
SEA @ TEX






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 14:35:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Rangers Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Josh H. Smith is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Josh H. Smith will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split.
Josh H. Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Josh H. Smith has compiled a .315 BABIP this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Over the past two weeks, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 24.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.1°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia’s true offensive skill to be a .321, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .030 disparity between that figure and his actual .291 wOBA.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today.
Leody Taveras has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last two weeks.
In the past two weeks, Leody Taveras has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 18.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 9.6°.
Leody Taveras has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .278 figure is a good deal lower than his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Dylan Moore will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.4) provides evidence that Dylan Moore has suffered from bad luck this year with his 14.4 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Ezequiel Duran will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Ezequiel Duran has notched a .324 BABIP this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Julio Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney in today’s game.
Julio Rodriguez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split.
Nathaniel Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Wyatt Langford is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Over the past 7 days, Wyatt Langford’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.3% up to 16.7%.
Wyatt Langford has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .312 figure is deflated compared to his .353 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The Texas Rangers have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games, Bryan Woo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
In his previous game started, Bryan Woo conceded a monstrous 7 earned runs.
Bryan Woo has had some very good luck with his ERA this year; his 2.85 mark is a good deal lower than his 3.50 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Marcus Semien has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 11.8% over the past two weeks.
Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.
Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Justin Turner will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Over the last 14 days, Justin Turner has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 4.6% to 14.3%.
Justin Turner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) suggests that Leody Taveras has experienced some negative variance this year with his .226 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney in today’s game.
Randy Arozarena has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 94-mph.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Nathaniel Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 102.6-mph of late.
Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Mitch Garver will have an edge in today’s game.
Mitch Garver has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.
Mitch Garver has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 94.2-mph in the last 7 days.
Mitch Garver’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 42% on the season to 60% over the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as MLB’s 15th-best home run batter.
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
Cal Raleigh’s launch angle in recent games (24.5° in the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 21.3° seasonal angle.
Cal Raleigh has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .313 mark is considerably lower than his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Marcus Semien has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph.
The Seattle Mariners have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season, The Seattle Mariners have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in this matchup.
Andrew Heaney’s fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this year (90.9 mph) below where it was last year (91.9 mph).
Seattle Mariners hitters jointly grade out 3rd- in baseball for power this year when judging by their 93.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs.
Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
In the last week’s worth of games, Jonah Heim’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.7%.
Jonah Heim has been unlucky this year, putting up a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .031 disparity.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 38.7% on the season to 54.5% over the last week.
Compared to his seasonal average of 18°, Justin Turner has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.4° mark over the last two weeks.
Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 11.9% to 16.6%.
Julio Rodriguez projects as the 19th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 46% on the season to 59.3% over the last 14 days.
In terms of his batting average, J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck this year. His .202 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.
J.P. Crawford has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 86th percentile with a 1.79 K/BB rate.
Dylan Moore’s launch angle lately (34° over the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 22.5° seasonal mark.
When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andrew Heaney in the 79th percentile among all starters in the game.
Globe Life Field profiles as the #6 park in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Andrew Heaney will hold that advantage today.
J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 16.6% on the season to 27.3% in the last week’s worth of games.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) implies that J.P. Crawford has had bad variance on his side this year with his .286 actual wOBA.
When it comes to his home run talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mitch Garver has been unlucky this year, compiling a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .032 deviation.
In his previous start, Bryan Woo was in good form and put up 7 strikeouts.
Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Rangers Series Game 3
Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 park in the majors for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate.
Josh H. Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
This year, Josh H. Smith’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 10.7% last year to just 3.5% this year.
Josh H. Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 19.1% to 13.1%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 2nd-worst venue in the majors for righty BABIP.
The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Globe Life Field.
Bryan Woo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adolis Garcia in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.
Over the last 7 days, Adolis Garcia’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%.
Leody Taveras is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Leody Taveras’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 85.6-mph over the past 14 days.
Utilizing Statcast data, Leody Taveras ranks in the 24th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 12.300.
Dylan Moore is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
Ezequiel Duran is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Because of Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Ezequiel Duran will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.
In the last week’s worth of games, Nathaniel Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (10.2) suggests that Nathaniel Lowe has had positive variance on his side this year with his 14.7 actual HR/600.
Considering Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Wyatt Langford will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.
Wyatt Langford’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 89.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 82.6-mph in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryan Woo in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) in charge of the strike zone today.
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #4 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.
Because of Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Marcus Semien will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.
Justin Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Justin Turner has been lucky this year, compiling a .326 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .014 disparity.
Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.
Dylan Moore’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Marcus Semien’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 43.8% on the season to 26.7% over the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Mitch Garver is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.
Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Texas (#2-best on the slate).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Jonah Heim is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.
Nathaniel Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.5-mph EV last year has dropped off to 90.1-mph.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 16.1°, Wyatt Langford has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.1°) in the last 14 days.
Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Cal Raleigh has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 15% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.
Cal Raleigh’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.3-mph in the last two weeks.
Julio Rodriguez’s launch angle in recent games (16.2° in the past week’s worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 10.6° seasonal angle.
Julio Rodriguez has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 20th percentile with a 3.72 K/BB rate.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jonah Heim will have a tough time against Bryan Woo and his large platoon split in today’s matchup.
Jonah Heim’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 88.5-mph seasonal average has decreased to 84.8-mph over the past 14 days.
Cal Raleigh’s BABIP skill is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Andrew Heaney will have the handedness advantage over J.P. Crawford in today’s matchup.
J.P. Crawford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Ezequiel Duran has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.7% rate last year has lowered to 3.2% this season.
Dylan Moore will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Over the past 7 days, Dylan Moore’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%.
Adolis Garcia has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph dropping to 79.3-mph in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Heaney to throw 83 pitches in today’s game (11th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
J.P. Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Mitch Garver will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Mitch Garver has posted a .290 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Woo to throw 81 pitches in today’s game (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Josh H. Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 13.1% on the season to 9.1% over the past 14 days.
Over the past 14 days, Randy Arozarena’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.
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