New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers match player stats | Tuesday, October 1st MLB Postseason

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New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers match player stats | Tuesday, October 1st MLB Postseason

NYM @ MIL

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Todays Matchup Details

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers

Todays Game is on Tuesday, October 1st
01/10/24 17:32:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Brewers Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 2nd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors.

When assessing his home run ability, Jake Bauers ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best park in the majors for LHB home runs.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the best pitching conditions of the day.

Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Joey Ortiz will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Pete Alonso projects as the 11th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Garrett Mitchell is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge today.

Jake Bauers will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

When it comes to his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Francisco Alvarez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The 4th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the New York Mets.

Freddy Peralta projects as the 17th-best pitcher in the majors right now when it comes to his strikeout skill, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-most strikeout-prone lineup today is the New York Mets with a 23.8% underlying K%.

American Family Field profiles as the #2 field in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyrone Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 38.1% to 50.2%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his batting average, J.D. Martinez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .232 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .245.

The Milwaukee Brewers have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Blake Perkins, Rhys Hoskins, Jake Bauers, Garrett Mitchell).

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Brewers

Freddy Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mark Vientos today.

Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Mark Vientos’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

Despite posting a .357 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has had some very good luck given the .042 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

Luis Severino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willy Adames in today’s game.

Willy Adames has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 12.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 6.9% over the past two weeks.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Jake Bauers has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.

Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

In the past two weeks, Jake Bauers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 93.6 mph to 84.8 mph.

Jake Bauers has put up a .207 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Jose Iglesias will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jose Iglesias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Jose Iglesias’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 85.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 76.2-mph in the past 7 days.

By putting up a .291 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jake Bauers is positioned in the 24th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Freddy Peralta today.

Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Francisco Lindor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.7% down to 0%.

J.D. Martinez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, J.D. Martinez faces a tough challenge today.

J.D. Martinez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.D. Martinez in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, J.D. Martinez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 4th-worst field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.

Brice Turang’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 87-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 78.9-mph over the past two weeks.

Brice Turang’s launch angle lately (0.6° over the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 5.8° seasonal figure.

Last season, Brice Turang had a launch angle of 10.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 3.2°.

Tyrone Taylor is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Freddy Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Tyrone Taylor in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Over the last two weeks, Tyrone Taylor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, William Contreras encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, William Contreras’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 5.9°, William Contreras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.8°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.340) provides evidence that William Contreras has had some very good luck this year with his .358 actual wOBA.

Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Joey Ortiz in today’s game.

Joey Ortiz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 72-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 11.2% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Jackson Chourio today.

Jackson Chourio has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks.

Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 91.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 87.5-mph in the last week.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jackson Chourio’s 6.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

Jackson Chourio has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 17.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Rhys Hoskins in today’s game.

Rhys Hoskins has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

Rhys Hoskins’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 37.9% on the season to 28.6% over the last week.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.193) suggests that Rhys Hoskins has been lucky this year with his .212 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 4th-worst venue in MLB for RHB batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (2.5) may lead us to conclude that Brice Turang has experienced some positive variance this year with his 6.8 actual HR/600.

Freddy Peralta will have the handedness advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Pete Alonso has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 13.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.

Pete Alonso’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 14.8% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Garrett Mitchell has been pinch hit for 22% of the time.

Garrett Mitchell has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.

Garrett Mitchell’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85.1-mph in the past week.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 2.7°, Garrett Mitchell has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.1°) in the past two weeks.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has recorded a .270 BABIP this year, placing in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 14th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Freddy Peralta will hold the platoon advantage against Francisco Alvarez today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today’s game.

Francisco Alvarez’s launch angle of late (-0.3° in the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 6.7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (12.2) implies that Garrett Mitchell has had positive variance on his side this year with his 21.4 actual HR/600.

Mark Vientos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 13.5% on the season to 4.5% in the past 14 days.

Brice Turang has paced 6.3 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 6th percentile for power.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Freddy Peralta’s overall pitching skill is in the 92nd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

The New York Mets have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future, Junior Valentine grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

American Family Field ranks as the #24 stadium in the game for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 7 hitters who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Freddy Peralta should benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

The 3rd-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Freddy Peralta is projected to throw 84 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of all pitchers on the slate today.

Freddy Peralta has gone to his curveball 5.5% less often this year (7%) than he did last season (12.5%).

Tyrone Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 17% to 13.5%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.2) may lead us to conclude that Francisco Alvarez has experienced some positive variance this year with his 19.5 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Severino to throw 80 pitches in today’s game (4th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Luis Severino will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the last week, Francisco Lindor’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

Rhys Hoskins’s launch angle in recent games (3.2° over the past week) is considerably worse than his 20.6° seasonal mark.

Latest Milwaukee Brewers Match Player Stats

Latest New York Mets Match Player Stats