
COL @ LAD






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Rockies vs Dodgers Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best venue in the game for right-handed home runs.
Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.
In the league, Dodger Stadium’s centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.
Freddie Freeman projects as the 13th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.
Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Charlie Blackmon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s game.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Charlie Blackmon has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Charlie Blackmon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Tommy Edman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Mookie Betts projects as the 14th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Mookie Betts will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
When it comes to his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 7th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Freddie Freeman will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Ezequiel Tovar’s BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
When assessing his home run talent, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
When assessing his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against Antonio Senzatela in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the 93rd percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.
Recording 93.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Yoshinobu Yamamoto places him the 81st percentile.
The Colorado Rockies have 6 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan McMahon, Michael Toglia, Nolan Jones, Ezequiel Tovar, Sam Hilliard, Jake Cave).
Alex MacKay projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.
Due to his reverse platoon split, Yoshinobu Yamamoto will be in a good position going up against 7 bats in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in this game.
Ezequiel Tovar has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last 7 days.
Gavin Lux is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
Brendan Rodgers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 46.3% on the season to 62.5% over the past 7 days.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Will Smith will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Will Smith has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the last two weeks.
Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Nolan Jones will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Jones can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 75th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
Michael Toglia has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96-mph average to last year’s 91-mph average.
Over the last two weeks, Michael Toglia’s 56.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.2%.
Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Teoscar Hernandez has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.6% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rockies vs Dodgers Series Game 3
Will Smith is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Antonio Senzatela will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Smith today.
The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 5th-best out of every team today.
Will Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, falling from 35.4% on the season to 20% in the past week’s worth of games.
Will Smith has compiled a .273 BABIP this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.
Nolan Jones is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Jones today.
Nolan Jones has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 16% rate last year has dropped to 5.4% this year.
Last season, Nolan Jones had a launch angle of 12.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 6.7°.
Sporting a 7.500 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Nolan Jones is ranked in the 21st percentile for power.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.
Freddie Freeman has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph dropping to 86.3-mph over the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Charlie Blackmon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 86.4-mph figure last season has lowered to 84.4-mph.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) suggests that Charlie Blackmon has experienced some positive variance this year with his .248 actual batting average.
By putting up a .275 BABIP this year, Charlie Blackmon is positioned in the 24th percentile.
The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Antonio Senzatela, Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.6-mph average last year has fallen off to 88.3-mph.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tommy Edman has had some very good luck this year. His .351 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295.
Michael Toglia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Toglia today.
Over the past two weeks, Michael Toglia’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.9% down to 8.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Toglia’s true offensive skill to be a .298, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .033 gap between that mark and his actual .331 wOBA.
Sporting a .201 batting average this year, Michael Toglia has performed in the 5th percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Mookie Betts faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Over the past 7 days, Mookie Betts’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.
There has been a decrease in Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity this year, from 92.4 mph last year to 90 mph now, Over the last 7 days, Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 91.1 mph to 84.1 mph.
Mookie Betts has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .373 rate is inflated compared to his .354 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Over the last 14 days, Mookie Betts’s 35.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.5%.
Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Ryan McMahon has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.
Grading out in the 21st percentile, Ryan McMahon has notched a .228 batting average this year.
Charlie Blackmon has averaged 12.3 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 25th percentile for power.
Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ezequiel Tovar today.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side this year. His .320 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.
Ezequiel Tovar has displayed bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 1st percentile with a 9.37 K/BB rate.
Antonio Senzatela will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.
Teoscar Hernandez has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Over the last 14 days, Teoscar Hernandez’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.
Gavin Lux is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
This year, Gavin Lux has been pinch hit for in 14% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
Gavin Lux has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks.
Gavin Lux’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 77.7-mph over the last week.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto will hold the platoon advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brendan Rodgers in today’s matchup.
Brendan Rodgers has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.
Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 19.7% to 11.8%.
Brendan Rodgers has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .312 rate is quite a bit higher than his .290 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Will Smith (the Dodgers’s expected catcher today) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 10.43 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.00 — a 0.43 K/9 discrepancy.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.2°, Gavin Lux has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.5°) in the last two weeks.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.281) may lead us to conclude that Charlie Blackmon has had some very good luck this year with his .308 actual wOBA.
In notching a .188 batting average this year, Nolan Jones is ranked in the 21st percentile.
In the last two weeks, Michael Toglia’s 8.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%.
Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (10°) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.2° angle last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 11th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Antonio Senzatela in the 11th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
The Los Angeles Dodgers (20.4 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams on the slate.
Antonio Senzatela will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Antonio Senzatela didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his previous GS and posted 2 Ks.
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