Tigers vs Padres match player stats Wednesday, September 4th 2024. Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres Series Game 2

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Tigers vs Padres match player stats Wednesday, September 4th 2024. Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres Series Game 2

DET @ SD

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 4th
04/09/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Padres Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today

When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #4 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Petco Park.

Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for LHB home runs.

Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an edge in today’s game.

Trey Sweeney hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Kyle Higashioka will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Mason McCoy will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Jace Jung will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the past week’s worth of games, Spencer Torkelson’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 37.5%.

In the past 7 days, Spencer Torkelson’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Riley Greene is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Kyle Higashioka’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25.2%.

Kyle Higashioka’s 12.9% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) is in the 88th percentile this year.

When estimating his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yu Darvish in the 82nd percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

The Detroit Tigers have 5 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jace Jung, Trey Sweeney, Riley Greene, Dillon Dingler, Spencer Torkelson).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

The #4 field in MLB for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Keider Montero’s 94.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 78th percentile out of all starters.

Jace Jung’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 22.6% on the season to 33.3% in the last week.

Luis Arraez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today’s game.

Luis Arraez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Matt Vierling is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish today.

Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Riley Greene hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Matt Vierling has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 94-mph over the past week.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Parker Meadows is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Parker Meadows will have an advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Vierling ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Keider Montero in the 17th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

The #3 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Parker Meadows hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Padres Series Game 2

Kyle Higashioka is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kyle Higashioka has been pulled from the game early 20% of the time.

Batting from the same side that Keider Montero throws from, Kyle Higashioka has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Kyle Higashioka’s 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 25.2%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (33.3) implies that Kyle Higashioka has been lucky this year with his 44.0 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Sweeney in the 15th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Trey Sweeney is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Trey Sweeney has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Mason McCoy ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mason McCoy is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Keider Montero will have the handedness advantage over Mason McCoy today.

Over the last 14 days, Mason McCoy has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Over the past two weeks, Mason McCoy has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 81.8-mph on his flyballs.

Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Yu Darvish throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

From last season to this one, Spencer Torkelson’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 40.9% to 33.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jace Jung in the 18th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Jace Jung has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jace Jung will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jace Jung has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 83.8-mph over the last 7 days.

The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Batting from the same side that Keider Montero throws from, Manny Machado will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Manny Machado’s launch angle of late (-7.5° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 12.2° seasonal figure.

From last year to this one, Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.7% to 11.9%.

Keider Montero will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.

Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.6-mph EV last season has dropped to 87.6-mph.

In the last week’s worth of games, Luis Arraez has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power).

In terms of his home runs, Luis Arraez has experienced some positive variance this year. His 4.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 1.4.

Luis Arraez has paced 3.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 1st percentile for power.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Spencer Torkelson has had some very good luck this year. His .290 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .251.

Grading out in the 24th percentile, Spencer Torkelson sports a .292 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Yu Darvish to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 40 pitches.

The Detroit Tigers have 6 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Yu Darvish in this game.

Yu Darvish didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his last start and accumulated 2 Ks.

Yu Darvish’s 2306-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a significant 100-rpm decline from last season’s 2406-rpm rate.

Batting from the same side that Keider Montero throws from, Xander Bogaerts faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.3-mph figure last season has lowered to 88.9-mph.

Over the past 7 days, Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 88.9 mph to 86.9 mph.

Xander Bogaerts has recorded a .286 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Keider Montero is projected to throw 81 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers today.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 20.2% underlying K%.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Keider Montero in today’s matchup.

Keider Montero’s 2156-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 24th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

The #5 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Hitting from the same side that Yu Darvish throws from, Matt Vierling meets a tough challenge today.

Matt Vierling has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Vierling today.

As it relates to his home run skill, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 28% of the time.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kerry Carpenter today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which tends to lead to easy pop-up outs. His 14.3% “too-high” rate this year grades out in the 18th percentile.

20% of the time that Parker Meadows has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Parker Meadows today.

Parker Meadows has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.

In the past week, Matt Vierling’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the San Diego Padres offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 9th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

San Diego Padres batters as a group grade out 26th- in the game for power this year when judging by their 7.2% Barrel%.

Kerry Carpenter has been lucky this year, compiling a .391 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .058 discrepancy.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trey Sweeney today.

Parker Meadows has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.3-mph.

Jace Jung has been cold of late, struggling to the tune of a .244 wOBA in the last two weeks.

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