Orioles vs Rays match player stats | 2026 Friday, August 14th

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BAL @ TB

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Orioles @ Rays Matchup Details

Teams : Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays

Date : Todays Game is on Friday, August 14th
Time : 14/08/26 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Baltimore Orioles Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the league’s 16th-best home run batter.

,Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

,The #4 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

,Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today’s game.

,Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,The #4 venue in the game for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

,Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums.

,Among every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.

,As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 9th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

,Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 6th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

,Richie Palacios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

,Richie Palacios pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Richie Palacios will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Considering Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,Jonathan Aranda has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Taylor Walls has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

,Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Coby Mayo is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Batting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Coby Mayo will have an edge in today’s game.

,Coby Mayo has big-time HR ability (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Steven Matz is a pitch-to-contact type (14th percentile K%) — great news for Mayo.

,Tyler O’Neill projects as the 18th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

,Tyler O’Neill will have the handedness advantage over Steven Matz in today’s matchup.

,Tyler O’Neill has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (27.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Steven Matz doesn’t generate many whiffs (21st percentile K%) — great news for O’Neill.

,When assessing his home run ability, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Christian Encarnacion-Strand has a ton of pop (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Steven Matz has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Encarnacion-Strand.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Jackson Holliday has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Jackson Holliday’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph in recent games.

,Victor Mesa Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,Victor Mesa Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

,Victor Mesa Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup… and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

,Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Negatives with the Tampa Bay Rays Game Today

The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -6,° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

,Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Steven Matz throws from, Gunnar Henderson will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson today.

,Gunnar Henderson has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Over the last week, Gunnar Henderson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%.

,Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.

,Yandy Diaz’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 93-mph mark last year has dropped to 90.9-mph.

,Over the past 7 days, Yandy Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 92.7 mph to 80 mph.

,Yandy Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 46.8% to 39.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Richie Palacios is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,This year, Richie Palacios has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Richie Palacios has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the last 7 days.

,Jonathan Aranda’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 93.1-mph EV last season has dropped off to 90.9-mph.

,Over the last two weeks, Jonathan Aranda’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 91.7 mph to 86.9 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Taylor Walls is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

,There has been a decrease in Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity this season, from 86.4 mph last year to 84.4 mph now,Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 84.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 80.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Given Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Junior Caminero will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

,Junior Caminero’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 11.5% on the season to 0% in the last week.

,Despite posting a .387 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Junior Caminero has experienced some positive variance given the .031 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .356.

,Coby Mayo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 48% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.

,Coby Mayo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Coby Mayo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 94.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 87.4-mph in the past two weeks.

,Coby Mayo has notched a .208 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,41% of the time that Tyler O’Neill has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Tyler O’Neill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Tyler O’Neill’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.2-mph over the last week.

,From last year to this one, Tyler O’Neill’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 42.1% to 35%.

,Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

,In today’s matchup, Christian Encarnacion-Strand is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (93rd percentile).

,Christian Encarnacion-Strand will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Christian Encarnacion-Strand has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 22% seasonal rate has dropped to 16.7% over the past week.

,Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,10% of the time that Jackson Holliday has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Hitting from the same side that Steven Matz throws from, Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Holliday in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Mesa Jr. in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Victor Mesa Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.

,In today’s game, Victor Mesa Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (86th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Victor Mesa Jr.’s true offensive skill to be a .298, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .023 gap between that figure and his actual .321 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Cedric Mullins is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Cedric Mullins’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 12.4% on the season to 0% over the past week.

,Sporting a .202 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Cedric Mullins is ranked in the 5th percentile.

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