Rays @ Athletics Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Tampa Bay Rays Series Game 3 Game Today

Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

,A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 95°.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Henry Bolte will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Over the last 14 days, Henry Bolte has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.1% to 17.4%.

,Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,The #1 field in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge today.

,Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Chandler Simpson will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Perkins in today’s matchup.

,Junior Caminero projects as the 15th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Sutter Health Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Junior Caminero has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 13.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 9th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average ability.

,Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Yandy Diaz has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure.

,Jacob Wilson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Thomas White will hold that advantage today.

,Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.

,Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today’s matchup.

,Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Perkins in today’s matchup.

,Over the past 14 days, Richie Palacios’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph of late.

,As it relates to his batting average skill, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 19th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Liam Hicks is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Jack Perkins throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Perkins in today’s game.

,Cedric Mullins has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph EV.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Jack Perkins throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Jack Perkins throws from, Victor Mesa Jr. will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Victor Mesa Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week’s worth of games.

,It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) calling pitches in today’s game.

,Sutter Health Park ranks as the #1 park in the majors for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Bolte as the best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Tallying 91.7 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Drew Rasmussen ranks in the 78th percentile.

,Jonah Heim will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Cedric Mullins’s launch angle this season (27.1°) is significantly higher than his 23.3° figure last season.

,Jonah Heim has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph figure.

,When estimating his home run ability, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Athletics Series Game 3 Game Today

Henry Bolte is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

,Drew Rasmussen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Henry Bolte in today’s game.

,Henry Bolte hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Henry Bolte has notched a .142 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 7th percentile.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Henry Bolte’s ability is quite poor, posting a 4.26 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 10th percentile.

,When assessing his home run ability, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sutter Health Park has the 9th-most fair ground in the majors — generally bad for homers.

,Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph average last year has fallen off to 86.7-mph.

,In the past week, Jeff McNeil’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.4%.

,Jeff McNeil has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the past two weeks.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Chandler Simpson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chandler Simpson in today’s game.

,Chandler Simpson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 48.7% to 42.5%.

,Based on Statcast data, Chandler Simpson grades out in the 0th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at .000.

,Hitting from the same side that Jack Perkins throws from, Junior Caminero faces a tough challenge today.

,In today’s game, Junior Caminero is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.6% rate (97th percentile).

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Junior Caminero today.

,Over the past week, Junior Caminero’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.8%.

,Despite posting a .385 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Junior Caminero has had some very good luck given the .022 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .363.

,Jack Perkins will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today’s matchup.

,Yandy Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Yandy Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.8% to 38.6%.

,Yandy Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 38.6% on the season to 16.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Jacob Wilson ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The 6th-deepest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Sutter Health Park.

,Hitting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Jacob Wilson will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks, Jacob Wilson’s 3.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12%.

,Jacob Wilson has paced 3.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When assessing his home run skill, Thomas White ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Thomas White has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Drew Rasmussen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Thomas White in today’s game.

,Thomas White’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 6.2% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Lawrence Butler’s launch angle this year (4.3°) is significantly worse than his 9.2° mark last year.

,Lawrence Butler’s launch angle lately (1.2° in the past week’s worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 4.3° seasonal figure.

,Placing in the 5th percentile, Lawrence Butler has notched a .267 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Sporting a .196 batting average this year, Lawrence Butler finds himself in the 3rd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Richie Palacios is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,This year, Richie Palacios has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,Richie Palacios will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Based on Statcast data, Jeff McNeil is in the 23rd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.600.

,Jacob Wilson has recorded a .290 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.

,Jacob Wilson has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 24th percentile with a 3.24 K/BB rate.

,Liam Hicks will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Liam Hicks’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 87.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.9-mph over the past 7 days.

,Liam Hicks’s launch angle lately (-1.3° in the past week’s worth of games) is significantly worse than his 14.1° seasonal angle.

,Liam Hicks’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 21.5% to 13.3%.

,There has been a decrease in Yandy Diaz’s average exit velocity this season, from 93 mph last year to 90.8 mph now,Jonathan Aranda has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jonathan Aranda today.

,There has been a decrease in Jonathan Aranda’s average exit velocity this year, from 93.1 mph last year to 90.8 mph now,From last season to this one, Jonathan Aranda’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 52.4% to 46.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Taylor Walls is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Today, Taylor Walls is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.6% rate (85th percentile).

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Taylor Walls in today’s matchup.

,There has been a decrease in Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity this season, from 86.4 mph last year to 84.4 mph now,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Cedric Mullins will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,In the past week, Cedric Mullins’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.5%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Hitting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Zack Gelof has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Zack Gelof’s true offensive skill to be a .306, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .040 deviation between that figure and his actual .346 wOBA.

,Based on Statcast data, Zack Gelof grades out in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .145.

,This year, the hardest ball Zack Gelof has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.1 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), checking in at the 14th percentile.

,Posting a .220 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Zack Gelof has performed in the 8th percentile for offensive skills.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Mesa Jr. in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Victor Mesa Jr. is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Victor Mesa Jr. has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.

,Victor Mesa Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

,Victor Mesa Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Drew Rasmussen projects as the 12th-best starting pitcher in MLB currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The weakest projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Athletics.

,Drew Rasmussen performed well in his last game started and gave up 1 ER.

,It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Drew Rasmussen has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches 6.8% more often this season (48.6%) than he did last year (41.8%).

,Placing in the 5th percentile, Lawrence Butler has posted a .304 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Jonah Heim is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will bat from his worse side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen,Jonah Heim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.4°, Jonah Heim has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2°) in the last two weeks.

,Over the past week, Jonathan Aranda’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 92 mph to 87 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Walls ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Utilizing Statcast data, Jonah Heim grades out in the 1st percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .239.

,Posting a .290 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Cedric Mullins is ranked in the 17th percentile for hitting ability.

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