
KC @ CLE






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 27th
27/08/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Guardians Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today
When estimating his home run skill, Jhonkensy Noel ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.
Jhonkensy Noel pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage today.
Jhonkensy Noel has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 18.9% seasonal rate to 31.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Michael Massey is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
Progressive Field ranks as the #7 venue in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge in today’s game.
The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Jonathan Parra grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today’s game.
Michael Lorenzen was rolling in his last game started and conceded 0 ER.
Michael Lorenzen’s 2385-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 78th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Brayan Rocchio will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
As it relates to his home run ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
MJ Melendez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today’s game.
MJ Melendez is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.
When assessing his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.
Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Salvador Perez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph figure.
Gavin Williams’s slider percentage has dropped by 16.1% from last season to this one (22.1% to 6%) .
Kansas City’s 89.5-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in the game: #4 overall.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage today.
Vinnie Pasquantino will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.
Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year’s 90.7-mph average.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Daniel Schneemann will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Steven Kwan will have an edge in today’s game.
Steven Kwan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Steven Kwan will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage today.
Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today’s matchup.
Bo Naylor has strong power (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael Lorenzen struggles to strike batters out (25th percentile K%) — great news for Naylor.
Bo Naylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
This season, Bo Naylor has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.3 mph compared to last year’s 90.7 mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Naylor ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today’s game.
Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Paul DeJong’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 25%.
Paul DeJong has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 95.3-mph in the past two weeks.
Last year, Paul DeJong had an average launch angle of 15.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 21°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.307) may lead us to conclude that Andres Gimenez has been unlucky this year with his .274 actual wOBA.
When assessing his home run skill, Paul DeJong ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Will Brennan is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen today.
Will Brennan will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Adam Frazier will have an edge in today’s game.
Adam Frazier has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.
Adam Frazier has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 88.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 85.7-mph.
Over the last 14 days, Adam Frazier’s 68.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.2%.
Adam Frazier has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .212 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Kyle Isbel will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Gavin Williams in the 83rd percentile among all SPs in the league.
Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Gavin Williams will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Gavin Williams’s 96.2-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.2-mph rise from last year’s 95-mph figure.
Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Will Brennan’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Progressive Field grades out as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Steven Kwan’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Lorenzen has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 6.59 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.23 — a 0.64 K/9 gap.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 77th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Compared to his seasonal average of 15.8°, Adam Frazier has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.7° figure in the last 7 days.
Adam Frazier has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .265 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Guardians Series Game 3
Jhonkensy Noel is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-worst venue in the game for righty home runs.
The league’s 4th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Progressive Field.
Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jhonkensy Noel will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 21st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Massey in today’s game.
Michael Massey has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 14 days.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) may lead us to conclude that Michael Massey has been lucky this year with his .273 actual batting average.
Salvador Perez, the Royals’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Progressive Field projects as the #7 stadium in baseball for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Lorenzen in today’s matchup.
Michael Lorenzen’s sinker percentage has increased by 9.6% from last year to this one (11.8% to 21.4%) .
When assessing his home run skill, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
The #6 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
In MLB, Progressive Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for MJ Melendez today.
MJ Melendez’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 93.2-mph average last year has dropped off to 91-mph.
Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Salvador Perez today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Gavin Williams’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 80th percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball right now.
It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Kansas City Royals offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.
Projected catcher Bo Naylor profiles as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s game.
In the past week’s worth of games, Vinnie Pasquantino’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.
In the past 7 days, Vinnie Pasquantino’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 92.5 mph to 89.5 mph.
Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s matchup.
Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Over the last 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.
Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Daniel Schneemann is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (90th percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Steven Kwan has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 17.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 6.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jose Ramirez is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Kansas City (#2-best of all teams today).
Jose Ramirez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Bo Naylor is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Bo Naylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, MJ Melendez’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.
Ranking in the 21st percentile, MJ Melendez has put up a .286 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
In the last two weeks, Vinnie Pasquantino’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-1.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.1°.
Josh Naylor has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 2.9% over the last two weeks.
Josh Naylor has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph dropping to 83.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Josh Naylor’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (0.8° over the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 10.9° seasonal mark.
With a .230 BABIP this year, Josh Naylor finds himself in the 3rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 8th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Paul DeJong is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage against Paul DeJong today.
In the past week, Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 87.9 mph to 78.8 mph.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Paul DeJong in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 10th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Will Brennan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.7°, Michael Massey’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (6.1° in the past 14 days).
As it relates to his home run talent, Adam Frazier ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Adam Frazier is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Bo Naylor’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 82.1-mph over the last week.
Jhonkensy Noel has been lucky this year, notching a .399 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .096 gap.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Daniel Schneemann’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 89.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 83.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Gavin Williams is projected to throw 84 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least on the slate today.
Considering the 0.5 deviation between Gavin Williams’s 9.89 K/9 and his 9.39 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see worse results the rest of the season.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Will Brennan’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.
Will Brennan’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 81.2-mph in the last 14 days.
In the last week’s worth of games, Will Brennan’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.6%.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, putting up a .419 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .377 — a .042 gap.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan’s true offensive skill to be a .310, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .045 disparity between that figure and his actual .355 wOBA.
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Michael Lorenzen in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Cleveland Guardians with a 18.6% underlying K%.
Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this season (8.8°) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.9° mark last season.
Andres Gimenez’s launch angle lately (-0.3° over the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 8.8° seasonal angle.
From last year to this one, Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.3% to 38.2%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) may lead us to conclude that Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck this year with his .274 actual batting average.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) may lead us to conclude that Salvador Perez has had some very good luck this year with his .276 actual batting average.
Kyle Isbel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
When it comes to his home run ability, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Over the last week, Daniel Schneemann’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
The switch-hitting Brayan Rocchio will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Michael Lorenzen, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adam Frazier today.
Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 36.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 30.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
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