Tigers vs Padres match player stats Monday, September 2nd 2024. Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres

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Tigers vs Padres match player stats Monday, September 2nd 2024. Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres

DET @ SD

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Todays Matchup Details

Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres

Todays Game is on Monday, September 2nd
02/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Padres Matchup Today

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.

This contest is projected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Kyle Higashioka will hold the platoon advantage over Brant Hurter today… and even more favorably, Hurter has a large platoon split.

Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Higashioka tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brant Hurter.

Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park has the shortest fences in MLB.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brant Hurter) in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The #4 field in the game for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Considering Brant Hurter’s large platoon split, Mason McCoy will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

Mason McCoy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Mason McCoy will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average ability.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Luis Arraez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Detroit Tigers offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 3rd-best venue in the majors for home runs.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Manny Machado will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brant Hurter in today’s game… and even better, Hurter has a large platoon split.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Joe Musgrove in the 82nd percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The Detroit Tigers have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Spencer Torkelson, Dillon Dingler, Ryan Kreidler, Trey Sweeney).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 4th-best venue in the league for strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today.

Because of Brant Hurter’s large platoon split, Xander Bogaerts will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Padres

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Kyle Higashioka is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

The #5 park in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Higashioka has been lucky given the .040 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.3°, Manny Machado has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-5.6°) in the past two weeks.

Jurickson Profar’s launch angle recently (-0.5° in the past 7 days) is significantly worse than his 11.8° seasonal figure.

Jurickson Profar has been lucky this year, notching a .365 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .043 discrepancy.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Brant Hurter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Merrill today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Hurter’s large platoon split.

As it relates to his home runs, Kyle Higashioka has been lucky this year. His 44.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 33.3.

Checking in at the 19th percentile, Kyle Higashioka sits with a .270 BABIP since the start of last season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mason McCoy ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mason McCoy is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Mason McCoy has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last 14 days.

The #5 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Brant Hurter will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Hurter’s large platoon split.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph average last season has fallen to 87.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Joe Musgrove in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

The 2nd-worst projected lineup of the day in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Kyle Higashioka, the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Joe Musgrove will hold that advantage today.

Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.3-mph EV last year has fallen off to 89.2-mph.

Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle in recent games (1° over the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 11.1° seasonal angle.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Xander Bogaerts grades out in the 19th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .288.

Xander Bogaerts has recorded a .158 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 9th percentile.

Mason McCoy has exhibited some bad exit velocity statistics lately, averaging just 81.6-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Luis Arraez has been cold in recent games, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

As it relates to his home runs, Luis Arraez has been very fortunate this year. His 4.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 1.5.

Luis Arraez has paced 3.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 1st percentile for power.

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