Rays @ Rockies Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Tampa Bay Rays Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the game’s 13th-best home run batter.

,Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

,Coors Field profiles as the #5 ballpark in the game for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today.

,When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 81st percentile among all SPs in the league.

,Tallying 95.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Freddy Peralta checks in at the 93rd percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Hunter Feduccia (the Rays’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

,Freddy Peralta was in good form in his previous start and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

,Kyle Karros has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Karros will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,The #1 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

,T.J. Rumfield is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Coors Field profiles as the #5 park in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, T.J. Rumfield will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and T.J. Rumfield will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When assessing his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 9th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Yandy Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 11.3% on the season to 28.6% in the last week’s worth of games.

,The switch-hitting Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Freddy Peralta.

,Willi Castro will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Ezequiel Tovar’s launch angle of late (28.6° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 17.5° seasonal mark.

,Despite posting a .241 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some negative variance given the .054 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

,The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Taylor Walls’s launch angle this season (19.3°) is a significant increase over his 14.9° mark last year.

,Junior Caminero projects as the 14th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

,Over the last 7 days, Junior Caminero’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph in recent games.

,Coors Field projects as the #1 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Cole Carrigg will hold that advantage today.

,Cole Carrigg has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 89.9-mph in the last two weeks.

,Posting a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Cole Carrigg is positioned in the 86th percentile.

,Gabriel Hughes will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.

,In his last outing, Gabriel Hughes performed well and put up 7 strikeouts.

,Victor Mesa Jr. has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Victor Mesa Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Gabriel Hughes in today’s matchup.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Victor Mesa Jr. stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Jake McCarthy is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

,Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage against Gabriel Hughes in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 8th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Chandler Simpson will hold the platoon advantage over Gabriel Hughes today.

,Chandler Simpson is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Hughes today.

,Richie Palacios may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Over the last two weeks, Richie Palacios’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph in recent games.

,In the past 7 days, Taylor Walls’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

,The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Hughes in today’s matchup.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,Willi Castro has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.4% seasonal rate to 66.7% in the past week.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Chandler Simpson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 85.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 83-mph.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The Tampa Bay Rays have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Gabriel Hughes in today’s game.

,Gabriel Hughes’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (62.4% since the start of last season) is likely weakening his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Series Game 2 Game Today

The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Hunter Goodman will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Hunter Goodman has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph dropping to 85.6-mph in the last 14 days.

,From last year to this one, Hunter Goodman’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 15.3% to 12.3%.

,Hunter Goodman has been lucky this year, putting up a .373 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .046 gap.

,It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Alan Porter) behind the plate in today’s game.

,Coors Field profiles as the #30 field in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddy Peralta today.

,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Freddy Peralta has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.4% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

,Freddy Peralta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Karros in today’s game.

,Kyle Karros’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 80.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Over the past 14 days, Kyle Karros’s 10.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

,Kyle Karros has been lucky this year, posting a .348 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .036 deviation.

,Kyle Karros has performed at a clip of 0.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 5th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,T.J. Rumfield has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,T.J. Rumfield’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 83.7-mph seasonal average has dropped to 80.8-mph over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates T.J. Rumfield’s true offensive skill to be a .296, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .071 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .367 wOBA.

,Batting from the same side that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Yandy Diaz will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yandy Diaz in today’s game.

,Yandy Diaz’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 93-mph EV last season has dropped to 90.7-mph.

,Yandy Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 46.8% to 39.3%.

,Willi Castro is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willi Castro’s true offensive skill to be a .311, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .018 gap between that mark and his actual .329 wOBA.

,In terms of plate discipline, Willi Castro’s talent is quite weak, posting a 3.48 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 21st percentile.

,Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

,Ezequiel Tovar has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Ezequiel Tovar’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 89.5-mph figure last season has dropped off to 87.3-mph.

,Taylor Walls’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Taylor Walls is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Taylor Walls will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Taylor Walls has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.5-mph dropping to 81.4-mph in the last two weeks.

,Hitting from the same side that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage today.

,Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .386 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Junior Caminero has experienced some positive variance given the .022 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .364.

,Hunter Goodman’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 42.4% on the season to 12.5% over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Kyle Karros has notched a .247 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 17th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Cole Carrigg is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

,In the last two weeks, Cole Carrigg’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

,Cole Carrigg’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 16.8% on the season to 0% in the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cole Carrigg’s true offensive skill to be a .301, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .085 deviation between that mark and his actual .386 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Hughes to throw 79 pitches in this game (6th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The Tampa Bay Rays (20 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone set of batters of the day.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Mesa Jr. in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Victor Mesa Jr. in today’s game.

,Victor Mesa Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 10.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.

,Victor Mesa Jr. has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 30.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 15.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jake McCarthy has been pinch hit for 17% of the time.

,Over the last two weeks, Jake McCarthy’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

,Jake McCarthy’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 85-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 79.1-mph in the last week.

,Jake McCarthy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 15.6% on the season to 6.5% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Mickey Moniak has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

,Mickey Moniak’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92.1-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 84.9-mph in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak’s true offensive skill to be a .321, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .042 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .363 wOBA.

,Mickey Moniak has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 5th percentile with a 4.98 K/BB rate.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonathan Aranda today.

,Chandler Simpson has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Chandler Simpson in today’s game.

,Chandler Simpson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 48.7% to 41.6%.

,Chandler Simpson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 41.6% on the season to 18.2% in the last week.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Richie Palacios ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Richie Palacios is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

,27% of the time that Richie Palacios has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Richie Palacios in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 17th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Freddy Peralta’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 76th percentile out of all starters in the majors currently.

,The 3rd-weakest projected batting order of the day in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Colorado Rockies.

,The Colorado Rockies have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cedric Mullins in today’s game.

,Cedric Mullins has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 82-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Cedric Mullins has notched a .202 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 10th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Posting a .290 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Cedric Mullins is ranked in the 17th percentile for offensive ability.

,Cedric Mullins has recorded a .289 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 19th percentile.

,Chandler Simpson has paced 0.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 0th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,It may be best to expect negative regression for the Tampa Bay Rays offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

,The 6% Barrel% of the Tampa Bay Rays makes them the #30 group of hitters in the majors this year by this stat.

,Tampa Bay ranks as the #30 team in the majors when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (13.1% rate this year).

,Yandy Diaz’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 87.8-mph over the last 14 days.

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