
TB @ CLE




Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 14th
14/09/24 18:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Guardians Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 6th-best venue in MLB for LHB base hits.
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.
Bo Naylor will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Bo Naylor’s launch angle recently (35.7° over the last week) is significantly better than his 20.2° seasonal figure.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lane Thomas ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Progressive Field projects as the #6 ballpark in the majors for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Lane Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Alexander in today’s game.
When assessing his home run talent, Bo Naylor ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jonny Deluca has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
Jonny Deluca will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Cantillo today.
Ben Rortvedt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Grading out in the 80th percentile, Ben Rortvedt has posted a .323 BABIP this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
Bats such as Andres Gimenez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tyler Alexander who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Josh Naylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
Progressive Field has the shallowest LF fences in the majors.
The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Joey Cantillo.
Last season, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.8°.
When it comes to his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 11th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Jose Caballero will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Jonny Deluca pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
The switch-hitting Brayan Rocchio will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Tyler Alexander.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Brayan Rocchio has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 4.7% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week’s worth of games.
Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand today.
Junior Caminero has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 96.8-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Yandy Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Cantillo today.
Progressive Field profiles as the #8 field in the league for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Joey Cantillo gave up a whopping 7 earned runs in his last start.
Out of all starting pitchers, Joey Cantillo’s fastball spin rate of 1870 rpm is in the 4th percentile this year.
Josh Naylor has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season’s 91.3-mph EV.
Dylan Carlson has been unlucky this year, notching a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .048 disparity.
The Tampa Bay Rays have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ben Rortvedt, Josh Lowe, Christopher Morel, Jonathan Aranda).
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Steven Kwan will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Andres Gimenez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph to 92.6-mph in the last 7 days.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Guardians Series Game 3
Bo Naylor’s BABIP skill is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bo Naylor is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Tyler Alexander will hold the platoon advantage against Bo Naylor today.
Bo Naylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Typically, hitters like Bo Naylor who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tyler Alexander.
Lane Thomas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.
The league’s 4th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Progressive Field.
The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of all the teams in action today.
Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 94.8-mph average last season has lowered to 89.2-mph.
The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny Deluca in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.
Jonny Deluca will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Jonny Deluca’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 87.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 85.5-mph over the past 7 days.
Ben Rortvedt’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ben Rortvedt is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.
Joey Cantillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Rortvedt in today’s matchup.
The 7th-deepest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field.
Tyler Alexander will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andres Gimenez today.
There has been a significant decline in Andres Gimenez’s launch angle from last year’s 12.9° to 9.5° this year.
Batting from the same side that Tyler Alexander throws from, Josh Naylor will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Josh Naylor’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85.2-mph in the last week.
Batting from the same side that Tyler Alexander throws from, Steven Kwan faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
In the past two weeks, Steven Kwan’s 34.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan’s true offensive ability to be a .308, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .341 wOBA.
Dylan Carlson is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.
Dylan Carlson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Dylan Carlson’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.6-mph in the last 7 days.
Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (1°) is significantly lower than his 4.9° mark last year.
Yandy Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, falling from 39.3% on the season to 33.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 20.8°, Dylan Carlson’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (4.9° in the past 14 days).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 7th-worst venue in MLB for righty home runs.
Jose Caballero is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Caballero today.
Jose Caballero has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 14 days.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Typically, batters like Jose Ramirez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tyler Alexander.
Jose Ramirez has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.
Jose Ramirez’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 80-mph in the past week.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jonny Deluca has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 83.8-mph seasonal average has decreased to 79.7-mph in the past two weeks.
When assessing his home run ability, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.
As it relates to his home runs, Brayan Rocchio has experienced some positive variance this year. His 12.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 9.3.
Junior Caminero has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Junior Caminero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Josh Naylor has compiled a .239 BABIP this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, going from 38.6% on the season to 23.5% over the past week.
Junior Caminero is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ben Rortvedt today.
Projected catcher Bo Naylor profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Because of his reverse platoon split, Joey Cantillo will hold the advantage matching up with 6 batters in the projected batting order of opposing handedness in this outing.
Joey Cantillo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his metrics in all categories.
Andres Gimenez has recorded a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 15th percentile.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Using Statcast data, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 12th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .278.
Based on Statcast metrics, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 14th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .221.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Cantillo to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (8th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Steven Kwan’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (7.3° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 12.6° seasonal angle.
When estimating his home run ability, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
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