Red Sox vs Yankees match player stats Saturday, September 14th 2024. Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Series Game 3

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Red Sox vs Yankees match player stats Saturday, September 14th 2024. Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Series Game 3

BOS @ NYY

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 14th
14/09/24 13:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Yankees Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.

Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Over the past week, Anthony Volpe’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O’Neill as the game’s 10th-best home run batter.

Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Out of every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Trevor Story has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .251 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .285.

Trevor Story and his 18.7° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 87th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Aaron Judge are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Considering Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

The Boston Red Sox don’t have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jazz Chisholm Jr. is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Juan Soto will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

The Boston Red Sox don’t have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Juan Soto is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

In the last two weeks, Anthony Volpe’s 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.7%.

In notching a .319 BABIP this year, Anthony Volpe has performed in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Austin Wells is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello today… and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

In the past week, Ceddanne Rafaela’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 50%.

Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.1-mph.

Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello today… and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.

Anthony Rizzo is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game since none of the available options for the Boston Red Sox share his handedness.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand in today’s game.

When estimating his home run talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today’s matchup.

Triston Casas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 97-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Gerrit Cole in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Wilyer Abreu’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.4% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Alex Verdugo’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello in today’s game… and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.

The Boston Red Sox don’t have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Brayan Bello in the 75th percentile among all SPs in baseball.

Tallying 92.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Brayan Bello checks in at the 77th percentile.

Over his previous 3 outings, Brayan Bello has experienced a substantial jump in his fastball spin rate: from 2036 rpm over the entire season to 2117 rpm recently.

Brayan Bello has utilized his four-seamer 16.7% less often this year (4%) than he did last year (20.7%).

As it relates to his home run talent, Trevor Story ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home runs, Trevor Story has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His 8.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.9.

Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Gerrit Cole today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Boston’s 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #4 group of hitters in MLB this year by this metric.

Recording 92.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Gerrit Cole falls in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gerrit Cole in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

The Boston Red Sox have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Triston Casas, Wilyer Abreu, Tyler O’Neill, Trevor Story).

Tyler O’Neill has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.8-mph average to last year’s 92.8-mph figure.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole in today’s game.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 16.9% on the season to 43.8% over the past 14 days.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today.

Gleyber Torres will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brayan Bello in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

Brayan Bello is an extreme groundball pitcher (50.1% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #5 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this matchup.

The Boston Red Sox don’t have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Austin Wells is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Anthony Rizzo has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.2° mark over the last 14 days.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Checking in at the 85th percentile, Triston Casas sits with a .341 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Verdugo ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Yankees Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 22nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to less offense.

Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony Volpe in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 6th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.

Gerrit Cole will have the handedness advantage against Tyler O’Neill in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Tyler O’Neill is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.9% rate (86th percentile).

Tyler O’Neill will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story is penciled in 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 7th-worst ballpark in the game for righty BABIP.

Yankee Stadium has the 5th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.

Batting from the same side that Gerrit Cole throws from, Trevor Story will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Over the past week, Aaron Judge’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 26.4% down to 16.7%.

Aaron Judge’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 100.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 97.1-mph in the last two weeks.

Despite posting a .469 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has had some very good luck given the .044 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .425.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 6th-worst stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB.

In the last 7 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 89.8-mph over the past week.

The #7 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Juan Soto who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.

Austin Wells has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.

Over the past 7 days, Austin Wells’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Wells’s true offensive talent to be a .319, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .014 deviation between that figure and his actual .333 wOBA.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Gerrit Cole throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will be in a tough position in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rizzo in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Anthony Rizzo is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Anthony Rizzo’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.9-mph mark last year has decreased to 86.5-mph.

Masataka Yoshida hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 81.5-mph in the past week.

Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Masataka Yoshida has been lucky given the .014 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Triston Casas in today’s game.

There has been a significant decline in Triston Casas’s launch angle from last year’s 15.6° to 9.5° this season.

Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Wilyer Abreu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wilyer Abreu in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Wilyer Abreu’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.6%.

Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

In today’s matchup, Alex Verdugo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.8% rate (93rd percentile).

In the last 14 days, Alex Verdugo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Brayan Bello (50.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in New York’s projected lineup.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brayan Bello in today’s game.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 13.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Given Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Gleyber Torres will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Over the past 7 days, Gleyber Torres’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.

Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.9-mph mark last year has dropped off to 90.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gerrit Cole in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a good pitch framer.

The #1 park in the league for suppressing BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.327) provides evidence that Tyler O’Neill has had some very good luck this year with his .366 actual wOBA.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarren Duran in today’s game.

In the past week, Jarren Duran’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran’s true offensive skill to be a .339, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .029 difference between that mark and his actual .368 wOBA.

Gleyber Torres’s launch angle in recent games (5° in the past two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 15.2° seasonal figure.

Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ceddanne Rafaela ranks in the 19th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .288.

Last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr. had a launch angle of 17.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 13.3°.

Rafael Devers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 95.4-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 84.6-mph in the last two weeks.

The 2nd-best projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the New York Yankees.

Trevor Story has recorded a .251 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.6°, Juan Soto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.6°) in the past two weeks.

Triston Casas’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Anthony Rizzo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 17% to 10.3%.

Based on Statcast metrics, Anthony Rizzo is in the 8th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .269.

In the past week’s worth of games, Alex Verdugo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 89.6 mph to 74.3 mph.

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