
TB @ SEA






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, August 26th
26/08/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Mariners Matchup Today
When estimating his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.
T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers.
Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Josh Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Josh Lowe will have an edge in today’s game.
Josh Lowe has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Jorge Polanco will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Josh Rojas will have an edge today.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Josh Rojas has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last 7 days.
Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Ben Rortvedt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
In the past week, Jose Siri’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.9% up to 33.3%.
This season, Jose Siri has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.8 mph compared to last year’s 94 mph mark.
Jose Siri’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 20.4% on the season to 44.4% over the past 7 days.
Posting a .349 BABIP this year, Ben Rortvedt is positioned in the 90th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leonardo Rivas in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Leonardo Rivas pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Leonardo Rivas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
In the past week, Leonardo Rivas’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.9% up to 9.1%.
Leonardo Rivas’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (24.3° in the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 18° seasonal figure.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Christopher Morel is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.
Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
In the past 14 days, Christopher Morel has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 22.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Mitch Haniger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Mitch Haniger has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph.
The Seattle Mariners projected offense grades out as the 3rd-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.
The Seattle Mariners have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season, T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences in the majors.
The Seattle Mariners have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game’s 12th-best home run batter.
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryce Miller in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
Recording 17.2 outs per start this year on average, Bryce Miller ranks in the 78th percentile.
It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Tampa Bay Rays offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh grades out as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) suggests that Christopher Morel has suffered from bad luck this year with his .197 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller in today’s game.
Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 14°, Randy Arozarena has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.4° angle in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Over the last two weeks, Junior Caminero’s maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 116.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.
When it comes to his home run ability, Jose Siri ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Ryan Pepiot in the 87th percentile among all starters in baseball.
The Seattle Mariners have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Jorge Polanco, Luke Raley, Mitch Haniger).
The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 14th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.
Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.
Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
In the past week, Yandy Diaz has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 4.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 0.5°.
Despite posting a .317 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yandy Diaz has suffered from bad luck given the .028 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Luke Raley is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez’s true offensive ability to be a .358, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .058 deviation between that mark and his actual .300 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Over the last 14 days, Taylor Walls has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 29° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.1°.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.4) may lead us to conclude that Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side this year with his 0.0 actual HR/600.
Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, putting up a .282 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .030 deviation.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball.
Cal Raleigh has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season’s 89.6-mph EV.
Cal Raleigh’s launch angle lately (29.6° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 20.8° seasonal angle.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Junior Caminero has been hot lately, whalloping 2 HRs in the past week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Taylor Walls’s true offensive ability to be a .283, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .040 disparity between that mark and his actual .243 wOBA.
Posting a 1.73 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.
Josh Lowe has notched a .317 BABIP this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the past 14 days, Brandon Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently.
The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christopher Morel, Josh Lowe, Jose Siri).
Josh Rojas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.7-mph EV.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jorge Polanco’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.9%.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Mariners
T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 venue in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The weather report predicts the most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Hitting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have a tough matchup today.
Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
In the past 7 days, Julio Rodriguez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.
19% of the time that Josh Lowe has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the 7th-worst venue in the game for left-handed home runs.
Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.
Josh Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
In the last week, Jorge Polanco’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.
Josh Rojas is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
Josh Rojas has paced 10.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 18th percentile for power.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 14th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Ben Rortvedt is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Ben Rortvedt has been pinch hit for 18% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
Jose Siri is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in the game for RHB batting average.
Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Jose Siri will not have the upper hand today.
Ben Rortvedt’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Leonardo Rivas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.
T-Mobile Park grades out as the #28 venue in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The switch-hitting Leonardo Rivas will bat from his worse side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot, Hitting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Randy Arozarena meets a tough challenge today.
Randy Arozarena has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in MLB for right-handed home runs.
Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Christopher Morel encounters a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christopher Morel in today’s game.
Mitch Haniger is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Haniger today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Ryan Pepiot’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 87th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball right now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for batting average.
Ryan Pepiot was in good form in his previous outing and gave up 2 ER.
Tampa Bay’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Cal Raleigh, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Bryce Miller’s fastball spin rate has decreased 107 rpm this year (2484 rpm) below where it was last year (2591 rpm).
Given the 0.72 difference between Bryce Miller’s 3.32 ERA and his 4.04 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and ought to negatively regress in the future.
Bryce Miller has compiled a .247 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
This year, Brandon Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Lowe today.
Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage against Junior Caminero in today’s matchup.
Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Junior Caminero’s quickness has fallen off this season. His 28.97 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.19 ft/sec now.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Pepiot today.
Cal Raleigh has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph dropping to 86-mph in the last week.
Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Yandy Diaz will have a tough matchup today.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yandy Diaz in today’s game.
Luke Raley has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 86-mph over the last 7 days.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.2) suggests that Luke Raley has had some very good luck this year with his 26.4 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 8th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Taylor Walls is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will bat from his weak side (0) today against Bryce Miller, Mitch Haniger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 18.4% to 14.6%.
Jorge Polanco’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (20.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 23.2° figure last season.
Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 91.2-mph in the past two weeks.
Julio Rodriguez’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 91-mph seasonal average has decreased to 87.7-mph over the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leonardo Rivas in the 10th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Cal Raleigh’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Posting a -5.8° launch angle in the last two weeks suggests that Junior Caminero has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Taylor Walls ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Luke Raley has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 10th percentile with a 4.66 K/BB rate.
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