
ARI @ SF






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 4th
04/09/24 21:45:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Giants Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Among all major league stadiums, Oracle Park’s right field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.
Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Mike Yastrzemski has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s game.
Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Mike Yastrzemski will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
When it comes to his home run ability, Jerar Encarnacion ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jerar Encarnacion has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jerar Encarnacion will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Jerar Encarnacion has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph to 96.9-mph over the past 7 days.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today’s matchup.
In the past week, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 36.8%.
Oracle Park profiles as the #10 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Patrick Bailey has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph mark.
In the past 7 days, Patrick Bailey’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.4%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Joc Pederson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.1-mph over the course of the season to 105.7-mph of late.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marco Luciano in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Marco Luciano has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marco Luciano will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Jake McCarthy has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 87.3-mph.
Last year, Jake McCarthy had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 14.7°.
Quinn Wolcott grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today’s game.
In his last GS, Hayden Birdsong allowed a monstrous 5 earned runs.
With a 5.16 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over), Hayden Birdsong places him the 24th percentile.
Placing in the 20th percentile, Hayden Birdsong has put up a 1.72 K/BB rate this year.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side this year. His .278 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302.
Matt Chapman projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.
Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Matt Chapman has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 93.1-mph figure.
In terms of his home runs, Matt Chapman has had bad variance on his side this year. His 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.3.
The #10 field in baseball for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Luis Guillorme will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Luis Guillorme has displayed good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.58 K/BB rate.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) provides evidence that Patrick Bailey has had some very poor luck this year with his .230 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Grant McCray will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.
Grant McCray will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Over the past 7 days, Grant McCray has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Tyler Fitzgerald has recorded a .379 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 95th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Eugenio Suarez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV.
Compared to his seasonal average of 19.5°, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.9° angle in the past two weeks.
Eugenio Suarez has paced 24.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 79th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Eugenio Suarez and his 19° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 94th percentile, among the highest in the game this year.
Jake McCarthy’s BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Zac Gallen will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Zac Gallen conceded a monstrous 5 earned runs in his last outing.
Zac Gallen has averaged 96.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 94th percentile.
With a .541 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Tyler Fitzgerald is positioned in the 96th percentile.
Tyler Fitzgerald has posted a .380 BABIP this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zac Gallen in the 83rd percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.
The San Francisco Giants have 6 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Grant McCray, Marco Luciano, Jerar Encarnacion, Matt Chapman, Tyler Fitzgerald, Heliot Ramos).
Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year’s 87.1-mph EV.
Compared to his seasonal average of 17.8°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.7° figure over the last two weeks.
As it relates to plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo’s ability is quite good, posting a 1.97 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 79th percentile.
When estimating his home run skill, Tyler Fitzgerald ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hayden Birdsong in the 85th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.
Hayden Birdsong has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 8 opposite-handed bats today.
Grant McCray’s launch angle recently (36° in the last week) is considerably better than his 10.9° seasonal figure.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Giants Series Game 2
When starting against a northpaw this year, LaMonte Wade Jr. has been pinch hit for 23% of the time.
The #5 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Among all parks, the tallest fence height (on average) are at Oracle Park.
The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
LaMonte Wade Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 90-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 87.5-mph over the last 7 days.
Mike Yastrzemski has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense.
Jerar Encarnacion is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 5th-worst venue in the majors for right-handed home runs.
Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll in today’s matchup.
Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Patrick Bailey’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (8.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.3° angle last season.
Checking in at the 14th percentile, Patrick Bailey has notched a .278 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joc Pederson in today’s game.
Marco Luciano is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 40.3% to 33.7%.
When it comes to his home run skill, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Arizona Diamondbacks in today’s game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .314, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .333 this year.
It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year.
Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman today.
Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Marco Luciano encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Marco Luciano has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .307 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .284.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Guillorme in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Luis Guillorme is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
Grant McCray is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.
In the last 7 days, Grant McCray’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 32%.
Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will not have the upper hand today.
In the last two weeks, Tyler Fitzgerald’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Fitzgerald’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 91.1 mph to 87.9 mph.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.
LaMonte Wade Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 13% on the season to 0% in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 17th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Mike Yastrzemski has had some very good luck this year. His .318 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .285.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake McCarthy in today’s game.
Jake McCarthy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 14.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.
Matt Chapman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 14.2% to 11.1%.
Matt Chapman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 11.1% on the season to 6.5% over the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Guillorme in the 12th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Zac Gallen’s overall pitching talent is in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game right now.
The 5th-worst projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the San Francisco Giants.
Over the last week, Joc Pederson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.
Oracle Park profiles as the #28 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
When assessing his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will bat from his weak side against Hayden Birdsong in today’s matchup.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Birdsong is projected to throw 83 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate.
With a 1.3 difference between Hayden Birdsong’s 11.02 K/9 and his 9.72 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to negatively regress in the future.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Grant McCray ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Jerar Encarnacion will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Over the last week, Jerar Encarnacion’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.1%.
Hayden Birdsong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today’s game.
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