Phillies vs Nationals match player stats | Series Game 2 Saturday, September 28th Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals

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Phillies vs Nationals match player stats | Series Game 2 Saturday, September 28th Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals

PHI @ WSH

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 28th
28/09/24 16:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Nationals Series Game 2 Matchup Today

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86, °.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Zack Wheeler in this game.

Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle this season (20°) is significantly better than his 15.1° angle last season.

Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

J.T. Realmuto’s BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an advantage today.

J.T. Realmuto has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today’s matchup.

Ranking in the 82nd percentile, the hardest ball Edmundo Sosa has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.9 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

Austin Hays will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Austin Hays has had some very poor luck this year. His 9.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.1.

Austin Hays has compiled a .316 BABIP this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today.

Ranking in the 84th percentile, Jacob Young sports a .321 BABIP this year.

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts MacKenzie Gore in the 82nd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

Throwing 97 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, MacKenzie Gore places him the 95th percentile.

As a result of his large reverse platoon split, MacKenzie Gore should be in good shape squaring off against 7 hitters in the projected batting order of the opposite hand today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and MacKenzie Gore will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his previous start, MacKenzie Gore was rolling and compiled 9 strikeouts.

Luis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

In the majors, Nationals Park’s right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Luis Garcia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Dylan Crews is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Dylan Crews will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Dylan Crews’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 95.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 91.2-mph over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year. His .241 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .334.

Juan Yepez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Juan Yepez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Juan Yepez has compiled a .337 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Juan Yepez has put up a .285 batting average this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the league.

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a weak pitch framer.

The Washington Nationals have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.

Joey Gallo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

Joey Gallo pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Joey Gallo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Joey Gallo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 17.4% on the season to 42.9% in the last week.

Austin Hays has hit 37.8% of his balls in the air at least 100 mph this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

As it relates to plate discipline, Juan Yepez’s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.97 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 13th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average skill.

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Trea Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 6th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill.

James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, James Wood will have an edge today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nasim Nunez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors’s 3rd-best home run hitter.

Bryce Harper has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.7% seasonal rate to 21.9% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nick Castellanos will have the upper hand in today’s game.

As a team, Philadelphia Phillies bats rank as the 2nd-fastest in MLB at 27.97 ft/sec, according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed statistic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jose Tena is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jose Tena will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Jacob Young has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .253 mark is considerably lower than his .269 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph average.

Jose Tena will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Joey Gallo projects as the 7th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trea Turner ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner has been hot recently, tallying a .348 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Sporting a .423 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Edmundo Sosa finds himself in the 76th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 23.1%.

Kyle Schwarber has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the last 7 days.

Zack Wheeler projects as the 17th-best starting pitcher in the majors currently when estimating his strikeout talent, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to the average hurler, Zack Wheeler has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an additional 7.7 adjusted pitches each start.

The Washington Nationals have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Gallo, Jose Tena, James Wood).

In his previous GS, Zack Wheeler was rolling and put up 8 strikeouts.

Zack Wheeler has gone to his change-up 6.8% more often this year (7.2%) than he did last year (0.4%).

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Nationals Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The #1 field in the game for suppressing BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

From last season to this one, Keibert Ruiz’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.9 mph to 87.4 mph.

Keibert Ruiz has recorded a .257 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 3rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 15th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Johan Rojas is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Johan Rojas in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Johan Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 86.2 mph to 82.6 mph.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Alec Bohm’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.7-mph in the last week.

Alec Bohm’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (1.1° in the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 8.4° seasonal mark.

Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has been lucky given the .014 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Alec Bohm and his 8.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 18th percentile, among the lowest in the majors this year.

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto’s launch angle this year (9.4°) is considerably lower than his 16.6° figure last year.

Posting a 3.93 K/BB rate this year, J.T. Realmuto has displayed bad plate discipline, placing in the 16th percentile.

Edmundo Sosa is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Edmundo Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

From last season to this one, Edmundo Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 43.7% to 38.1%.

In terms of his batting average, Edmundo Sosa has been very fortunate this year. His .258 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Austin Hays will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

From last season to this one, Austin Hays’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18% to 11.4%.

Austin Hays’s footspeed has decreased this season. His 27.45 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27 ft/sec now.

When it comes to his home run ability, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Young is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage today.

Jacob Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 84.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 71.9-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 7th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 4.4°, Johan Rojas has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-13°) over the last two weeks.

Nic Lentz projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

The #10 park in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Given the 0.07 difference between MacKenzie Gore’s 9.65 K/9 and his 9.59 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and should see negative regression in the future.

In the last two weeks, Luis Garcia’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Dylan Crews will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Dylan Crews’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.5%.

In the past two weeks, Dylan Crews has recorded a mere a 2.9% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Juan Yepez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage against Juan Yepez in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Juan Yepez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

Juan Yepez’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 80.1-mph over the past 7 days.

MacKenzie Gore will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Harper today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Bryce Harper has been lucky this year. His 28.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.9.

Zack Wheeler projects as the 5th-best SP in the league currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 3rd-worst projected lineup of the day in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Washington Nationals.

The Washington Nationals have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward, The #2 venue in the league for suppressing BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

In his last game started, Zack Wheeler was firing on all cylinders and gave up 2 ER.

Dylan Crews’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (6.3° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably worse than his 12.1° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Gallo in the 0th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Joey Gallo is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Joey Gallo has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 19.4% rate last year has lowered to 13.9% this season.

Joey Gallo’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (26.2°) is considerably worse than his 35.2° mark last season.

Austin Hays has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 16th percentile with a 6.43 K/BB rate.

In the past 7 days, Juan Yepez’s 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Juan Yepez has experienced some positive variance given the .036 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

Hitting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .367 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Schwarber has experienced some positive variance given the .012 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .355.

Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Over the past week, Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 92.1 mph to 83.7 mph.

Trea Turner’s launch angle lately (18.1° over the last 7 days) is a significant increase over his 11.4° seasonal angle.

Trea Turner’s footspeed has fallen off this season. His 30.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.54 ft/sec now.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 1.6°, James Wood has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.6°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates James Wood’s true offensive skill to be a .323, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .019 disparity between that mark and his actual .342 wOBA.

As it relates to his home run ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nasim Nunez is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Nasim Nunez will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

Nasim Nunez’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 83.1-mph seasonal average has dropped to 77.5-mph over the last two weeks.

Keibert Ruiz has posted a .263 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 4th percentile.

Keibert Ruiz has posted a .355 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Over the last two weeks, Nasim Nunez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.8%.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today’s game.

MacKenzie Gore was in good form in his last GS and conceded 1 ER.

MacKenzie Gore’s 95.4-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1-mph jump from last year’s 94.4-mph mark.

In the last 7 days, Jose Tena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%.

Jose Tena’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 95.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 91.4-mph over the last week.

Jose Tena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 11.4% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

Jose Tena has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .281 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jacob Young’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 11.1% on the season to 0% in the past week.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Bryce Harper has had positive variance on his side this year. His .379 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .362.

As it relates to his home runs, Nick Castellanos has had some very good luck this year. His 21.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.3.

Jose Tena has been lucky this year, compiling a .300 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .014 gap.

Jose Tena has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 21st percentile with a 5.06 K/BB rate.

Trea Turner has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 22.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 19.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Edmundo Sosa’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (8.8°) is significantly lower than his 12.6° figure last season.

Edmundo Sosa has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .318 figure is a fair amount higher than his .295 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Edmundo Sosa’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 5.12 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 20th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

MacKenzie Gore’s 23rd percentile Walk% (9.1% this year) is evidence of his poor control ability.

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