Cubs vs Dodgers match player stats Monday, September 9th 2024. Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers

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Cubs vs Dodgers match player stats Monday, September 9th 2024. Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers

CHC @ LAD

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Todays Matchup Details

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers

Todays Game is on Monday, September 9th
09/09/24 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Dodgers Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for RHB home runs.

Among all major league parks, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Kyle Hendricks has relied on his four-seamer 8% less often this season (12.3%) than he did last season (20.3%).

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Nico Hoerner has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .258 figure is a fair amount lower than his .283 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 12.5%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league.

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for LHB home runs.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Will Smith ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Miguel Rojas has posted a .280 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Max Muncy as baseball’s 20th-best home run hitter.

Max Muncy is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

The 2nd-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward, Dodger Stadium projects as the #4 field in MLB for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As it relates to his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand today.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Lux stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Chicago Cubs with a 24.6% underlying K%.

Walker Buehler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Out of all starters, Walker Buehler’s fastball velocity of 94.6 mph ranks in the 81st percentile this year.

Tommy Edman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Michael Busch is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Freddie Freeman projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to plate discipline, Nico Hoerner’s talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.54 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 93rd percentile.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Walker Buehler in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Dansby Swanson has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 16.1% in the past two weeks.

Dansby Swanson has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure.

Miguel Amaya’s launch angle of late (22.5° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 9.8° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Posting a 1.76 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

By putting up a .328 BABIP this year, Michael Busch finds himself in the 88th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage in today’s game.

Cody Bellinger has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph figure.

It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Chicago Cubs offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Seiya Suzuki has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage today.

Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today’s matchup.

Max Muncy is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Max Muncy will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Will Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Will Smith’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (21.4°) is quite a bit better than his 12.4° angle last season.

Nico Hoerner’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Dodgers

Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today’s matchup.

The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best out of all the teams in action today.

Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

As it relates to his batting average, Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck this year. His .273 BA has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Kyle Hendricks in the 14th percentile among all starters in the league.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Hendricks is projected to throw 82 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 14th-most on the slate.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (20.1 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Kyle Hendricks will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Nico Hoerner will be in a tough position today.

Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

This year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has notched a .290 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Mookie Betts meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

This season, Mookie Betts’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 12.5% last year to just 5.9% this year.

There has been a decrease in Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity this season, from 92.4 mph last year to 90.2 mph now, Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, compiling a .390 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .367 — a .023 difference.

Will Smith is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage against Will Smith in today’s matchup.

Will Smith has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

Over the past two weeks, Will Smith’s 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.1%.

In notching a .272 BABIP this year, Will Smith grades out in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Miguel Rojas has been pinch hit for 11% of the time.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Miguel Rojas will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Miguel Rojas has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

In the last week, Max Muncy’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 0%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.2) provides evidence that Max Muncy has had some very good luck this year with his 30.3 actual HR/600.

Dansby Swanson is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage over Dansby Swanson today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

In his previous outing, Kyle Hendricks performed well and conceded 2 ER.

Given the 2.06 gap between Kyle Hendricks’s 6.60 ERA and his 4.54 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and ought to see positive regression in future games.

Gavin Lux is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

12% of the time that Gavin Lux has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Walker Buehler to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (10th-most of all pitchers on the slate today), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Walker Buehler has put up a 7.6% Swinging Strike rate this year, ranking in the 13th percentile.

Walker Buehler has posted a 16.7% Strikeout% this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Kyle Hendricks today.

Tommy Edman has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 5.1% rate last year has lowered to 0% this year.

From last season to this one, Tommy Edman’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 90.6 mph to 86.2 mph.

Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 86.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 84.1-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, Tommy Edman is in the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 13.100.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ian Happ today.

In the past week, Ian Happ’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 15°, Ian Happ has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3°) over the last 14 days.

In notching a .238 BABIP since the start of last season, Max Muncy finds himself in the 2nd percentile.

This year, Michael Busch has been pinch hit for in 16% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Busch in today’s matchup.

Michael Busch has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days.

In the past week, Michael Busch’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 95.5 mph to 93.3 mph.

Gavin Lux has paced 12.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 87.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 81.6-mph over the past two weeks.

Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

20% of the time that Miguel Amaya has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Miguel Amaya has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Amaya in today’s matchup.

Miguel Amaya’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 91.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 87-mph over the past 14 days.

In today’s matchup, Cody Bellinger is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.9% rate (86th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cody Bellinger in today’s matchup.

From last season to this one, Cody Bellinger’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 43.4% to 37.8%.

Cody Bellinger’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 37.8% on the season to 24.3% over the last 14 days.

In his last game started, Walker Buehler turned in a great performance and gave up 2 ER.

Walker Buehler has notched a .327 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

Cody Bellinger’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (11.5° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

Cody Bellinger has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .322 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miguel Amaya’s BABIP ability is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Rojas’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 87.3-mph average last season has lowered to 84.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.315) implies that Max Muncy has had some very good luck this year with his .345 actual wOBA.

With a 4.48 K/BB rate this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has displayed bad plate discipline, ranking in the 12th percentile.

Seiya Suzuki has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .355 figure is considerably higher than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, falling from 18.2% on the season to 10.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

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