Mariners vs Brewers match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, August 18th

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SEA @ MIL

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Mariners @ Brewers Matchup Details

Teams : Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers

Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 18th
Time : 18/08/26 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Seattle Mariners Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as Major League Baseball’s 9th-best home run batter.

,Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 8th-best park in the game for righty base hits.

,The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in American Family Field.

,American Family Field has the shortest fences among all major league parks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

,Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

,The #8 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Luis Lara will get to bat from his strong side against Bryce Miller in today’s matchup.

,The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,As it relates to his home runs, Brendan Donovan has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 12.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.8.

,Christian Yelich’s BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Yelich is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,American Family Field ranks as the #10 ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Weston Wilson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,By putting up a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson finds himself in the 80th percentile for hitting ability.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) provides evidence that Weston Wilson has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .201 actual batting average.

,Josh Naylor’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Naylor is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Joey Ortiz will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs.

,Josh Naylor has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5% seasonal rate to 13% over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Jake Bauers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for walks.

,Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Miller in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kyle Harrison in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

,Kyle Harrison will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats across the board.

,In his previous game started, Kyle Harrison turned in a great performance and allowed 1 ER.

,Kyle Harrison has posted a 3.47 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the things most within a pitcher’s control) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kyle Harrison in the 91st percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

,American Family Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Kyle Harrison was firing on all cylinders in his last GS and accumulated 8 strikeouts.

,Recording 17.1 outs per start this year on average, Bryce Miller checks in at the 81st percentile.

,When estimating his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Christian Yelich ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an edge in today’s game.

,In the past 7 days, Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph of late.

,Despite posting a .254 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cal Raleigh has suffered from bad luck given the .076 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Garrett Mitchell ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Luis Lara will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Bryce Miller’s change-up percentage has spiked by 7.2% from last year to this one (18.7% to 25.9%) .

,Among all SPs, Bryce Miller’s fastball spin rate of 2508 rpm grades out in the 91st percentile this year.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Dominic Canzone hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Lara in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.303) may lead us to conclude that Brendan Donovan has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .282 actual batting average.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Andrew Vaughn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Negatives with the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

This matchup is projected to have the 4th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will bat from his bad side (0) today against Kyle Harrison,Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Cal Raleigh has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 22.1% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Randy Arozarena has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (8.6°) is significantly lower than his 13.4° figure last year.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Luis Lara ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luis Lara is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Over the last 14 days, Luis Lara has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 87.6-mph on his flyballs.

,Brendan Donovan has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Kyle Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Brendan Donovan in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Donovan in today’s game.

,Brendan Donovan’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.7-mph figure last season has dropped off to 84.9-mph.

,In notching a .292 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Christian Yelich grades out in the 19th percentile.

,With a .226 batting average this year, Christian Yelich grades out in the 22nd percentile.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Weston Wilson ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Weston Wilson is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,46% of the time that Weston Wilson has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Weston Wilson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Weston Wilson’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the same side that Kyle Harrison throws from, Josh Naylor meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Naylor today.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.4°, Josh Naylor has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.4°) over the past 14 days.

,Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Andrew Vaughn will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,In the last 7 days, Andrew Vaughn’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

,Andrew Vaughn’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.6-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 80.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,Andrew Vaughn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 13.3% on the season to 0% in the past week.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joey Ortiz is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

,11% of the time that Joey Ortiz has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Joey Ortiz will be in a tough position today.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Jake Bauers has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.

,Jake Bauers has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph dropping to 90.2-mph in the past week.

,Jake Bauers’s launch angle this year (11.3°) is significantly worse than his 16.6° figure last year.

,Despite posting a .373 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Bauers has been very fortunate given the .045 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, David Hamilton ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,David Hamilton is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

,David Hamilton has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

,David Hamilton’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 86.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Bryce Miller’s overall pitching ability is in the 75th percentile out of all SPs in MLB currently.

,It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Milwaukee Brewers offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

,In his last start, Bryce Miller was on point and gave up 2 ER.

,Bryce Miller’s fastball velocity has spiked 1.2 mph this year (95.4 mph) over where it was last season (94.2 mph).

,14% of the time that Garrett Mitchell has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Garrett Mitchell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.9% down to 0%.

,Garrett Mitchell’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 92.6-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 85.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,Garrett Mitchell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 9.8% on the season to 0% in the past week.

,Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Christian Yelich has put up a .362 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,The Seattle Mariners have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward,With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Kyle Harrison meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

,William Contreras has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage over William Contreras today.

,William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 43.9% to 37.7%.

,William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 37.7% on the season to 18.8% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Harrison throws from, Dominic Canzone faces a tough challenge today.

,Dominic Canzone will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Dominic Canzone’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 16.9% on the season to 0% in the last week.

,Dominic Canzone has been lucky this year, putting up a .352 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .029 gap.

,It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kyle Harrison has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 59.5% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.

,Kyle Harrison has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 10.99 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.19 — a 0.81 K/9 disparity.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,Julio Rodriguez’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 91.9-mph average last year has fallen to 89.9-mph.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 92.9 mph to 90.8 mph.

,Bryce Miller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Chourio has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 13.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 94.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 77.6-mph in the past week.

,Today, Joey Ortiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (97th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,In the last two weeks, Luis Lara’s 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.7%.

,William Contreras has performed at a clip of 12.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Sporting a .188 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, William Contreras is positioned in the 20th percentile.

,With a 0.33 deviation between Bryce Miller’s 8.89 K/9 and his 8.56 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to negatively regress going forward.

,Over the last week, Julio Rodriguez’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

,Cal Raleigh has struggled with his Barrel%; his 19% rate last season has fallen off to 12.7% this year.

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