
SF @ SEA






Positive Match Player Stats for Giants vs Mariners
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Among all parks, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Tyler Fitzgerald pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Thairo Estrada pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Thairo Estrada has experienced some negative variance given the .034 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for homers.
When it comes to his home run ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.
Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage today.
In the last two weeks, Josh Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph recently.
Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Yastrzemski can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today.
Leonardo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Leonardo Rivas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Leonardo Rivas’s launch angle recently (30° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably higher than his 12.3° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as Major League Baseball’s 16th-best home run batter.
Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Heliot Ramos has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Curt Casali’s speed has gotten better this season. His 23.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.27 ft/sec now.
Grant McCray’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Grant McCray will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today’s game… and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the majors.
Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Hayden Birdsong in the 85th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.
The Seattle Mariners have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jorge Polanco, Luke Raley, Cal Raleigh).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the best venue in MLB for strikeouts.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Luke Raley is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the majors’s 11th-best home run hitter.
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The 4th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in T-Mobile Park.
Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Hayden Birdsong has compiled a 1.87 K/BB rate this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Luis Castillo’s overall pitching skill is in the 87th percentile among all SPs in the majors currently.
Luis Castillo has averaged 96.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.
It may be best to expect weaker performance for the San Francisco Giants offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today’s game.
In comparison to his 89.6-mph average last year, Cal Raleigh’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92 mph.
Grant McCray is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Luis Castillo in the 82nd percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.
The San Francisco Giants have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Chapman, Grant McCray, Tyler Fitzgerald, Heliot Ramos).
Michael Conforto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.
LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s game… and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jorge Polanco will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Curt Casali ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.4° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in Major League Baseball.
Curt Casali has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.
Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Negative Match Player Stats with Giants vs Mariners
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in the game for run-scoring.
T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.
According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most suitable for pitching of all games today.
Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Tyler Fitzgerald will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Fitzgerald today.
Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Thairo Estrada will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Thairo Estrada in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for LaMonte Wade Jr. today.
LaMonte Wade Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.
LaMonte Wade Jr.’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 90.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.8-mph over the past 14 days.
Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
Last season, Jorge Polanco had a launch angle of 23.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 20°.
Josh Rojas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Josh Rojas has been pulled from the game early 17% of the time.
The #1 field in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Leonardo Rivas is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Leonardo Rivas will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Hayden Birdsong in today’s matchup.
Tyler Fitzgerald has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 10.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.
Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Matt Chapman will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Chapman today.
In the past 7 days, Matt Chapman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 94.8 mph to 90.2 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leonardo Rivas in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage over Heliot Ramos in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heliot Ramos in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curt Casali in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Curt Casali is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Luis Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Curt Casali in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
LaMonte Wade Jr. has hit 8.7 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 12th percentile for power.
Grant McCray is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Grant McCray will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Julio Rodriguez will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Over the past two weeks, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 93.5 mph to 86 mph.
Julio Rodriguez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (0.2° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 8.5° seasonal angle.
Grading out in the 15th percentile, Julio Rodriguez sits with a .171 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Birdsong is projected to throw 83 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Hayden Birdsong in today’s game.
Hayden Birdsong has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 10.67 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.63 — a 1.04 K/9 gap.
T-Mobile Park grades out as the #28 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
This year, Luke Raley has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Luke Raley has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 26.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 21.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Conforto in today’s game.
Michael Conforto has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph dropping to 84.6-mph in the last 14 days.
Michael Conforto has compiled a .227 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Josh Rojas has hit 11.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 21st percentile for power.
Cal Raleigh’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 95.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 93.1-mph over the past two weeks.
T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 stadium in the majors for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hayden Birdsong has a reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 6 opposite-handed bats today.
Hayden Birdsong was on point in his previous outing and allowed 1 ER.
Hayden Birdsong will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s game.
Over the last two weeks, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%.
Randy Arozarena’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 83-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Luis Castillo’s 2157-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a substantial 130-rpm drop off from last season’s 2287-rpm figure.
Cal Raleigh’s BABIP ability is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Luis Castillo has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 61.8% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of San Francisco (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).
Posting a 5.83 K/BB rate this year, Luke Raley has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 5th percentile.
Matt Chapman’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.3° figure last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Heliot Ramos’s true offensive ability to be a .318, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .033 disparity between that figure and his actual .351 wOBA.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mike Yastrzemski in today’s game.
Over the last 7 days, Mike Yastrzemski’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Grant McCray ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curt Casali in the 22nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Curt Casali will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
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