Rays vs Red Sox match player stats | Series Game 2 Saturday, September 28th Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

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Rays vs Red Sox match player stats | Series Game 2 Saturday, September 28th Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

TB @ BOS

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 28th
28/09/24 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Red Sox Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for run-scoring.

Vaughn Grissom has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Vaughn Grissom will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.302) may lead us to conclude that Vaughn Grissom has suffered from bad luck this year with his .192 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his home run skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Christopher Morel’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 105.6-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christopher Morel’s true offensive talent to be a .316, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .037 disparity between that mark and his actual .279 wOBA.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball.

Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford today.

Jonny Deluca is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

In MLB, Fenway Park’s LF fences are the shallowest.

Jonny Deluca’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 84.7-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 82.6-mph over the past week.

Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny Deluca has had some very poor luck given the .026 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for lefty base hits.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Triston Casas will have an edge in today’s game.

Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today’s game.

Wilyer Abreu will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford in today’s matchup.

Josh Lowe is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Josh Lowe has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Taylor Walls hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Taylor Walls’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 36.3% on the season to 53.8% over the past 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.2) implies that Taylor Walls has had some very poor luck this year with his 2.4 actual HR/600.

Posting a 2.02 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 15th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge today.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rortvedt has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Ben Rortvedt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.

Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (26.1° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably better than his 17.7° seasonal angle.

Ceddanne Rafaela has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17.7° angle is among the highest in the league this year (91st percentile).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jonathan Aranda has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

Connor Wong’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (27° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° seasonal angle.

Christopher Morel has averaged 22.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 76th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Brandon Lowe is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Junior Caminero hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Batters such as Junior Caminero with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kutter Crawford who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 venue in MLB for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 11th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Trevor Story has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7% seasonal rate to 17.4% over the last two weeks.

Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage today.

Nick Sogard has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 2.1% seasonal rate to 8.3% over the last week.

In the past 7 days, Nick Sogard’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jarren Duran ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Josh Lowe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 93.8-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Josh Lowe’s launch angle of late (23.5° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 17.3° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Junior Caminero has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 27.6% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.9) suggests that Yandy Diaz has experienced some negative variance this year with his 13.7 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.6) suggests that Ceddanne Rafaela has experienced some negative variance this year with his 15.9 actual HR/600.

Projected catcher Connor Wong grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for BABIP.

Because flyball hitters have a significant edge over groundball pitchers, Kutter Crawford and his 42.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard position in this game being matched up with 1 opposing GB batters.

Kutter Crawford has used his curveball 5% less often this season (7.1%) than he did last year (12.1%).

The Boston Red Sox have 5 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Wilyer Abreu, Trevor Story, Connor Wong, Triston Casas, Tyler O’Neill).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.3) implies that Wilyer Abreu has had bad variance on his side this year with his 20.6 actual HR/600.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Masataka Yoshida will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Considering the 1.35 discrepancy between Shane Baz’s 3.07 ERA and his 4.42 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year and figures to see negative regression the rest of the season.

Shane Baz has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play this year with a .238 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

Brandon Lowe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Triston Casas will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ben Rortvedt has notched a .323 BABIP this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kutter Crawford in the 80th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Red Sox Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Vaughn Grissom is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

The league’s 2nd-highest fences can be found at Fenway Park.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense.

The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Christopher Morel has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers.

Jonathan Aranda will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny Deluca in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Kutter Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonny Deluca in today’s game.

Triston Casas has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .340 mark is a fair amount higher than his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

This year, Wilyer Abreu has been pinch hit for in 35% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Josh Lowe has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Josh Lowe has been pinch hit for 18% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Taylor Walls’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Taylor Walls is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Jarren Duran’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 94-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 91.8-mph over the past 7 days.

Ben Rortvedt’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ben Rortvedt is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Ben Rortvedt has been pulled from the game early in 18% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Connor Wong is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Shane Baz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Wong today.

Brandon Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Junior Caminero meets a tough challenge today.

Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Yandy Diaz in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yandy Diaz in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (4.6° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 8.5° seasonal figure.

Masataka Yoshida has been lucky this year, compiling a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .011 deviation.

Batting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Christopher Morel will have a tough challenge today.

Shane Baz will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Story in today’s matchup.

There has been a decrease in Trevor Story’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.5 mph last year to 85.7 mph now, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 12th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Nick Sogard is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

20% of the time that Nick Sogard has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Vaughn Grissom faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Brandon Lowe has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 82.6-mph over the past two weeks.

Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kutter Crawford in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

Bill Miller grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shane Baz to throw 82 pitches in today’s game (15th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Shane Baz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Masataka Yoshida’s launch angle of late (5.4° over the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 10.3° seasonal mark.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward, Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kutter Crawford is projected to throw 82 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 14th-least on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 19th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonny Deluca in today’s matchup.

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