Mariners vs Cardinals match player stats Friday, September 6th 2024. Seattle Mariners at St. Louis Cardinals

|
Mariners vs Cardinals match player stats Friday, September 6th 2024. Seattle Mariners at St. Louis Cardinals

SEA @ STL

Seattle Mariners at St. Louis Cardinals Mariners vs CardinalsMariners vs CardinalsMariners vs CardinalsMariners vs CardinalsMariners vs CardinalsMariners vs Cardinals

Todays Matchup Details

Seattle Mariners at St. Louis Cardinals

Todays Game is on Friday, September 6th
06/09/24 20:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Cardinals Matchup Today

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences in MLB.

Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Mike Siani will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mike Siani will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Josh Rojas will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year. His 10.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.5.

In terms of plate discipline, Josh Rojas’s talent is quite strong, putting up a 2.1 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.

Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Julio Rodriguez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.9-mph mark.

Julio Rodriguez’s launch angle of late (23.8° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 9.4° seasonal angle.

Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 11.9% to 15.5%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Paul Goldschmidt has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.7% seasonal rate to 30% in the last week’s worth of games.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Cal Raleigh’s launch angle in recent games (31.6° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 21.5° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year. His .309 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Over the past week, Nolan Arenado’s 65.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.7%.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 90.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 87.8-mph.

Masyn Winn has put up a .277 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Luke Raley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Luke Raley has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Erick Fedde’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 77th percentile among all SPs in the majors right now.

Recording 93.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Erick Fedde falls in the 83rd percentile.

The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Erick Fedde will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Alec Burleson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Victor Robles is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.0) implies that Victor Robles has had bad variance on his side this year with his 10.8 actual HR/600.

Posting a .340 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Victor Robles is positioned in the 85th percentile.

Victor Robles has recorded a .290 batting average this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 13.6% on the season to 5.9% in the past week.

When estimating his home run talent, Mitch Haniger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mitch Haniger hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mitch Haniger has been unlucky given the .033 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

This year, Mitch Haniger has an average exit velocity of 90.5 mph, which is among the best in Major League Baseball at the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage today.

Brendan Donovan will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Brendan Donovan’s launch angle this season (13.4°) is considerably better than his 10.4° mark last year.

The Seattle Mariners have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Luke Raley, Jorge Polanco, Mitch Haniger).

In his previous GS, Erick Fedde was firing on all cylinders and posted 8 strikeouts.

Erick Fedde’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (69.5% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Bryce Miller will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Bryce Miller’s fastball spin rate has decreased 109 rpm this season (2482 rpm) below where it was last season (2591 rpm).

Bryce Miller has been lucky this year, compiling a 3.30 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.08 — a 0.78 difference.

Bryce Miller has recorded a .243 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in MLB on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Lars Nootbaar has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year’s 89.1-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Jorge Polanco has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 35.3° mark in the past week’s worth of games.

Over the past two weeks, Jorge Polanco’s maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 110.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.325) suggests that Jorge Polanco has experienced some negative variance this year with his .285 actual wOBA.

Seattle’s 93.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #3 club in MLB this year by this metric.

Among all starters, Bryce Miller’s fastball velocity of 94.5 mph is in the 75th percentile this year.

Bryce Miller has tallied 17.3 outs per start this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

Masyn Winn has put up a .274 batting average this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

This year, Cal Raleigh’s 16.2% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 97th percentile among his peers.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Paul Goldschmidt has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 99.5-mph over the past week.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Cardinals

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Siani in the 4th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Mike Siani is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

36% of the time that Mike Siani has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

The #4 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Mike Siani has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Lars Nootbaar’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (7.8°) is considerably worse than his 11° angle last season.

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Josh Rojas has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

The 2nd-deepest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Busch Stadium.

Josh Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-largest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally bad for HRs.

Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Julio Rodriguez encounters a tough challenge today.

Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In terms of plate discipline, Julio Rodriguez’s ability is quite bad, posting a 3.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 24th percentile.

The #4 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Paul Goldschmidt has a tough challenge today.

Posting a 3.88 K/BB rate this year, Paul Goldschmidt has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 19th percentile.

Over the past two weeks, Josh Rojas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

Today, Cal Raleigh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.4% rate (99th percentile).

Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Cal Raleigh’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 94.9 mph to 90.4 mph.

Sporting a .243 BABIP this year, Cal Raleigh is positioned in the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Nolan Arenado will have a disadvantage today.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.8-mph average last year has fallen to 86.2-mph.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 89.8 mph to 87.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 16th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Masyn Winn will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the past week, Masyn Winn’s 21.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.3%.

Mike Siani has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph dropping to 80.5-mph over the last week.

14% of the time that Luke Raley has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luke Raley in today’s matchup.

Luke Raley has recorded a .228 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Posting a 4.94 K/BB rate this year, Luke Raley has shown bad plate discipline, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.3) may lead us to conclude that Luke Raley has had positive variance on his side this year with his 26.8 actual HR/600.

The Seattle Mariners have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward, With a 0.65 discrepancy between Erick Fedde’s 3.43 ERA and his 4.08 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and should negatively regress going forward.

Erick Fedde has posted a .260 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Ranking in the 18th percentile, Erick Fedde put up an 8.8% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

This year, Alec Burleson has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

In the past 14 days, Alec Burleson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

As it relates to his home runs, Alec Burleson has been lucky this year. His 24.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.0.

Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Victor Robles will be at a disadvantage today.

Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Victor Robles will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Victor Robles has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Mitch Haniger is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Mitch Haniger will have a disadvantage today.

Mitch Haniger will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Mitch Haniger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 18.4% to 14%.

Brendan Donovan has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

In the past 14 days, Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 90.8 mph to 88.3 mph.

Busch Stadium profiles as the #28 ballpark in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Julio Rodriguez has compiled a .179 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of hits on balls in play, and Mitch Haniger’s 29.5° mark (21st percentile) this year indicates a weak hitting profile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryce Miller in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher today) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Bryce Miller has gone to his secondary offerings 5.5% more often this year (39.4%) than he did last season (33.9%).

Victor Robles has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 81.8-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Polanco today.

Jorge Polanco’s launch angle this season (17.1°) is considerably worse than his 21.4° mark last season.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 19.5% underlying K%.

In the past week’s worth of games, Masyn Winn has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power).

Masyn Winn has been lucky this year, notching a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .030 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Brendan Donovan has paced 11.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile for power.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Alec Burleson has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 104-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls.

Sporting a .217 batting average this year, Jorge Polanco is ranked in the 13th percentile.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.1°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) in the past 14 days.

Latest St. Louis Cardinals Match Player Stats

Latest Seattle Mariners Match Player Stats