
CIN @ CHC





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, September 27th
27/09/24 14:20:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Cubs Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Ty France is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.
The 7th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.
Ty France has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.7-mph mark.
Ty France’s launch angle of late (37° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably better than his 12.8° seasonal figure.
TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output.
TJ Friedl will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today’s game.
TJ Friedl may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.
TJ Friedl’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.5°) is considerably higher than his 5.8° figure last season.
Wrigley Field grades out as the #8 park in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jameson Taillon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Jameson Taillon will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Jameson Taillon’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (59.7% this year) figures to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jameson Taillon.
In the last week’s worth of games, Elly De La Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph of late.
There has been a significant improvement in Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle from last year’s 3.4° to 10.2° this year.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.
Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Spencer Steer has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 90.9-mph in the last two weeks.
Santiago Espinal’s launch angle this season (14.7°) is considerably better than his 11.3° figure last year.
Santiago Espinal’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 14.7% on the season to 30% over the past 7 days.
Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today.
Jake Fraley has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.
Jake Fraley has posted a .324 BABIP this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.
Noelvi Marte has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.1-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte’s true offensive skill to be a .288, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .043 gap between that figure and his actual .245 wOBA.
Noelvi Marte’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 111.5 mph this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
In the last week, Tyler Stephenson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 105.4-mph in recent games.
Tyler Stephenson’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (20.7° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 13.2° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Over the past two weeks, Tyler Stephenson’s 72.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Cubs
The #6 field in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.
Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fences among all major league parks.
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 19.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
Jameson Taillon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty France in today’s game.
The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
The #8 field in the league for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.
TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.
Jameson Taillon’s 91.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1.3-mph fall off from last season’s 93-mph figure.
Ranking in the 13th percentile, Jameson Taillon posted an 8.7% Swinging Strike rate this year.
Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Jameson Taillon has posted an 18.6% Strikeout% this year.
The #6 stadium in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.
The 5th-deepest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.
TJ Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
TJ Friedl’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 88.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 78.4-mph over the past 7 days.
Hitting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Spencer Steer will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.
Spencer Steer has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 7th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Fraley in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Jake Fraley is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
This year, Jake Fraley has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst stadium in baseball for righty base hits.
Jameson Taillon will hold the platoon advantage over Noelvi Marte in today’s matchup.
Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Stephenson today.
In today’s game, Tyler Stephenson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.2% rate (89th percentile).
Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage against Santiago Espinal in today’s matchup.
Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Despite posting a .350 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has been very fortunate given the .020 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.
Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Santiago Espinal has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.
Chicago’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Spencer Steer, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
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