Mets vs Phillies match player stats Saturday, September 14th 2024. New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 2

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Mets vs Phillies match player stats Saturday, September 14th 2024. New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 2

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 14th
14/09/24 16:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Phillies Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks , — generally good for homers.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 85°.

The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In the last 7 days, Johan Rojas’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3% up to 8.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kolby Allard.

Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as Major League Baseball’s 12th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today.

Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Starling Marte is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Starling Marte will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today’s matchup.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

J.D. Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Kolby Allard today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Mark Vientos will have an edge in today’s matchup.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for righty home runs.

Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino in today’s matchup.

Kody Clemens will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The #6 park in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Todd Tichenor grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Among all major league stadiums, Citizens Bank Park’s left field fences are the 8th-shallowest.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Severino in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kolby Allard in the 7th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino today.

Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The New York Mets have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Eddy Alvarez, J.D. Martinez, Mark Vientos).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Starling Marte has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last year’s 88.1-mph EV.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.1-mph mark.

Luis Severino has averaged 94.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Luis Severino was in good form in his previous outing and notched 8 strikeouts.

Luis Severino’s 95.5-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 90th percentile among all SPs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Phillies Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 7th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Johan Rojas is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 2nd-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits.

Citizens Bank Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense.

Luis Severino will hold the platoon advantage against Johan Rojas in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s matchup.

Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When it comes to his home runs, Pete Alonso has had positive variance on his side this year. His 30.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.4.

The #2 ballpark in the game for suppressing BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

As it relates to his home runs, Bryson Stott has been very fortunate this year. His 12.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 10.0.

Bryson Stott has recorded a .187 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

Starling Marte has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Starling Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Starling Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Trea Turner will not have the upper hand today.

Trea Turner’s speed has decreased this year. His 30.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.51 ft/sec now.

Trea Turner has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .296 mark is quite a bit higher than his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Luis Severino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto’s launch angle this year (8.5°) is considerably worse than his 16.6° angle last year.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez’s launch angle this year (6.9°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.3° figure last season.

Kolby Allard will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo today.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past two weeks.

J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

J.D. Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

J.D. Martinez’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 93.4-mph EV last year has fallen to 91-mph.

Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .376 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has had positive variance on his side given the .057 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

Brandon Marsh’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 91.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 89-mph over the last 7 days.

Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Marsh has been very fortunate given the .013 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

Johan Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 12.9% to 9.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Kody Clemens is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Kody Clemens’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, falling from 41.5% on the season to 35.3% in the past week.

When estimating his home run skill, Bryson Stott ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Nick Castellanos will be in a tough position in today’s game.

In the past week, Nick Castellanos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.

In the last week, Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 90.5 mph to 75.4 mph.

In terms of plate discipline, Nick Castellanos’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 3.6 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 25th percentile.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the Philadelphia Phillies offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a good pitch framer.

The #5 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

In his last game started, Luis Severino turned in a great performance and allowed 1 ER.

It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the New York Mets offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Kolby Allard has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed bats in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Kolby Allard will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Bryce Harper has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 15.4% rate last year has fallen off to 9.6% this year.

Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88.8-mph in the past 14 days.

Bryce Harper has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 28.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 20.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 19.1% on the season to 8.3% over the past week.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.9 mph to 83.2 mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.359) implies that Bryce Harper has been very fortunate this year with his .376 actual wOBA.

Despite posting a .323 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kody Clemens has had positive variance on his side given the .037 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .286.

Kody Clemens has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile with a 5.29 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 18th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kolby Allard in the 22nd percentile among all starters in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kolby Allard to throw 79 pitches in today’s game (3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Out of all starting pitchers, Kolby Allard’s fastball velocity of 89.7 mph is in the 7th percentile this year.

J.D. Martinez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (15.6°) is considerably worse than his 18.9° angle last year.

J.T. Realmuto has displayed bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 24th percentile with a 3.65 K/BB rate.

Francisco Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 12.4% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

As it relates to his home run talent, Starling Marte ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Severino’s higher usage rate of his fastball this season (60 vs. 48.9% last season) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Among all starters, Luis Severino’s fastball spin rate of 2214 rpm grades out in the 25th percentile this year.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.318) provides evidence that Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance this year with his .347 actual wOBA.

Bryson Stott has recorded a .273 BABIP this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

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