Mariners vs Cardinals match player stats Sunday, September 8th 2024. Seattle Mariners at St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 3

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Mariners vs Cardinals match player stats Sunday, September 8th 2024. Seattle Mariners at St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 3

SEA @ STL

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Seattle Mariners at St. Louis Cardinals
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 8th
08/09/24 14:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Cardinals Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all parks.

Randy Arozarena has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.7-mph.

Over the last 14 days, Randy Arozarena’s 23.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Among every team today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage today.

Ivan Herrera has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 93.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Josh Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today.

Josh Rojas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.5) may lead us to conclude that Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year with his 10.0 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Over the last week, Paul Goldschmidt’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 23.8%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s game… and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split.

Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as Major League Baseball’s 13th-best home run hitter.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 21.2°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 26.7° mark over the last two weeks.

Cal Raleigh has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .311 mark is a good deal lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alec Burleson ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo today… and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Luke Raley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today.

Luke Raley has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Miles Mikolas doesn’t generate many whiffs (11th percentile K%) — great news for Raley.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.

Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 11.9% to 16.1%.

Over the past 14 days, Julio Rodriguez’s 29.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jorge Polanco’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (28.5° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 20.7° seasonal mark.

Over the past 14 days, Jorge Polanco’s maximum exit velocity (a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 110.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.325) implies that Jorge Polanco has experienced some negative variance this year with his .284 actual wOBA.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Masyn Winn has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86.7-mph mark.

In notching a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Masyn Winn finds himself in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez’s true offensive ability to be a .360, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .055 deviation between that figure and his actual .305 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Luke Raley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Luke Raley has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the past two weeks.

Michael Siani will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today… and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Michael Siani will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst stadium in the league for home runs.

Among all stadiums, Busch Stadium’s RF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

Miles Mikolas will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats across the board.

In the past week, Nolan Arenado’s 70% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Luis Castillo’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 85th percentile among all SPs in the league currently.

Luis Castillo has averaged 96.8 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 94th percentile.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena’s true offensive talent to be a .342, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .021 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .321 wOBA.

The Seattle Mariners have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Luke Raley, Jorge Polanco, Mitch Haniger).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Castillo in the 78th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

Rating 2nd-highest in MLB this year, Seattle Mariners hitters jointly have posted a 14.9° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).

Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Cardinals Series Game 3

Busch Stadium projects as the #27 ballpark in the majors for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Long-balls are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all parks.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Randy Arozarena will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Ivan Herrera is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage against Ivan Herrera in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

In the past two weeks, Ivan Herrera’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

Over the past 14 days, Ivan Herrera’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

Josh Rojas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

18% of the time that Josh Rojas has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #27 park in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Rojas in today’s game.

Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Paul Goldschmidt will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

In terms of plate discipline, Paul Goldschmidt’s ability is quite poor, putting up a 3.88 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 20th percentile.

Lars Nootbaar’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.8°) is considerably worse than his 11° mark last season.

In today’s matchup, Cal Raleigh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.5% rate (99th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cal Raleigh today.

In the past two weeks, Cal Raleigh’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16% down to 10%.

10% of the time that Alec Burleson has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Over the last 14 days, Alec Burleson has recorded a mere a 2.6% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

This year, Luke Raley has been pinch hit for in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luke Raley today.

In terms of his home runs, Luke Raley has been very fortunate this year. His 28.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.4.

Miles Mikolas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Josh Rojas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

Jorge Polanco has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jorge Polanco in today’s matchup.

Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage against Masyn Winn in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.9°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.7°) in the last 14 days.

Masyn Winn has been cold in recent games, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the past 7 days.

Julio Rodriguez has shown poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 24th percentile with a 3.59 K/BB rate.

Jorge Polanco’s launch angle this season (17.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 21.4° angle last year.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.3) provides evidence that Alec Burleson has had some very good luck this year with his 24.4 actual HR/600.

Luke Raley has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .329 figure is quite a bit higher than his .312 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, Luke Raley ranks in the 22nd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .229.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Michael Siani ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Siani is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Mike Siani has been pulled from the game early 36% of the time.

Luis Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

In today’s game, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.8% rate (100th percentile).

There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.8 mph last year to 86.2 mph now, The Seattle Mariners projected lineup projects as the 5th-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

Miles Mikolas has relied on his curveball 8.2% less often this year (11.8%) than he did last season (20%).

Checking in at the 2nd percentile, Miles Mikolas put up a 6.8% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Seattle’s 93.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #3 squad in Major League Baseball this year by this standard.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 16th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Luis Castillo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Luis Castillo’s 2155-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a notable 132-rpm decrease from last season’s 2287-rpm mark.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Luis Castillo has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 63.3% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.

Paul Goldschmidt’s launch angle recently (10° over the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 13.7° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Michael Siani has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Randy Arozarena has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Miles Mikolas in the 16th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Checking in at the 17th percentile, Miles Mikolas has compiled a 17.7% strikeout rate this year.

Luis Castillo has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching an 8.98 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.95 — a 0.03 K/9 deviation.

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