Marlins vs Royals match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, September 1st

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MIA @ KC

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Marlins @ Royals Matchup Details

Teams : Miami Marlins at Kansas City Royals

Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 1st
Time : 01/09/26 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Miami Marlins Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tyler Phillips in the 20th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

,Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #4 venue in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

,A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 93°.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.

,Batting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Jakob Marsee will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 7th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #8 stadium in baseball for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Josh Rojas will have the upper hand today.

,Joe Mack will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When estimating his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

,Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,When assessing his home run talent, Carter Jensen ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Griffin Conine ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Griffin Conine is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Nick Loftin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Miami Marlins offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Randy Dobnak will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In his previous start, Randy Dobnak was rolling and allowed 0 ER.

,Jared Serna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Jac Caglianone is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Negatives with the Kansas City Royals Game Today

The deepest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Kauffman Stadium.

,In his last start, Tyler Phillips performed well and allowed 0 ER.

,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tyler Phillips must realize this, because he has relied on his secondary offerings a lot this year: 66.1% of the time, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

,As a team, Kansas City Royals batters have not performed well as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking 3rd-worst in Major League Baseball.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 8th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Kyle Isbel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

,Among all major league stadiums, Kauffman Stadium’s right field fences are the deepest.

,Kyle Isbel’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 88.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 85.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Jakob Marsee is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jakob Marsee in today’s matchup.

,Checking in at the 7th percentile, Jakob Marsee sits with a .327 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,Randy Dobnak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Otto Lopez today.

,Otto Lopez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Otto Lopez tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Randy Dobnak.

,Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Josh Rojas’s BABIP talent is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Rojas is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,This year, Josh Rojas has been pulled from the game early in 14% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Josh Rojas’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph EV last season has dropped to 86.5-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Phillips to throw 81 pitches in this game (4th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joe Mack in the 19th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Joe Mack is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joe Mack in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Stowers pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Stowers in today’s matchup.

,Javier Sanoja is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Randy Dobnak will have the handedness advantage against Javier Sanoja in today’s matchup.

,Today, Javier Sanoja is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.2% rate (77th percentile).

,Javier Sanoja will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Randy Dobnak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heriberto Hernandez in today’s game.

,Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heriberto Hernandez in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 14 days, Heriberto Hernandez’s 27.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.3%.

,Isaac Collins is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Isaac Collins will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Tyler Phillips in today’s game.

,Isaac Collins has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Isaac Collins’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.4-mph mark last season has decreased to 87.3-mph.

,Tyler Phillips will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. today.

,Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 94.5-mph average last season has decreased to 91.6-mph.

,In the past two weeks, Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 91.6 mph to 87.3 mph.

,In the past 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.1%.

,Salvador Perez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Phillips will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.

,Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s deepest LF fences today.

,Over the past 14 days, Salvador Perez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 92 mph to 85.3 mph.

,Salvador Perez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 15.5% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

,In the last 7 days, Carter Jensen’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.9%.

,In notching a .217 batting average this year, Carter Jensen is positioned in the 12th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Placing in the 21st percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino has put up a .268 BABIP this year.

,Griffin Conine pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Griffin Conine in today’s matchup.

,Griffin Conine has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 15.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Griffin Conine’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 92-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 79.3-mph in the last 7 days.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Nick Loftin ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nick Loftin is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Tyler Phillips will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Loftin today.

,Nick Loftin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Nick Loftin’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.6-mph mark last season has dropped to 88.9-mph.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Randy Dobnak’s overall pitching talent is in the 13th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the league currently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Dobnak to throw 84 pitches in today’s game (8th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Serna in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Randy Dobnak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Serna today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jared Serna in today’s matchup.

,Owen Caissie is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Today, Owen Caissie is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (88th percentile).

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Owen Caissie in today’s matchup.

,With a .240 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Owen Caissie is positioned in the 15th percentile for hitting ability.

,Jac Caglianone pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .356 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jac Caglianone has been very fortunate given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Jac Caglianone’s talent is quite poor, sporting a 4.36 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 6th percentile.

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