Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Guardians Series Game 2 Matchup Today

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

Given Jakob Junis’s large platoon split, Andres Gimenez will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Andres Gimenez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .283 mark is a good deal lower than his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Naylor ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 5th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Progressive Field profiles as the #5 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Amed Rosario is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Amed Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Jakob Junis today… and even better, Junis has a large platoon split.

Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest LF fences in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 10th-best park in the league for BABIP.

Among all starters, Joey Cantillo’s fastball spin rate of 1882 rpm grades out in the 4th percentile this year.

Joey Cantillo has notched a .269 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Santiago Espinal will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Considering Jakob Junis’s large platoon split, Josh Naylor will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage today.

Ty France’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brayan Rocchio will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run talent, Bo Naylor ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Brayan Rocchio has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 19° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.5°.

Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Angel Martinez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Because of Jakob Junis’s large platoon split, Will Brennan will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Given his large platoon split, Jakob Junis meets a tough challenge going up against 8 hitters in the projected batting order of opposing handedness in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Considering Jakob Junis’s large platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Will Brennan will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Will Brennan’s launch angle this year (13°) is quite a bit higher than his 9.4° angle last year.

Kyle Manzardo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Kyle Manzardo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days.

Santiago Espinal’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past week.

Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Spencer Steer will have an edge today.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Joey Cantillo in the 78th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Joey Cantillo will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Jonathan India will have an edge in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ty France ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Ty France will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Guardians Series Game 2

When estimating his home run ability, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andres Gimenez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Progressive Field ranks as the #23 park in MLB for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In Major League Baseball, Progressive Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest.

Among all parks, the 4th-highest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

Over the last week, Josh Naylor’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.9%.

By putting up a .240 BABIP this year, Josh Naylor finds himself in the 3rd percentile.

Jakob Junis will have the handedness advantage over Lane Thomas in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Junis’s large platoon split.

Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 94.8-mph average last season has fallen off to 89.9-mph.

Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 44.3% to 39%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) may lead us to conclude that Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate this year with his .274 actual batting average.

Amed Rosario is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Today, Amed Rosario is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.7% rate (98th percentile).

Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.

Amed Rosario is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best of all teams today).

Amed Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer has compiled a .261 BABIP this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.

Bo Naylor’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bo Naylor is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Bo Naylor has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time.

Bo Naylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run skill, Angel Martinez ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Martinez will face a mismatch against Jakob Junis and his large platoon split in today’s game.

Angel Martinez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 14.4% on the season to 4.2% in the last two weeks.

Over the past two weeks, Angel Martinez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 2.9% over the last 14 days.

Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 89.3-mph figure last season has lowered to 87.2-mph.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Cincinnati Reds offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Junior Valentine profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.

Joey Cantillo has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 9 opposite-handed batters in this game.

When assessing his home run skill, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Santiago Espinal will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 87.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 82.1-mph over the past 14 days.

Josh Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 14% on the season to 7.7% over the past 14 days.

When it comes to his home runs, Josh Naylor has had positive variance on his side this year. His 30.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.0.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ty France in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Brayan Rocchio has been pinch hit for 10% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 10th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Progressive Field profiles as the #23 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will bat from his weak side against Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today’s game.

Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck given the .020 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.306) suggests that Tyler Stephenson has been very fortunate this year with his .342 actual wOBA.

Posting a .197 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Bo Naylor has performed in the 2nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 8th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Will Brennan is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

This year, Will Brennan has been pulled from the game early in 28% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Today, Will Brennan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (97th percentile).

It may be wise to expect worse results for the Cleveland Guardians offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

The 5.9% Barrel% of the Cleveland Guardians makes them the #29 squad in MLB this year by this metric.

Cleveland’s 87.7-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in baseball: #30 overall.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

This year, Kyle Manzardo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 26% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

In the last 7 days, Kyle Manzardo’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.4%.

Andres Gimenez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 84.1-mph over the last 7 days.

Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this year (8.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.9° mark last season.

Kyle Manzardo’s launch angle of late (16.8° in the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 21.6° seasonal angle.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.8°, Santiago Espinal has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.3°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Using Statcast metrics, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 16th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .282.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (29.6) may lead us to conclude that Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance this year with his 33.3 actual HR/600.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Brayan Rocchio will bat from his bad side (0) today against Jakob Junis… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Junis’s large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Cantillo to throw 83 pitches in today’s game (10th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Joey Cantillo has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.51 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.14 — a 0.38 K/9 deviation.

Will Brennan’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 81.5-mph over the last two weeks.

Will Brennan has put up a .291 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.214) suggests that Kyle Manzardo has experienced some positive variance this year with his .246 actual batting average.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jakob Junis is projected to throw 76 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate today.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Cleveland Guardians with a 19.7% underlying K%.

Andres Gimenez’s launch angle recently (0.6° in the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 8.8° seasonal figure.

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