.

Kyle Higashioka pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Higashioka in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.5°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.7°) over the last two weeks.

Masyn Winn has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Victor Scott ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The #7 park in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Grading out in the 19th percentile for power, Tommy Pham has averaged 11 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the San Diego Padres offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

David Peralta is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for David Peralta in today’s matchup.

In the past week, David Peralta’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.

David Peralta’s launch angle in recent games (0.5° in the last week) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.1° seasonal figure.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.251) implies that Pedro Pages has been very fortunate this year with his .283 actual wOBA.

Paul Goldschmidt has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Randy Vasquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today’s matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

Jake Cronenworth’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (11.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.6° angle last season.

Kyle Gibson has displayed bad control this year, notching a 23rd percentile BB% of 9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14°, Paul Goldschmidt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-7.7°) in the past 14 days.

Latest St. Louis Cardinals Match Player Stats

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