Cubs vs Phillies match player stats Wednesday, September 25th 2024. Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3

|
Cubs vs Phillies match player stats Wednesday, September 25th 2024. Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3

CHC @ PHI

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3Cubs vs PhilliesCubs vs PhilliesCubs vs PhilliesCubs vs PhilliesCubs vs PhilliesCubs vs Phillies

Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 25th
25/09/24 18:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Phillies Series Game 3 Matchup Today

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an advantage in today’s game.

Dansby Swanson has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 93.1-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Steele in today’s game.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trea Turner ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for righty home runs.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nico Hoerner will have the upper hand today.

Nico Hoerner has shown impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile with a 1.51 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Patrick Wisdom as Major League Baseball’s 7th-best home run hitter.

Patrick Wisdom is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Patrick Wisdom will have an edge in today’s game.

Patrick Wisdom pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge today.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Ian Happ’s launch angle in recent games (21.4° over the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 15° seasonal figure.

Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 14.1% to 20.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past two weeks.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.7-mph.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Pete Crow-Armstrong has had bad variance on his side this year. His .294 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

Extreme groundball bats like Patrick Wisdom generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele today.

Bryson Stott may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The #6 park in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

Cody Bellinger has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Miguel Amaya will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.4% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

In the past week, Alec Bohm’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 12.5%.

Nico Hoerner’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his batting average, Nico Hoerner has had bad variance on his side this year. His .269 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .285.

Nick Castellanos’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 15% to 18.8%.

When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 13th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 16.4% on the season to 23.8% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

J.T. Realmuto has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.9-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 94.7-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alec Bohm ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order projects as the 3rd-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #8 venue in MLB for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park has the 9th-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Given that flyball hitters have a big advantage over groundball pitchers, Cristopher Sanchez and his 55.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in today’s game facing 1 opposing GB bats.

Chicago Cubs bats as a unit grade out 6th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when using their 92.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The Chicago Cubs have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael Busch, Patrick Wisdom, Pete Crow-Armstrong).

Cristopher Sanchez was rolling in his last start and compiled 7 strikeouts.

Patrick Wisdom has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Phillies Series Game 3

The #2 field in MLB for suppressing base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today.

Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson’s launch angle this year (9.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.6° figure last year.

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best among every team playing today.

Batting from the same side that Justin Steele throws from, Trea Turner has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 92.4-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.328) implies that Trea Turner has been very fortunate this year with his .348 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Patrick Wisdom in today’s matchup.

Patrick Wisdom has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 19th percentile with a 5.36 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his home runs, Bryce Harper has been lucky this year. His 28.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.6.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will bat from his weak side against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ian Happ in today’s game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Cristopher Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s matchup.

Patrick Wisdom has put up a .196 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Bryce Harper has experienced some positive variance this year. His .375 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .358.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Cristopher Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Cody Bellinger in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cody Bellinger today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Justin Steele will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today’s matchup.

Posting a 3.99 K/BB rate this year, J.T. Realmuto has shown poor plate discipline, checking in at the 15th percentile.

Justin Steele will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today’s matchup.

Justin Steele will have the handedness advantage over Nick Castellanos in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Javier Assad in the 24th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Assad to throw 83 pitches in this game (11th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Javier Assad will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Javier Assad’s sinker utilization has jumped by 5.3% from last season to this one (29.8% to 35.1%) .

Javier Assad’s 90.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 10th percentile out of all starters.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Amaya in today’s game.

Miguel Amaya’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 78.6-mph over the last 7 days.

Nick Castellanos’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 85.5-mph over the last week.

Nick Castellanos has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 20.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 17.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Ian Happ’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 94.6 mph to 91.9 mph.

Alec Bohm has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph dropping to 87.5-mph in the past week.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.6°, Alec Bohm’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0.5° in the past 14 days).

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 18.4% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Brandon Marsh has been lucky this year, putting up a .329 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .013 gap.

Philadelphia Phillies bats collectively rank 22nd- in Major League Baseball for power this year when judging by their 91.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

The Philadelphia Phillies have done a weak job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 10.3° mark is among the lowest in the league this year (#29 overall).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cristopher Sanchez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

Cristopher Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his metrics in all categories.

Cristopher Sanchez was firing on all cylinders in his previous GS and conceded 2 ER.

When it comes to his home run talent, Bryson Stott ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks, Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 89.7 mph to 85.3 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Wisdom in the 8th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Cody Bellinger has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .323 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dansby Swanson’s launch angle of late (1.8° over the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 9.6° seasonal mark.

Latest Philadelphia Phillies Match Player Stats

Latest Chicago Cubs Match Player Stats