Yankees vs Orioles match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, August 20th

NYY @ BAL

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Yankees @ Orioles Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, August 20th
Time : 20/08/26 18:35:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the New York Yankees Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Lombard in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 park in MLB for overall right-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards’s CF fences are the shallowest.

,In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of the day.

,In the past two weeks, George Lombard’s swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 57.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Coby Mayo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

,The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Bradish today.

,Jackson Holliday’s BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.83 ft/sec this year, George Lombard is quite fast.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, George Lombard has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .356.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Colton Cowser has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today’s game.

,Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league.

,Batting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Samuel Basallo will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Samuel Basallo ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his home run talent, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler O’Neill will hold that advantage today.

,Despite posting a .311 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler O’Neill has experienced some negative variance given the .024 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

,Heliot Ramos’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Heliot Ramos has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Coby Mayo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Coby Mayo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last season’s 87.5-mph EV.

,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will get to bat from his strong side against Gerrit Cole in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Gunnar Henderson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish today.

,When estimating his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage today.

,Ryan McMahon has been unlucky this year, compiling a .285 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .020 deviation.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an advantage today.

,When estimating his BABIP ability, Spencer Jones is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Spencer Jones will have an advantage today.

,In the past week, Spencer Jones’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.6% up to 30%.

,Spencer Jones has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 94.2-mph average.

,Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today’s matchup.

,Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, compiling a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .043 discrepancy.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Beavers ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Dylan Beavers will have the handedness advantage over Gerrit Cole today.

,Heliot Ramos has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph to 94.7-mph over the past 14 days.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Kyle Bradish’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 87th percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

,Kyle Bradish has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 3.4 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starter.

,Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #26 stadium in baseball for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Kyle Bradish will hold that advantage today.

,Kyle Bradish was firing on all cylinders in his last start and allowed 2 ER.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Austin Wells ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best batter in the majors.

,Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s shallowest RF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Dylan Beavers will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Luis Garcia Jr. ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Luis Garcia Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Gerrit Cole will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Gerrit Cole has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.3% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Jones in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Tallying 17.3 outs per GS this year on average, Gerrit Cole places in the 87th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Gerrit Cole in the 88th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

,The Baltimore Orioles have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Coby Mayo, Colton Cowser, Carlos Narvaez).

,Gerrit Cole has compiled a 27% strikeout rate this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

,Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kyle Bradish in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

,The New York Yankees (25.5% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-prone lineup of all teams on the slate.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Kyle Bradish’s fastball spin rate of 2399 rpm ranks in the 77th percentile this year.

Negatives with the Baltimore Orioles Series Game 3 Game Today

George Lombard is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Kyle Bradish will hold the platoon advantage against George Lombard in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Lombard in today’s matchup.

,Posting a lowly an 82.8-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games, George Lombard has been in a slump of late.

,Gerrit Cole will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Coby Mayo in today’s game.

,Coby Mayo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Coby Mayo grades out in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.

,Posting a 4.51 K/BB rate this year, Coby Mayo has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 7th percentile.

,With a .216 batting average this year, Coby Mayo finds himself in the 13th percentile.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jazz Chisholm Jr. today.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph dropping to 82-mph over the last 7 days.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 19.4% to 12.8%.

,Over the past 7 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s 30% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.6%.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has put up a .298 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 23rd percentile.

,This year, Jackson Holliday has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,In today’s game, Jackson Holliday is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (88th percentile).

,New York’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Jackson Holliday, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Jackson Holliday’s launch angle of late (5.7° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 11.3° seasonal figure.

,Placing in the 19th percentile, the hardest ball Jackson Holliday has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 105.8 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

,Over the past 14 days, George Lombard has been struggling with his launch angle, hitting 7.7% of his balls over 38°, the threshold at which many balls turn into pop-ups resulting in easy outs.

