Reds @ Brewers Matchup Details

Positives for the Cincinnati Reds Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as MLB’s 19th-best home run hitter.

,Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

,The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

,Among all stadiums, American Family Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

,In the majors, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

,Carlos Jorge has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP.

,Carlos Jorge will hold the platoon advantage against Dustin May today.

,American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

,Joey Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today.

,Joey Ortiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Joey Ortiz has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 96.5-mph in the last week.

,Dane Myers is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Dane Myers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 91.6-mph in the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Pratt in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Cooper Pratt will have an advantage today.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Matt McLain has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Brice Turang is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Sal Stewart is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

,Sal Stewart has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.4-mph.

,The #3 venue in MLB for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Dustin May will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Dustin May’s cut-fastball usage has increased by 14.4% from last year to this one (9.2% to 23.6%) .

,Compared to last year, Ke’Bryan Hayes has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.4% to 16.6% this season.

,Despite posting a .206 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke’Bryan Hayes has suffered from bad luck given the .081 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .287.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 20.7°, Matt McLain has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 32° mark over the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,William Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

,The #8 park in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

,With 7 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Andrew Abbott will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

,Hector Rodriguez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hector Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Dustin May today.

,Gary Sanchez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Gary Sanchez will have the upper hand today.

,This year, Ke’Bryan Hayes has an average exit velocity of 90.4 mph, which is one of the best in baseball at the 79th percentile.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Lara will hold that advantage today.

,Luis Lara has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 87.6-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Andrew Vaughn will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott today.

,In his last game started, Dustin May conceded a whopping 6 earned runs.

,Eugenio Suarez has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that Dustin May throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,TJ Friedl’s launch angle this season (19.7°) is a significant increase over his 14.7° angle last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates TJ Friedl’s true offensive skill to be a .293, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .064 difference between that mark and his actual .229 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,JJ Bleday is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Dustin May throws from, JJ Bleday will have an advantage in today’s game.

,JJ Bleday’s launch angle of late (29.6° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 22.9° seasonal angle.

,Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Stephenson’s launch angle this year (17.5°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° mark last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, Tyler Stephenson has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.7° mark over the last two weeks.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cooper Pratt will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Posting a 1.83 K/BB rate this year, Cooper Pratt has demonstrated good plate discipline, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

,Matt McLain’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 16% to 22.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 18th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Garrett Mitchell hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Garrett Mitchell will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his home run ability, JJ Bleday ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,William Contreras will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Jackson Chourio will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Gary Sanchez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Dustin May in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brice Turang ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Tallying 93.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Andrew Abbott falls in the 83rd percentile.

,Andrew Abbott has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.09 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.60 — a 0.51 K/9 difference.

,Luis Lara’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Negatives with the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

This matchup is forecasted to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,Dustin May will have the handedness advantage over Eugenio Suarez today.

,Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

,Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Over the past 7 days, Eugenio Suarez’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.8%.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Carlos Jorge ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carlos Jorge today.

,When assessing his home run skill, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Joey Ortiz has been pinch hit for 13% of the time.

,Joey Ortiz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Brito in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Juan Brito is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Juan Brito pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

,Hitting from the same side that Dustin May throws from, Dane Myers faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Dane Myers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Dane Myers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 11.7% on the season to 0% in the last week.

,In the last two weeks, Dane Myers has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,Cooper Pratt is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Cooper Pratt has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a southpaw this year.

,Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

,Cooper Pratt’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 88-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.2-mph in the last two weeks.

,Matt McLain is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Dustin May will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt McLain in today’s game.

,Today, Matt McLain is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.4% rate (89th percentile).

,Batting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Brice Turang meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Brice Turang has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks.

,In the past 14 days, Brice Turang’s 4.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

,Batting from the same side that Dustin May throws from, Sal Stewart has a tough challenge today.

,Sal Stewart has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sal Stewart in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Brito in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Juan Brito will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,The Cincinnati Reds have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Dustin May in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Ke’Bryan Hayes has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time.

,Dustin May will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt McLain in today’s game.

,William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 12.4% on the season to 0% in the last week.

,William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 43.9% to 38.8%.

,William Contreras has performed at a clip of 12.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz’s true offensive talent to be a .342, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .030 deviation between that figure and his actual .372 wOBA.

,It may be best to expect worse results for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

,In his last GS, Andrew Abbott was in good form and gave up 0 ER.

,Andrew Abbott’s slider percentage has jumped by 5.3% from last season to this one (13.9% to 19.2%) .

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Hector Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,In the last week, Hector Rodriguez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Hector Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 88.6 mph to 65.1 mph.

,Gary Sanchez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Gary Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.

,Gary Sanchez has been lucky this year, compiling a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .030 deviation.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Lara in the 5th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Luis Lara is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Luis Lara will bat from his weak side against Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

,Luis Lara has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,When starting against a southpaw this year, Andrew Vaughn has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 33% of the time.

,Andrew Vaughn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 16.1% to 12.2%.

,In the last week, Andrew Vaughn’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andrew Vaughn’s true offensive ability to be a .330, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .041 gap between that mark and his actual .371 wOBA.

,It may be best to expect negative regression for the Cincinnati Reds offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 9th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

,Eugenio Suarez’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,TJ Friedl has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,25% of the time that TJ Friedl has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Today, TJ Friedl is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.1% rate (92nd percentile).

,Hector Rodriguez’s launch angle in recent games (-4.3° in the past 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 7.9° seasonal mark.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Carlos Jorge ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Today, JJ Bleday is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.3% rate (94th percentile).

,JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

,In today’s matchup, Tyler Stephenson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (87th percentile).

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Pratt in the 19th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,In the past 7 days, Jackson Chourio’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 0%.

,Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, falling from 42.5% on the season to 23.5% over the past 7 days.

,Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Garrett Mitchell has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Garrett Mitchell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 4.8%.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Garrett Mitchell’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 96.1 mph to 60.9 mph.

,JJ Bleday has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

,JJ Bleday’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 85.6-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Brice Turang has been lucky this year, notching a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .019 gap.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Eugenio Suarez’s ability is quite poor, sporting a 3.21 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 22nd percentile.

,Among all starting pitchers, Andrew Abbott’s fastball velocity of 91.9 mph is in the 13th percentile this year.

,Andrew Abbott has compiled a 9.2% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.

,Dustin May has recorded 14.7 outs per outing this year, grading out in the 24th percentile.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

,TJ Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Gary Sanchez ranks in the 20th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.8% rate this year).

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