,Colton Cowser is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

,This year, Colton Cowser has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

,Colton Cowser has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Colton Cowser’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.8-mph mark last season has dropped to 87.2-mph.

,In notching a .290 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Colton Cowser is positioned in the 17th percentile for offensive ability.

,Ranking in the 24th percentile, Jackson Holliday has put up a .196 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trent Grisham today.

,Trent Grisham’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96-mph average last year has dropped off to 93.6-mph.

,Trent Grisham has compiled a .239 BABIP this year, grading out in the 5th percentile.

,This season, there has been a decline in Samuel Basallo’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.65 ft/sec last year to 24.95 ft/sec currently.

,With a .261 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Samuel Basallo has performed in the 25th percentile for offensive skills.

,With a .194 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Samuel Basallo grades out in the 18th percentile.

,Gerrit Cole will have the handedness advantage against Tyler O’Neill in today’s game.

,Tyler O’Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Tyler O’Neill has struggled with his Barrel%; his 16.5% rate last season has dropped off to 9.5% this season.

,Tyler O’Neill has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph dropping to 82.7-mph in the past 7 days.

,Tyler O’Neill’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 21.8% to 17%.

,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Heliot Ramos will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heliot Ramos today.

,Heliot Ramos’s launch angle this year (5.8°) is considerably worse than his 12° angle last year.

,Posting a 4.64 K/BB rate this year, Heliot Ramos has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 6th percentile.

,Trent Grisham has recorded a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Leody Taveras is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Leody Taveras has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,There has been a significant decline in Leody Taveras’s launch angle from last year’s 22.2° to 15.6° this season.

,Over the last two weeks, Leody Taveras’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

,In the last week, Leody Taveras has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power).

,Sporting a .261 BABIP this year, Gunnar Henderson is ranked in the 15th percentile.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ben Rice today.

,Ben Rice has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 15.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 6.7% over the past 7 days.

,Over the last 14 days, Ben Rice’s 8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ben Rice’s true offensive skill to be a .354, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .016 difference between that figure and his actual .370 wOBA.

,Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Ryan McMahon has been pinch hit for 14% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,In today’s matchup, Ryan McMahon is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.5% rate (78th percentile).

,Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Ryan McMahon has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,With a .222 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jazz Chisholm Jr. has performed in the 17th percentile.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Luis Garcia Jr. has been pinch hit for 28% of the time.

,Luis Garcia Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Luis Garcia Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 7.1% over the past 14 days.

,Luis Garcia Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 15.3% to 12.3%.

,Luis Garcia Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 12.3% on the season to 7.1% in the past 14 days.

,Spencer Jones is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

,28% of the time that Spencer Jones has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Spencer Jones has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.

,Spencer Jones will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Austin Wells is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

,This year, Austin Wells has been pinch hit for in 27% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Wells today.

,Austin Wells has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 14 days.

,Dylan Beavers is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,27% of the time that Dylan Beavers has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,In the last 7 days, Dylan Beavers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

,In the past week, Dylan Beavers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.

,The New York Yankees projected lineup profiles as the 5th-best of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.

,The New York Yankees have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward,With 7 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Kyle Bradish will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

,Over the last two weeks, Austin Wells’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 93.2 mph to 86.7 mph.

,Hitting from the same side that Gerrit Cole throws from, Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Tyler O’Neill’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 42.1% to 36.7%.

,Posting a .225 batting average this year, Tyler O’Neill grades out in the 21st percentile.

,Dylan Beavers has notched a .171 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.

,Pete Alonso’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 16.9% on the season to 8.3% in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gerrit Cole in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a good pitch framer.

,In his previous GS, Gerrit Cole was rolling and gave up 0 ER.

,Out of all SPs, Gerrit Cole’s fastball velocity of 96.2 mph ranks in the 82nd percentile this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 22nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,In his previous outing, Gerrit Cole struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kyle Bradish has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 52.6% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

,Samuel Basallo grades out in the 24th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (13.9% rate this year).

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